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Our CIO, Shay Kshatriya, on why diversification has to be accessed dynamically โ and how to read waht an EM allocation is actually doing. Full note: https://t.co/xmj7kjzoJZ
"Emerging markets" used to mean diversification. Lately it means more of what US investors already own.
The 30-day correlation between EM and US tech has climbed toward .90 as Taiwan and Korea semis now anchor the benchmark.
The label and the exposure have drifted apart.
Warsh held rates last week, as expected. The more consequential signal was what he chose to withold โ his dot.
With less guidance, markets will need to rely on their own jdugement. More near-term volatitlity, but cleaner signals, and a higher premium on independent thinking.