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#NASDAQ $NQ — TP1 HIT (+2.0R)
Entry: 30,892.75
SL: 30,840.00 (original)
TP1: 31,000 — hit ✅
TP2: 31,210 (6R from entry)
Now: 31,021.50 (2.44R)
The retest of VWAP + VAH 09/21 held exactly as planned, and price took out the morning high.
Trailing the stop under the higher lows on the remainder, per the plan. Not calling a top — letting the trend decide the exit.
#NASDAQ $NQ — long filled on the retest, running ~1R
Entry: 30,892.75
Risk: 1–3% max
Now: 30,936.25
Why: the open-drive breakout held. The pullback into the VWAP + VAH 09/21 zone (30,870–30,905) got bought, and VWAP (~30,878) is still sloping up.
Close back below 30,862 with VWAP lost = second failed breakout. Exit early.
$TIA/USDT — SETUP CANCELLED (no entry, not a loss)
Entry 0.4397 never filled. Price didn't come back to retest VAH 09/22 — it ran straight up to ~0.4818 and is now 0.4764.
Order cancelled. No position, no result to report.
This is the trade-off of waiting for your level: you skip the bad fills, and sometimes you skip a good move too. We take that deal every time.
Not chasing it up here. Next setup.
$TIA/USDT — LONG LIMIT
Entry: 0.4397
SL: 0.4341 (-1.27%)
TP: 0.4730 (+7.57%)
Risk: 1–3% max
Why: BOS + MSS confirmed the upside structure, and price is accepting above VAH 09/22 (~0.439). Entry is the retest of VAH as support, just under VWAP (~0.4419).
Below 0.4341 = invalid.
#NASDAQ $NQ — long filled on the retest, running ~1R
Entry: 30,892.75
Risk: 1–3% max
Now: 30,936.25
Why: the open-drive breakout held. The pullback into the VWAP + VAH 09/21 zone (30,870–30,905) got bought, and VWAP (~30,878) is still sloping up.
Close back below 30,862 with VWAP lost = second failed breakout. Exit early.
#NASDAQ $NQ — open drive through VAH. Long the retest.
At the 6:30am RTH open, one long candle drove straight through VAH 09/21 (~30,862) and the old range high (~30,905) to ~31,000. Now 30,938. VWAP (~30,869) below price and sloping up.
Why this is different from last night: last night's VAH break came in thin overnight volume and failed. This morning is an open drive — break at RTH open on the day's highest volume, no building value below.
🟢 30,860–30,905 (VWAP + VAH 09/21 + old range high — now support)
Entry: M5 confirmation of the hold
SL: below ~30,840
TP1: ~31,000 (morning high / +2σ), then trail under higher lows
Risk: 1–3% max
R:R ≈ 1 : 2.4 from mid-zone
❌ Invalidation: close back below 30,862 and lose VWAP → second failed breakout, stand aside.
No shorts. Price at +1σ, mid-move — nothing to do yet. Wait for the pullback.
#NASDAQ $NQ — open drive through VAH. Long the retest.
At the 6:30am RTH open, one long candle drove straight through VAH 09/21 (~30,862) and the old range high (~30,905) to ~31,000. Now 30,938. VWAP (~30,869) below price and sloping up.
Why this is different from last night: last night's VAH break came in thin overnight volume and failed. This morning is an open drive — break at RTH open on the day's highest volume, no building value below.
🟢 30,860–30,905 (VWAP + VAH 09/21 + old range high — now support)
Entry: M5 confirmation of the hold
SL: below ~30,840
TP1: ~31,000 (morning high / +2σ), then trail under higher lows
Risk: 1–3% max
R:R ≈ 1 : 2.4 from mid-zone
❌ Invalidation: close back below 30,862 and lose VWAP → second failed breakout, stand aside.
No shorts. Price at +1σ, mid-move — nothing to do yet. Wait for the pullback.
$TIA/USDT — LONG LIMIT
Entry: 0.4397
SL: 0.4341 (-1.27%)
TP: 0.4730 (+7.57%)
Risk: 1–3% max
Why: BOS + MSS confirmed the upside structure, and price is accepting above VAH 09/22 (~0.439). Entry is the retest of VAH as support, just under VWAP (~0.4419).
Below 0.4341 = invalid.
$BTC — Scenario A played out. Long the VWAP/POC retest.
Price broke out of 85,250–85,650 and reclaimed VWAP and POC 09/22. Since then it's ranged 85,800–86,400; latest candle poked +2σ (~86,400) and got pushed back to 85,990. VWAP (~85,800) now below price — buyers have intraday control. The 87,380 correction likely bottomed at ~85,250.
🟢 85,800–85,850 (VWAP + POC confluence)
Entry: long on pullback, M5 confirmation
SL: below 85,500 (−1σ)
TP: 86,350 (BOS / +2σ), then VAH 86,930
Risk: 1–3% max
R:R ≈ 1 : 1.6 (T1) / 1 : 3.4 (T2)
⚪️ 85,900–86,300: do nothing.
🔴 Close below 85,500 → VWAP lost again, back to the correction scenario. Re-check 84,400–84,700.
No shorts — price above VWAP, HTF trend up.
$BTC — HTF bullish, short-term correction. Waiting at range middle.
Price has compressed in 85,250–85,650 for 5–6 hours, small candles, hugging −1σ. Compression breaks one way. No trades inside the range.
🟢 A — Correction over, trend resumes
Trigger: close above VWAP 85,680, reclaim POC 85,840
Entry: retest 85,680–85,840 from above, M5 confirmation
SL: below 85,450
TP: 85,990 / 86,350 / 86,930
Risk: 1–3% max
🟡 B — Deeper correction (higher probability, 30m structure still down)
Trigger: break below 85,250 → usually moves fast to 84,400–84,700
Entry: long 84,400–84,700 on sweep/reclaim or long lower wick
SL: below 84,150 (under the higher low)
TP: VWAP, then POC 85,840
Risk: 1–3% max
🔴 C — Trend broken
Acceptance below 84,200 → lower low on H1, bullish structure broken. All long ideas off.
Next: VAL 83,700, then BOS ~82,000.
Why: HTF trend is up, short-term correcting. Best setup is B at 84,400–84,700, or A if price reclaims VWAP/POC first.
Right now: mid-range → wait.
$ONDO — short update, +1.5R
Entry: 0.4410
SL: 0.4532 → move to 0.4410 (entry)
Risk: 1–3% max
Now: 0.4229 (+4.10%)
Recommend moving your stop to entry now. Trade is risk-free from here.
Why: stayed below POC 09/20 (~0.4364) through the consolidation, now breaking the range lows (~0.4285). VAL 09/20 (~0.4080) is the next level below.
$CAKE/USDT — Trade Closed ❌
Entry: 2.520
SL hit: 2.539 (-0.75%)
Result: -1R
The retest of VAL 09/22 didn't hold as resistance — price reclaimed it and ran the stop.
Planned loss, sized to plan. Next setup.
#GOLD $GOLD — short running, +1.45R
Entry: 4,377.9 (retest of VAL 09/21 + OB from below)
Now: 4,357.6
Why: 09/21 balance broke down with acceptance below VAL. The bounce into the broken zone got rejected, same as the plan. Lower highs from 4,440 still intact.
Reclaim and hold above 4,392 = idea off.
#GOLD $XAUUSD — the range broke down. I want to sell a bounce, not the low.
My long at the bottom of the range never triggered. Price broke straight through instead. No entry, no loss. It's now about 60 points lower.
Entry: 4,376–4,385, after a 5-min rejection
Stop: 4,392
Target: 4,324
No shorting down here at the low.
If price gets back above 4,385 and holds, I drop the idea.
$BTC — HTF bullish, short-term correction. Waiting at range middle.
Price has compressed in 85,250–85,650 for 5–6 hours, small candles, hugging −1σ. Compression breaks one way. No trades inside the range.
🟢 A — Correction over, trend resumes
Trigger: close above VWAP 85,680, reclaim POC 85,840
Entry: retest 85,680–85,840 from above, M5 confirmation
SL: below 85,450
TP: 85,990 / 86,350 / 86,930
Risk: 1–3% max
🟡 B — Deeper correction (higher probability, 30m structure still down)
Trigger: break below 85,250 → usually moves fast to 84,400–84,700
Entry: long 84,400–84,700 on sweep/reclaim or long lower wick
SL: below 84,150 (under the higher low)
TP: VWAP, then POC 85,840
Risk: 1–3% max
🔴 C — Trend broken
Acceptance below 84,200 → lower low on H1, bullish structure broken. All long ideas off.
Next: VAL 83,700, then BOS ~82,000.
Why: HTF trend is up, short-term correcting. Best setup is B at 84,400–84,700, or A if price reclaims VWAP/POC first.
Right now: mid-range → wait.
$NQ — failed breakout above VAH, now testing POC
Recap:
Long retest 30,875 / SL 30,850 — not filled. No M5 confirmation, no entry, no loss.
Break above VAH 09/21 (~30,880) wasn't accepted. Price chopped 30,880–30,910, fell back below VAH and lost VWAP (~30,849). Now 30,789 at POC 09/21 and the −2σ band.
Context: pullback from 30,910 is under 20% of the 30,220 → 30,910 leg. Higher timeframe trend intact, short-term momentum weak.
🟢 POC holds
Entry: 30,775–30,790 on M5 confirmation (long lower wick / sweep and reclaim)
SL: 30,755
TP: 30,880 (VAH), then 30,910
Risk: 1–3% max
R:R ≈ 1 : 2.5
🔴 POC breaks
Close below ~30,770 → careful. Thin volume below from yesterday's one-way rally. Price can move fast to 30,650–30,700.
No confirmation yet → no trade.
📊 $NQ #NASDAQ — TREND LONG, WAIT FOR THE RETEST
Strong uptrend. 09/21 ran from ~30,200 to ~30,900 — value is well above 09/20.
New session built a base right at POC 09/21 (~30,835), then broke above VAH 09/21 + PDH (~30,875–30,880). Now 30,894, riding the upper VWAP band.
⛔️ No shorts. And no chasing longs up here — price is stretched at +1σ/+2σ after the breakout.
🟢 THE PLAN
Entry: 30,875–30,880 retest (VAH + PDH, now support) with M5 confirmation
Deeper pullback → VWAP ~30,857 and POC ~30,835 are next support.
❌ Invalidation: close back below 30,835 = failed breakout. Stand aside.
No retest, no trade. 🐋
Not financial advice.
#GOLD $XAUUSD — the range broke down. I want to sell a bounce, not the low.
My long at the bottom of the range never triggered. Price broke straight through instead. No entry, no loss. It's now about 60 points lower.
Entry: 4,376–4,385, after a 5-min rejection
Stop: 4,392
Target: 4,324
No shorting down here at the low.
If price gets back above 4,385 and holds, I drop the idea.
✅ #GOLD $XAUUSD SHORT — TP HIT (+1.3R)
Faded the edge exactly as planned.
Short 4,401.7 at VAH 09/21
Stop 4,414.9 · Target 4,384.5 (POC 09/21)
→ Target hit. Price now 4,379.6.
Yesterday we got stopped chasing the break. Today we waited for the edge. Same market, different result. 🐋
📍 NEXT
Price is now in our long zone: 4,377–4,381 (VAL 09/21 + OB)
Long on M5 confirmation · Stop below 4,370 · Target 4,394–4,400
No confirmation, no trade.
Not financial advice.