Montgomery County Weather

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[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

.@NWS_BaltWash @capitalweather Germantown, MD at 6:49 PM

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

Moderate snow in Germantown, MD this morning. I expected snow, but never this heavy! @MikeTFox5 @capitalweather

[Washingtonian Weather Geeks @WashingtonianWx]

Though the weather is relatively quiet today, it's a pretty comfortable outside for most of the DMV! Though cloudy, today is a great day to go on a walk if it's not raining where you're at.

Editor's note: We're rolling out something new we made which is the plot you see below. If any of you have any questions about how it works, we'd be more than happy to explain!

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

Looking back at what went wrong with the storm, it seems like it was a combination of more "confluence" (a storm suppressor) pressing in more and squashing the height fields along with subtle changes both upstream & downstream causing more separation between our pieces.

[Mike Thomas @MikeTFox5]

Stayed up late hoping for some hope from the new 0z European…I got none. Upper low weaker. Storm allowed even farther east. Totals continue to fall…(1/2)

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

What a shit show

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

Looking back at this winter, it's nice to see that we've gotten not one but two 90th+ percentile snowstorms for the immediate DMV area—one on January 6th, and one on February 11th—a change from past winters with a possible third 90th+ percentile storm on our heels. ❄️☃️

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

@seckhardt @jake_wx You don't even follow me I don't know why you keep responding to my posts just to be wrong 💀 the mean is going to get skewed with higher totals and that's why it's better to just look at the median + IQR at this range to see the range of possibilities

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

With our upcoming threat, I would STRONGLY caution against relying on means on ensembles for the time being. Lots of potential with this one — which means big members can skew the ensembles. Ensembles will be helpful for determining the progression of the phase for now.

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

@MikeTFox5 Definitely one of the better setups we've had synoptically in the past few years right? I know we don't do phasing in TPV lobes well but just seeing that insane negative tilt for the phasing trough on guidance is somewhat encouraging

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

@Politics115343 @jake_wx @MCPS My school is 10 miles from my house and I brought my car, I'm not walking 😭

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

So disappointed in @MCPS's decision to presumably stay open after no announcement. As a student myself who drives home, being sent home in these conditions is unacceptable especially since there are so many students who drive back too. Temperatures are at 30° on this frame.

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

@seckhardt A lot of the student drivers here have little to no experience with the snow and by the time the heavy snow picks up at 4 PM, buses are actively driving home with air/ground temps <32°. You'll be fine is crazy, we're not the North 😭

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

@_MikeVA @WashingtonianWx Hi, someone from WWG here — we're erring on the north compared to other meteorologists due to the setup itself. Though, I would expect 5-6", the 8" upside is for the boom potential/isolated totals the further south you go.

[Washingtonian Weather Geeks @WashingtonianWx]

FIRST CALL: Here are our thoughts on the upcoming winter storm. We think the heaviest snow will fall in and around the DC Metro and to the southeast, with 3-5” expected up north.

Any preparations need to be completed today and tomorrow. This will be a long-duration snow event. School closures and significant travel impacts are likely.

This forecast is expected to change as the models continue to improve confidence in the track of this system. #vawx #mdwx #dcwx #wvwx

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

it's so over

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

There is genuinely no reason a major sidewalk should look like this 4 days after an 8" snowstorm, we do not live in the south 😭😭

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

@TropicalSaiel Your point makes sense but DC saw sleet. While we didn't sleet for very long, NAM was the only model who was right with the warm nose since it had the sleet line climbing all the way to DC 😭

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

However, be prepared for this event because ground temperatures will be frigid, meaning that any snow that falls will stick immediately and wreak havoc on anyone caught offguard. Additionally, there's time left for this event to trend into a larger one, so be on the lookout!

[Montgomery County Weather @AtlanticWx]

What's next for snow? ❄️☃️

A light event will pass by our region on Saturday morning. It should be a quick hitter with the majority of the region seeing C-2" with those further north near the M/D line and south near Fredericksburg seeing 1-3". (1/x)