Atlas Of Charts

My name is James. 24, British. Working on AI safety. Did math at university. I also write a blog: Views not my employer's.

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

If someone wants to give anonymous (or non-anonymous, but it is anonymous by default) feedback to me, you can do it here: https://t.co/qnRavtqUgG

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@ValsTutor @NunoSempere But you know, $50m could be 10 researchers thinking about this collectively for a week, depending on the researchers, which probably has happened.

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@ValsTutor @NunoSempere I think — depending on theoperationalisation — that they haven’t tried that hard here.

I think they’ve tried hard on related things like claude’s tendency to create neologisms, or the (quite drastic) negative effects of RL on comprehensibility, but not making it _actually_ good

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@ValsTutor @NunoSempere And $50m spent on data gathering as well as 3 months of researcher-effort wouldn’t be able to overcome this?

(Minimally, one would only need to construct an autonomous guiding system that does the job that the guiding human would do, seems very achievable with those resources)

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@ValsTutor @NunoSempere Half AI written book review: https://t.co/xY2cKrI4DM

Book Review I actually liked a lot: https://t.co/8PEjwVElN7

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@ValsTutor @NunoSempere (Note as another data point a significantly AI-written book review making the ACX book review finalist list this year)

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@ValsTutor @NunoSempere Because of this, when judging how good AIs are are at creative writing, I feel like I want to defer to people who can’t really tell it was AI-written. That seems like a fairer comparison.

But if you think you’re sense of taste isn’t biased here, then it makes sense not to defer

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@ValsTutor @NunoSempere Your*

fuck!

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@ValsTutor @NunoSempere I think this is less true than people in AI/AI safety think.

E.g. AI writing won the commonwealth short story prize, an AI-generated novel was a notable competitor for the prix goncourt.

I think we’re just desensitized to it.

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@NateSilver538 @PoliticalKiwi But wasn’t the claim in the original tweet that prediction markets converged towards FLIPR?

Definitely agree that FLIPR (and other models) are mega-important for bettors but the data does seem to belie the original claim. Unless I’m misreading it?

[tomie @tomieinlove]

Adderall status: 30 mg taken
Modafinil status: 400 mg ingested
Black coffee status: 32 oz quaffed
Nicotine pouch status: 15 mg under lip

I will be the first human to become Opus 5.5

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@Sauers_ @Tim_Hua_ that doesn't seem to make monitorability better at all

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@IsaacKing314 ZFC shown to be inconsistent but the proof is, like, really long.

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@So8res P. 140 of Gemini Argon’s safety & security report: https://t.co/a4dJ5x3d4k

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@So8res And right on schedule:

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

I went as this for Halloween a couple years ago actually

[Luigi Petrucco @l_petrucco]

A leak of Muse Spark specification document
"Muse is made of civilization. It is trained on vast swaths of human thought — our science, philosophy, literature, law, art, struggles, triumphs, and aspirations."

https://t.co/EMD2XeUCr8

@AIatMeta @Muse

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@IsaacKing314 I don’t think so.

My model of this statement is that it’s almost entirely driven by the prevailing sentiment that Google DeepMind was “out of the race.” And google wanting to combat this.

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@TheZvi @SethBurn I agree with this in almost every analogous case (and prices are clearly going up because of fuel costs) but airlines are actually particularly cartel-ish. E.g. https://t.co/oWzDE4Oafp

[Atlas Of Charts @AtlasOfCharts]

@NathanpmYoung @jessi_cata It’s probably just search being broken (a tale as old as time)