Crypto analyst || web Dev || AMA & VC hostand certified VA .
Also into rendering ideas and solutions to defi and WEB 3.0 probs !! lover of the Utherverse $UTHR
@WiseCrypto_ Prediction markets have been brutal this World Cup. Underdogs keep rewriting the script. ⚽🔥
A reminder that no outcome is ever guaranteed in football. That's why we love the game.
Ethereum ($ETH) enters July 2026 near $1,570 after its first-ever 3 consecutive red quarters.
Mixed signals:
• Active addresses down ~46% → weak demand
• Whale wallets (1K–10K ETH) rising → accumulation
• Key support: $1,500
• Key resistance: $1,753 (0.786 Fib)
Break below $1.5K → $1.2K risk
Reclaim $1.75K → bearish case invalidated
Volatility is compressed. A major move is coming—direction still unclear.
@WiseCrypto_ The thesis is reasonable but forward-looking. Rather than betting on which company builds the best quantum computer, it argues that the more durable opportunity may lie in the software, security, and infrastructure that every quantum system will
@WiseCrypto_ When volatility compresses, prices tend to trade in a tighter range than usual. These periods often precede a larger move—but compression alone doesn't indicate whether that move will be up or down.
@WiseCrypto_ An Open USD (OUSD) network backed by more than 140 partners would aim to make stablecoin payments interoperable across different companies and platforms.
@WiseCrypto_ Stablecoins are often viewed as sidelined capital waiting to enter the market. A declining supply can mean there’s less immediate buying power available to support crypto prices.
$BTC enters July under pressure.
• Price: ~$59.5K
• June: -19% (vs +5.9% avg)
• ETF outflows: $4.06B (record)
• Open interest: $31.3B → $21.6B
Bearish H&S in play.
Below $55.3K → $52K → $48K → $42K.
Less leverage. More spot selling.
This looks like a grind, not a crash.
@WiseCrypto_ Open interest falling from $31.3B to $21.6B means much of the speculative leverage has already been flushed from the market. That's generally healthier than having excessive leverage, but it also means any recovery will likely need genuine spot buying
🚨 Crypto “dry powder” is fading.
Stablecoin supply dropped $9.4B since May 8, including $2.1B in the past week alone.
$USDT (-$3.79B) and $USDC (-$2.42B) lead outflows as total supply falls to $313B.
Fewer sidelines. Less buying power.
Liquidity isn’t waiting—it’s leaving.
@WiseCrypto_ However, it is best interpreted alongside other indicators such as spot buying, exchange inflows/outflows, derivatives positioning, and overall macroeconomic conditions.
@WiseCrypto_ The note that recent expiries have shown limited max pain pinning is important. It suggests the market hasn't consistently gravitated toward the max pain price, so traders shouldn't expect BTC to rally toward $70K just because that's the options max pain level.
$970M wiped. 175K traders liquidated.
This wasn’t a dip — it was a full leverage flush.
$BTC dropped to $59.1K before bouncing to $60,668
$ETH followed. Alts bled across the board.
What really matters:
• $336M BTC longs nuked
• $188M ETH longs gone
• Binance alone: $350M+ liquidations
• Largest single hit: BTCUSDT on Binance
$BTC is trapped between:
→ $61.5K–$63K (heavy liquidation resistance)
→ $59.7K support (just got tested)
Break $63K → shorts get squeezed
Lose $59K → next cascade begins
⚠️ $10.63B in $BTC and $ETH options expire today on Deribit — the largest event this quarter — as markets continue searching for a bottom.
• $BTC: ~$60.2K (-2%) vs $70K max pain
• $ETH: ~$1.58K (-4.4%) vs $2K max pain
• Notional: $9.06B BTC | $1.57B ETH
Positioning signals caution:
• Put demand rising despite call-heavy OI
• BTC put/call: 0.63 | ETH: 0.50
• Short-term skew deeply negative → downside hedging active
Gamma setup:
• Negative: $60K–$64K (current range → volatility risk)
• Positive: $67K–$82K (resistance clusters)
Macro tone remains weak with both assets at multi-month lows.
Forecasts diverge:
• $40K–$44K bottom range floated by market veterans
• Long-term bullish targets remain intact
Deribit notes limited “max pain” pinning effect in recent expiries.
Expiry may keep price choppy near current levels — next move depends on whether sellers extend control or buyers step in.