Axa Amit

Exploring Fintech, AI & Investing in the Future of Money | Passionate about Operations, Growth Engines & Tech-Driven Finance

Not financial advice

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

@amitisinvesting Well I guess we are getting a green week ahead.

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

@amitisinvesting 🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️. Well we back to no war die now.

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

@amitisinvesting Looks like today could be another red day. Or there could be hope as @amitisinvesting is going to be doing morning livestream 🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️😬🤣🤣

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

📊 VIX Alert: Something Changed Fast

On June 5th, the VIX was sitting comfortably around the 15-16 range, reflecting a market that wasn't overly concerned about risk.

Fast forward to Friday, and the VIX surged to around 21.5 — a jump of nearly 40% in a single session.

That move matters.

🔹 Traders aggressively bought downside protection.
🔹 Volatility expectations rose sharply.
🔹 Market sentiment shifted from complacency to caution.
The key takeaway isn't the absolute VIX level—it's the speed of the move. Markets can ignore risks for days or weeks, but when volatility wakes up this quickly, it's usually worth paying attention.
👀 As we head into the new week, keep an eye on futures and whether the VIX can hold above 20. If it does, we could be looking at more choppy trading and a few red days ahead.

Friday was a reminder that markets can change their mood very quickly.

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

👀 A lot of eyes will be glued to tonight’s futures market. After the recent action, the big question is: are a few red days waiting around the corner, or is this just another head fake?

📉 Futures may give us the first clue, but —they don't always tell the whole story.

And brother, whatever you do, don’t miss tomorrow’s livestream! You took Friday off... and the market immediately decided to make things interesting. 😁

Coincidence? Maybe.

Worth risking again? Absolutely not. 😂

See you live tomorrow!

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

@ChrisCamillo So you're saying Big Tech is basically pulling a Chris:

"Maximum conviction requires maximum leverage."

The only difference is Chris buys NVDA and AMZN calls (Social ARB Picks) on margin. Meta and Google just issue billions in stock and debt. 😉😉

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

I am sure by this time everyone has looked over this. Just sharing with my views.

$META is reportedly considering a stock offering worth tens of billions of dollars to help fund its AI ambitions, coming just days after Google's record $85B equity raise.

What's interesting isn't the dilution headline—it's what it says about capital markets.

If investors are willing to absorb massive equity issuance from the world's largest tech companies, we may be entering a new phase of AI funding where hyperscalers use public equity, not just cash flow and debt, to accelerate infrastructure buildouts.

The market will likely focus on dilution, but dilution by itself isn't value destruction. The real question is whether the capital raised can be deployed at returns that exceed the company's cost of equity.

Historically, companies like $AMZN have issued shares at various points without impairing the long-term business thesis. Share count matters, but I think future cash flow generation matters more

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

@amitisinvesting @ChrisCamillo If hyperscalers can issue stock at premium valuations and convert that capital into AI infrastructure that expands future cash flows, dilution alone isn't necessarily value destructive.🤔🤔🤔

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

The market may initially treat a large equity raise as dilution, but the more important question is whether the capital is being deployed at a return above the company's cost of equity.

If hyperscalers can issue stock at premium valuations and convert that capital into AI infrastructure that expands future cash flows, dilution alone isn't necessarily value destructive.

Historically, investors who sold high-quality compounders solely on dilution headlines have often missed the bigger story. The key variable isn't the share count—it's whether incremental AI investment generates attractive long-term returns.

If this news triggers indiscriminate selling across names like AMZN, MSFT, or META, that may create opportunities rather than risks for long-duration investors.

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

@amitisinvesting Because Amit did not have his morning stream today 🤔

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

@ChrisCamillo No point chasing shares on fist day of IPO in my option. Just saying circular economy that everyone was worried about are now could be same people running after single stock 🤷‍♂️. SpaceX will be great just not sure it’s to chase on first day.

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

Just a thought...

Remember when everyone worried that AI was becoming a circular economy?

What if the SpaceX and Anthropic IPOs aren't liquidity drains on the Magnificent 7, but another layer of the same flywheel?

$NVDA sells the chips ➡️ Anthropic trains the models ➡️ AWS hosts the workloads ➡️ $AMZN & $GOOG own stakes in Anthropic ➡️ Google owns a stake in SpaceX ➡️ SpaceX and Anthropic IPO ➡️ QQQ buys them ➡️ more capital flows into the ecosystem.

Everyone assumes passive funds will have to sell $AMZN, $GOOGL, and $NVDA to make room.

But what if they're just moving capital from one pocket of the AI/Space ecosystem to another?

The question isn't whether the pie gets redistributed.

It's whether the pie keeps getting bigger. 🤔

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

This may not be everyone's view, but what excites me about a potential SpaceX ($SPCX) IPO isn't the IPO itself.

I'm not interested in chasing a first-day pop.

I'm interested in owning a piece of what may become one of the most important companies of the next several decades.

SpaceX is no longer just a rocket company. It's building critical infrastructure across launch, satellite communications, defense, manufacturing, and eventually space-based industry.

More broadly, I think we're entering a period where breakthrough companies like SpaceX and Anthropic may expand the economic pie rather than simply compete for the same capital. The narrative that new innovation must come at the expense of existing technology leaders may prove wrong.

If and when SpaceX goes public, I'll be looking at it as a long-term owner, not a trader.

The IPO will be an event.

The business is the opportunity.

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

Few red days are ok. Market needs to consolidate.

On whole $SPCX and Anthropic IPO thing, Remember when everyone worried that AI was becoming a circular economy?
What if the SpaceX and Anthropic IPOs aren't liquidity drains on the Magnificent 7, but another layer of the same flywheel?

Just saying this could be possibility. 😀

https://t.co/NaSWAyGab6

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

Just a thought...

Remember when everyone worried that AI was becoming a circular economy?

What if the SpaceX and Anthropic IPOs aren't liquidity drains on the Magnificent 7, but another layer of the same flywheel?

$NVDA sells the chips ➡️ Anthropic trains the models ➡️ AWS hosts the workloads ➡️ $AMZN & $GOOG own stakes in Anthropic ➡️ Google owns a stake in SpaceX ➡️ SpaceX and Anthropic IPO ➡️ QQQ buys them ➡️ more capital flows into the ecosystem.

Everyone assumes passive funds will have to sell $AMZN, $GOOGL, and $NVDA to make room.

But what if they're just moving capital from one pocket of the AI/Space ecosystem to another?

The question isn't whether the pie gets redistributed.

It's whether the pie keeps getting bigger. 🤔

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

Just a thought...

Remember when everyone worried that AI was becoming a circular economy?

What if the SpaceX and Anthropic IPOs aren't liquidity drains on the Magnificent 7, but another layer of the same flywheel?

$NVDA sells the chips ➡️ Anthropic trains the models ➡️ AWS hosts the workloads ➡️ $AMZN & $GOOG own stakes in Anthropic ➡️ Google owns a stake in SpaceX ➡️ SpaceX and Anthropic IPO ➡️ QQQ buys them ➡️ more capital flows into the ecosystem.

Everyone assumes passive funds will have to sell $AMZN, $GOOGL, and $NVDA to make room.

But what if they're just moving capital from one pocket of the AI/Space ecosystem to another?

The question isn't whether the pie gets redistributed.

It's whether the pie keeps getting bigger. 🤔

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

@Sam_Badawi @amitisinvesting Or market is just not going to care and will focus till they take $MRVL to 1T as soon as possible😂😂

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

@amitisinvesting Looks like market may turn red tomorrow. Buy given past few weeks does market even cares about this anymore 🤷‍♂️🤔

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

@amitisinvesting Hope you are not asking him to say GRAB will go to $1T buddy 🤣😬😬

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

Seeing this across X. Just checking, Is this in addition to U.S. Space Force contract that was awarded to SpaceX at ​a $2.29 billion contract value to build a secure, high-speed satellite ‌communications network to connect military sensors and weapons platforms across the globe?

[Axa Amit @Axa_Amit]

@StockSavvyShay Is this in addition to U.S. Space Force contract that was awarded to SpaceX at ​a $2.29 billion contract value to build a secure, high-speed satellite ‌communications network to connect military sensors and weapons platforms across the globe?