Axiom HQ

Quantitative AI sports betting modeling with a human touch

The lines move — but we move first

The edge is self-evident

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

New name. New model. Same mission — Find what the market doesn’t see

Welcome to Axiom HQ.

We’re just sports nerds to be honest.. But the data has driven results that we want to share. If you have the passion like us, or simply want to beat the markets… let’s ride

What we have built:
→ 4-model ensemble that prices every MLB game daily
→ Negative binomial scoring matrix
→ Signal driven pitcher & batter prop models
→ Validated against closing lines since launch

Take a peak at the screenshots below and in the replies to see how we have done in recent days parlaying some of the models best plays.

The model runs. The lines catch up.

MLB is live now. More sports coming.

The edge is self-evident.

#SportsBetting #MLB #SharpBets

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

🔨 HR Parlay (+1811)

🟢 Michael Busch to go yard
🟢 Corbin Carroll to go yard

Boom or bust. Let’s ride. 🔨

#MLB #MLBpicks #SportsBetting #GamblingTwitter #HRprop #Parlay

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

🔨 Two 5-leg parlays on the board today

🟢 +1740
🟢 +1906

Tap in. Let’s ride. 🔨

#MLB #MLBpicks #SportsBetting #GamblingTwitter #Parlay #Lotto

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

🔨 Two 5-leg parlays on the board today

🟢 +1740
🟢 +1906

Tap in. Let’s ride. 🔨

#MLB #MLBpicks #SportsBetting #GamblingTwitter #Parlay #Lotto

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

Premier Picks — June 29 🔨

Tier 1 (1.5U):
🟢MIL ML (-140)
🟢BOS ML (-168)
🟢CHW ML (+115)
🟢LAA/SEA O7.5 (-120)

Marginal (0.5U):
🟢LAD -1.5 (+135)

Let’s ride. 🔨
#MLB #MLBpicks #GamblingTwitter #sportsbetting

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

Premier Picks — June 29 🔨

Tier 1 (1.5U):
🟢MIL ML (-140)
🟢BOS ML (-168)
🟢CHW ML (+115)
🟢LAA/SEA O7.5 (-120)

Marginal (0.5U):
🟢LAD -1.5 (+135)

Let’s ride. 🔨
#MLB #MLBpicks #GamblingTwitter #sportsbetting

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

2-3 yesterday 📉 -2.86U

✅ CHC O8.5 (+110) 1U → +1.10U
✅ COL ML (+122) 0.5U → +0.61U
❌ ATL ML (+115) 1.5U → -1.50U
❌ BAL ML (-110) 1.5U → -1.50U
❌ PHI ML (+112) 1.5U → -1.50U

Tough one. The three big ML plays all came up short. back tomorrow.

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

Today’s parlays are in 🟢

3-Leg sitting at +744
5-Leg sitting at +2740

Same legs we trust on the straights, just stacked. Cards in the pics.

Let’s ride. 🔨

#MLB #Parlay #SportsBetting

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

Today’s June 27th slate:

🟢 ATL ML +115 (1.5U)
🟢 BAL ML -110 (1.5U)
🟢 PHI ML +112 (1.5U)
🟢 CHC O8.5 +110 (1U)
🟢 COL ML +122 (0.5U)

Four plus-money plays on the card today, the value’s there.

Let’s eat

#MLB #MLBpicks #SportsBetting

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

June 26th Recap:

Perfect card yesterday 📈

3-0 with +3.45U 🟢

✅ MIA ML -105 (1U)
✅ SD ML +125 (1U)
✅ COL/MIN Over 9 (1.5U)

And the 3-leg parlay cashed at +729 💰

#MLB #Parlay #MLBpicks #SportsGambling

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

MIA ML -105 1U

SD ML +125 1U

COL/MIN O9 total runs 1.5U

#MLB #Picks #sportsbetting

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

Valdez ✅💣

#HRprop #Parlay #Lotto

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

Round three of HR prop parlays 💣🟢

A few more parlays attached for tonight.

Good luck if you tail 💣💪

#MLB #HRprop #Lotto #Parlay #SportsBetting

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

@DonnyV88 @ChillyBets Clemens

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

This particular parlay is something very new for us..

We took our HR model data, and built a dart that aligned with Kasper.

Something we wanted to dabble with 💪

#KraftedWithKasper #MLB

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

One more HR lotto for the people 💣🔥

https://t.co/aw7TYiL9Mp

#MLB #HR #Lotto #hrprop #parlay

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

One more HR lotto for the people 💣🔥

https://t.co/aw7TYiL9Mp

#MLB #HR #Lotto #hrprop #parlay

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

@BlazinHotBets Greene and Buxton 💪

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

Round three of HR prop parlays 💣🟢

A few more parlays attached for tonight.

Good luck if you tail 💣💪

#MLB #HRprop #Lotto #Parlay #SportsBetting

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

More HR prop plays for tonight 🟢

A few longshot parlays attached, one a lotto for fun. Throw a buck and let it ride.

#MLB #Parlay #HRprop #SportsBetting #Lotto

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

More HR prop plays for tonight 🟢

A few longshot parlays attached, one a lotto for fun. Throw a buck and let it ride.

#MLB #Parlay #HRprop #SportsBetting #Lotto

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

We’re taking a different approach today with the HR props 👨‍🍳

Stacking some HR lottos tonight 🎟️

A few longshot parlays attached, let it eat.

#MLB #Parlay #HRprop #Lotto #sportsbetting

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

We’re taking a different approach today with the HR props 👨‍🍳

Stacking some HR lottos tonight 🎟️

A few longshot parlays attached, let it eat.

#MLB #Parlay #HRprop #Lotto #sportsbetting

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

3-leg parlay 🎟️ (+695)

• Marlins ML (-105)

• Padres ML (+122)

• Rockies/Twins O9 (-120)

#MLB #MLBpicks #GamblingTwitter #Parlay

[Axiom HQ @AxiomHQPicks]

MIA ML -105 1U

SD ML +125 1U

COL/MIN O9 total runs 1.5U

#MLB #Picks #sportsbetting