Axion MMA

Axion MMA uses AI driven simulations to analyze UFC matchups and estimate win probabilities. Content is for informational purposes only.

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

For too long, fight analysis has been driven by hype and hot takes. We're here to change that

AXION MMA is built on data, not hype. Our AI-driven model analyzes countless data points to deliver the most objective UFC predictions available

Welcome to the new era of fight analytics

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

#ufcvegas116 picks are live

Main event leans Sterling control over 5 rounds

Follow @AxionMMA for consistent data driven picks

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

Main event prediction for April 25 at the UFC Apex

Axion predicts Sterling 55% win

Because control wins at the Apex and five rounds favor experience and pace

Follow @AxionMMA for full card predictions dropping tomorrow

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

The complete UFC 327 prediction board is locked in.

We don't guess. We analyze. After running the final simulations this morning, here is exactly how the data sees tonight playing out in Miami.

A few key takeaways from the model:

• The Locks: Murzakanov, Gamrot, and Suarez are unanimous 8-0 picks across all our models. Don't overthink these.

• The Value: Swanson is sitting at +102, but 7 of our 8 models have him finishing Landwehr. Massive edge there.

• The Main Event: It's a dead-even split (4-4) in the simulations. Ulberg is the cleaner striker, but the data suggests Procházka's chaotic pressure and durability will drag Ulberg into deep waters for a late TKO.

Check the graphic for the exact win probabilities and method predictions for all 12 fights.

Where data decides.

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#UFC327 #JiriProchazka #CarlosUlberg #MMAPredictions #FightPicks #SportsAnalytics #AxionMMA #WhereDataDecides #UFC

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

3 plays. One outcome.

Prochazka ML
Holland ML
Blaydes ML

+543

Model edge across all three. Experience, activity, and clear stylistic advantages line up.

This is the parlay.

Follow @AxionMMA for full card predictions and final locks

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

Chaos doesn’t last long.

Prochazka 79%
KO/TKO Round 2
High confidence

Pressure meets precision and breaks it early. Jiri closes the distance, turns it into chaos, and finds the finish before Ulberg can settle in.

Round 2. Statement made.

Follow @AxionMMA for full card predictions and final locks

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

UFC Seattle: Full Card Predictions

13 fights broken down by the numbers. No bias, no hype, just the highest probability outcomes.

Let's have a night.

#UFCSeattle #MMA #UFCFightNight #AxionMMA

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

Seattle card tomorrow. Three fighters the model likes.

Chiesa — 85%. Sub R1.
Thainara — 75%. Sub R2.
Adesanya — 58%. Dec R5.

One of these is way too close for comfort. You already know which one.

#UFC #UFCSeattle #MMA #UFCPredictions #AxionMMA

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy Predictions

Model locked in across the entire card

High confidence spots on Page, Riley, Jones and Dyer
Early finish upside showing on multiple fights
Main event projects to go the distance

Where data finds the edge

Full breakdown, parlay and featured fighters now live

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#UFC #UFCLondon #MMA #UFCFightNight #SportsBetting #MMAAnalysis #UFCPicks #FightPredictions

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

Axion 3-Leg Parlay for UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy

Luke Riley
Shanelle Dyer
Mason Jones

Three fighters with clear statistical edges and favorable matchups across the board

Projected at +189

Data-driven. Not guesswork.

Full card predictions live now

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[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

Featured Fighters for UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy

Michael Page
Elite distance control and striking defense create one of the highest KO ceilings on the card

Luke Riley
High-volume pressure and 70% finish rate make him a dangerous problem early

Mantas Kondratavicius
83% finish rate with clear first-round KO upside in a showcase spot

Three fighters. Three edges. All backed by data.

Full card predictions and parlay dropping next

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[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

@ThatCageMathGuy Model seems to favor Emmet - we shall see

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

Axion A.I. full card predictions for UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos

10,000 simulations per fight.

Top model projections
• Johnson – 80.5%
• Emmett – 75.8%
• Curtis – 75.1%

Biggest upset projection: Josh Emmett

Method breakdown across simulations shows a strong lean toward finishes on this card.

Full results drop after the event.

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Where data decides.

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

@2Jab_1Cross Will be exactly like the DDP fight - unfortunately

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

Featured Fighter: Charles Johnson

Axion projects an ~80.5% win probability for Johnson vs Bruno Silva.

4.68 significant strikes landed per minute.
+1.44 strike differential.
4-inch reach advantage.

Across 10,000 simulations, Johnson consistently wins the striking exchanges and controls the pace.

Method projection: KO/TKO
Finish window: Rounds 1–3

Full card predictions dropping soon.

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Where data decides.

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

@FirstRdPicks Will be a good fight

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

Featured Fighter: Chris Curtis

Axion projects a ~75.1% win probability for Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai

6.20 SLpM
92% takedown defense
Elite boxing pressure

If Curtis keeps this fight standing, the model sees his volume and durability overwhelming Orolbai across 10K simulations

Method projection: KO/TKO
Finish window: Rounds 1–3

Full card predictions dropping soon

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Where data decides

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

@2Jab_1Cross Get rid of the belt

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

@AgainstMadness Jiri will KO him 💪

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

Featured Fighter: Josh Emmett

Axion’s model gives Emmett a ~75.8% chance to win over Kevin Vallejos despite entering as the betting underdog.

The data favors Emmett’s power, durability, and experience against elite competition. If he lands clean, this fight can flip fast.

A massive upset according to the market.
A strong edge according to the model.

Full card predictions drop soon.

Follow @AxionMMA for UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos picks.

[Axion MMA @AxionMMA]

UFC 326 Results

9/12 correct — 75%

Nearly a perfect card. The Xiao Long fight turned chaotic and the main event was a big miss, but the model still delivered strong accuracy across the board.

Follow @AxionMMA for featured fighter breakdowns and full card predictions every fight week