The Coinbase vs. SEC case is a crucial battle for the crypto industry, determining the fate of 13 tokens. Judge Failla showed an understanding of the industry and questioned the SEC's classification of the tokens as securities. Her decision will have significant implications on businesses, regulation, and individuals worldwide. In other news, VanEck plans to delist its Bitcoin Strategy ETF due to performance and investor interest, the IRS exempts reporting crypto transactions above $10,000 temporarily, Bitcoin ETFs generate three times the volume of all 500 ETFs launched in 2023, and Core Scientific exits bankruptcy and relists shares on Nasdaq. Stay updated with Crypto Biz for the latest industry updates.
The Ethereum ETHUSD price has fallen recently and is currently testing a crucial support level. Despite the decline, it is still within a short-term bullish pattern, raising the question of whether it will break out. The ETH price had been steadily rising within an ascending parallel channel since October 2023, reaching a high of $2,717 on January 12. However, it quickly fell back, validating the channel as resistance and forming a bearish candlestick. Now, Ethereum is nearing a significant horizontal support level.
Traders often refer to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to determine market conditions and make trading decisions. A reading above 50, coupled with an upward trend, suggests that the bulls still have the upper hand, while a reading below 50 indicates the opposite. Currently, the daily RSI is giving a mixed reading, as it is falling but still above 50.
Analysts in the cryptocurrency community are divided on the future trend of Ethereum. Some, like Crypto Tony, emphasize the importance of the $2,400 level, believing that its hold or break will determine the trajectory. On the other hand, IncomeSharks remains bullish, anticipating an OBV (On-Balance Volume) breakout. Conversely, CrediBULL Crypto remains bearish, expecting further downside before a potential shift in favor of longs.
Examining the six-hour chart, it becomes apparent that Ethereum has been trading within a descending wedge pattern since the aforementioned high. This pattern is typically considered bullish and often leads to breakouts. Recently, ETH found support at the lower trend line of the wedge, coinciding with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement support level. However, the RSI is still below 50, failing to confirm a potential reversal.
If Ethereum manages to break out, it could target the resistance trend line of the channel at $2,700, representing a 9% increase from the current price. However, if it closes below the wedge's support line at $2,410, it could trigger an 8% drop towards the channel's support trend line at $2,300.
In today's crypto news, Grayscale's Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) has seen a significant decline of approximately $5 billion in assets over the past week due to share redemptions and adverse market conditions. This was expected after the SEC allowed Grayscale to convert the fund into an ETF. On the other hand, a trader managed to make a massive profit of $6.77 million within three hours of the SatoshiVM (SAVM) token launch using a banana gun sniping tool. However, the token's price quickly plummeted 99% due to a bug during the v1 launch. In a separate development, Bitcoin miner Hut 8 Corp. experienced a 23% drop in share price amid allegations from short-sellers. A report released by JCapital Research claimed that the recent merger with U.S. Bitcoin Corp (USBTC) could be putting investors at risk due to legal trouble and undisclosed related parties. It's important to note that this article does not provide investment advice, and readers should conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has initiated a comment period for the proposal put forth by Nasdaq to allow options trading on BlackRock's spot bitcoin ETF. The 21-day comment period, as mentioned in the filing, provides an opportunity for public feedback on the proposed amendment. Industry experts note that the SEC seems to be expediting the process, suggesting that options trading on spot bitcoin ETFs could potentially be approved as early as the end of February. Additionally, firms like BlackRock and Fidelity are also seeking approval for Ethereum ETFs, with the SEC extending its deadline for a decision on Fidelity's proposal until March 5.
The approval and launch of spot bitcoin ETFs by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission have propelled them to the second-largest commodity position in the U.S. ETF market, surpassing silver and trailing only behind gold. With a total of nearly $28 billion in assets under management, bitcoin ETFs have clearly captured the mainstream appetite for digital assets. While some argue that the swift rise of bitcoin ETFs is attributed to the conversion of Grayscale's Bitcoin trust, it is still a remarkable achievement for a digital asset in a market traditionally dominated by conventional commodities. Although gold maintains its leading position, the rapid ascent of bitcoin ETFs showcases the growing acceptance and popularity of bitcoin as a digital counterpart to gold.
The U.S. dollar has retreated slightly, putting a halt to its recent streak of gains, but remains on track for a weekly increase. This shift comes as new economic data and statements from Federal Reserve officials temper expectations of swift interest rate cuts. The dollar initially strengthened as the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index showed improvement, alongside positive labor market and retail sales figures earlier in the week. Despite this, expectations for a March rate cut have fallen below 50%, with May now being seen as the more likely month for such a announcement. While the market remains optimistic about future rate cuts, analysts believe the Fed will only reduce rates as the economy weakens. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, is down 0.08% but still up 0.8% for the week. Fed officials, including Governor Christopher Waller, have been cautioning against the market's expectation of rapid rate cuts. Waller stressed the need for a cautious approach in response to sustained lower inflation. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee echoed this sentiment, stating that more inflation data is required before a rate cut decision can be made. Additionally, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly emphasized the need to address inflation concerns thoroughly before considering rate cuts. The euro has gained against the dollar for the day but is down overall for the week. J.P.Morgan has adjusted its predictions for ECB interest rate cuts to begin in June, rather than September, but the bank remains cautious about inflation and wage growth trends. The yen remains steady against the dollar, with the Bank of Japan expected to maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy in an upcoming meeting. The dollar has gained over 2% against the yen this week and is set for its third consecutive weekly increase. In the UK, the pound has weakened after retail sales slumped in December, marking the biggest decline in three years. Bitcoin has seen a 2.04% increase, but is on track for a second week of losses following the approval of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the US.
Former IcomTech CEO Marco Ruiz Ochoa has been sentenced to five years in prison for his involvement in a crypto Ponzi-like scheme. Ochoa took advantage of the cryptocurrency hype to deceive unsuspecting victims into investing in the IcomTech pyramid scheme. This harsh sentence serves as a warning to others that engaging in such fraudulent activities will result in serious consequences. In addition to his prison term, Ochoa must also go through two years of supervised release and forfeit $914,000 in criminal proceeds. The company, IcomTech, falsely promised investors profits through their crypto trading and mining activities, but in reality, these operations did not exist, and the funds were used for personal expenses and other schemes. The promoters created an atmosphere of excitement and success, showcasing expensive cars and luxury clothes. When investors attempted to withdraw their money, they faced various obstacles and delays. Despite these complaints, Ochoa and other promoters continued to endorse the company until its eventual collapse in 2019. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission also filed charges against Ochoa and other IcomTech executives for targeting Spanish-speaking communities. This case serves as a reminder of the importance of conducting thorough research and due diligence before investing in any cryptocurrency-related schemes.
The recovery of Bitcoin's price is under threat due to the strength of the U.S. dollar and the selling pressure on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has experienced a sharp recovery, rising by 2.71% and reaching new highs. This has been driven by positive economic data and a rebound in U.S. yields. Technically, the DXY is expected to rise further, potentially impacting Bitcoin's price. Additionally, GBTC has seen massive outflows since the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, leading to the liquidation of a significant amount of Bitcoin. Despite the approval of the ETFs, the price of BTC has not increased significantly. An independent analyst predicts a potential retracement for Bitcoin to around $34,000. However, market sentiment remains positive about the long-term impact of the spot Bitcoin ETFs, despite a temporary market top due to FOMO surrounding their approval.
Despite potential delays, the Thai government remains committed to implementing the $14.3 billion digital wallet scheme. The scheme aims to stimulate the economy by providing 50 million citizens with 10,000 local baht through a mobile app. It is yet to be determined if blockchain technology will play a role in facilitating the digital wallet cash disbursement. Despite criticism, Prime Minister Thavisin assures the public that the implementation will be transparent and free from corruption. The government plans to secure the funding through a one-time borrowing, and a portion will be allocated to a capacity-building fund for automation and industrial innovation.
The price of Bitcoin has dropped below $41,000 as a result of various factors, including the selling pressure from Grayscale's Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) and increased selling activity by miners. Grayscale has transferred a significant amount of BTC to Coinbase, totaling $529 million, which has contributed to the downward trend. Additionally, BTC miners have been selling off their holdings, resulting in a decrease in price. Bitcoin's price currently stands at $40,900, reflecting a slight decrease. The market now looks to Bitcoin bulls to defend the crucial $40,000 support level, as a breach could lead to further price declines. However, with the upcoming Bitcoin halving in April, many investors remain hopeful for a significant bull run.
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