sci-fi and fantasy lover, history, country boy, biker, rossi fan, anything with an engine, short arse, Depressive, lover of friends and lonely heart.
LLAP โค
Israel has always been at war with varying states of intensity since its inception as a country. Always. Every generation of Israelis has lost some of their children for their national survival.
Since 1979, Iran has been an enemy. Since the early 2000s, it has been their main enemy. Everything happening since 7 October is linked to Iran. Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis, Iraqi Popular Mobilisation Forces, all of it. The category error too many people make is looking at each front in isolation due to the obsession with Gaza.
Iranโs network has been severely weakened in one regional war since 7 October. That is why Hezbollah is Tehranโs red line. They are the jewel in the crown of Iranโs network.
Whilst Israel strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon, Iran will not negotiate a permanent ceasefire because it is all one conflict. Israel cannot stop striking Hezbollah, because Hezbollah keeps firing into N Israel and those communities cannot live in safety.
Therefore: either Trump secures concessions from Hezbollah not to fire at Israel, which will be linked to the US/Israel not firing at Iran, there is no way out of this. If the US escalates back to striking Iran directly, Iran will resume strikes on the Gulf states. This is a near impossible circle to close, and in the meantime, the world economy circles the drain as global oil prices skyrocket when reserves run out.
If Trump can only get a ceasefire by ordering Israel to stop strikes in Lebanon, then Jerusalem has an existential decision to make.
There is no good or easy way out of this, but if you donโt see Gaza, Lebanon and Iran as all linked for the last two years, you cannot understand the whole problem.
Happy 54th birthday to Karl Urban, who portrayed รomer of Rohan in The Lord of the Rings. Even today, he still keeps รomerโs helmet and says how much he loves it. ๐ โค๏ธ
Urban has become one of the most beloved actors in genre entertainment, known for bringing grit, humor and intensity to every role. Fans know him as รomer in The Lord of the Rings, Bones McCoy in Star Trek, Judge Dredd in Dredd, Skurge in Thor: Ragnarok and Billy Butcher in The Boys.