Been a fantasy football sicko for a long time.
Spent way too many hours looking at ADP, projections, roster construction, and trying to figure out where the market is wrong ππ
Finally decided to start making content about it.
YouTube: @BBowlFFB
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Need a deep WR fill-in? Look at the top left of this chart. Offenses that play fast, with high PROE (pass rate over expectation).
Potential ugly, ugly deep WR options:
Xavier Hutchinson (HOU)
Ryan Flournoy (DAL)
Tyquan Thornton (KC)
Josh Palmer (BUF)
In my latest video, I broke down some of the biggest outliers from the WOPR vs Fantasy Points chart, including TMac, Coker, George Pickens, Jaylen Waddle, and more π
https://t.co/ZZbukow70G
Through 2 weeks, WOPR (weighted opportunity rating) is one of the best metrics we have to predict rest-of-season WR production.
WOPR Leaders
JSN 1.02 π
Parker Washington 0.94 π₯
Jefferson 0.89
DeVonta Smith 0.87
Puka 0.81
Amon-Ra 0.81
AD Mitchell 0.79 π
Chris Olave 0.77
More points are coming for Tetairoa McMillan in this offense π―π
91% route share
27.3% target share (11th)
40% air yard share (18th)
0.69 WOPR (14th)
Panthers are playing at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NFL, and are 1st in neutral-script PROE π₯
@Underdog I tried using this. Spent 10 minutes trying to select 3 picks, the app telling me my picks couldn't be combined, recalculating payouts, freezing, hanging, and eventually I just quit.
This is the biggest thing I'm watching today π
"Did you see that run by Jonathan Brooks?!"
"Sort of... but did you see that TMac was IN THE SLOT AGAIN?!"
Fantasy Football Usage & Vibes to Watch on Sunday π
A Thread π§΅
1- Tetairoa McMillan slot usage.
As a rookie, McMillan spent just 15% of his snaps in the slot. This preseason? 40.9%.
McMillan could be in store for a massive usage bump with more easy button targets.
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@JusLuxy @MasonDoddFFN PWash here. I want to see what this new Arizona LaFleur offense looks like. Wilson when Marv is healthy: 0.72 YPRR vs when Marv isn't: 2.79 YPRR
Week 1 lineup decisions are brutal once you get past the obvious guys.
I went through 15 of the ACTUAL toss-up players: DK Metcalf, Chris Godwin, Rome Odunze, Quentin Johnston, Tony Pollard, Michael Mayer + more β and where Iβm starting/sitting them.
For the second straight day, the Patriotsβ injury report said RB TreVeyon Henderson did not practice due to an ankle injury. Henderson now has missed two weeks of practice, and New Englandβs season opens Wednesday night in Seattle.
Home fantasy leagues are still paying the 2022 QB tax.
The sharp/high-stakes rooms have already adjusted.
I broke down the recent history of QB pricing and where it actually makes sense to take an elite QB
Full breakdown below π
My initial thought was: shouldn't Lloyd jump above Brooks?
Both drafted in 2024. Neither have been healthy or played, yet still on their original team in their 3rd season.
And the GB offense projects to be much better with less competition behind him.