Beginner Crypto Inc.

Crypto analysis for people just getting started.
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[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

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[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

UTXO profit/loss ratio: lowest this bear cycle.

Every prior cycle this signal fired near the bottom.

Exchange reserves up 85K BTC since Jan. No supply shock without demand.

Signal forming. Bottom unconfirmed. $67K is the line.

#Bitcoin

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

$10B quarterly options expiry today. Biggest settlement of 2026.

BTC swept $58K, sitting at max pain near $60K.

Saylor: "volatility tests all capital structures."

He's right. No divergence yet. $67K is the line. Bear stays in charge.

#Bitcoin #BTC

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

@TheMoonCarl You should inform your subscribers the différence between intermediary bottom v ling term bottom.

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

Even Saylor gets a stop sign.

CryptoQuant told Strategy to halt BTC buys. Cash cushion thinned from 7yr to 14mo.

Not a bottom — late-cycle capitulation.

$59K sweep first. Confirm divergence. Then talk.

#Bitcoin #BTC

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

OG selling hit 962 BTC. 19-month low.
ETF outflows slowed to $114M from $4.4B peak.
Downside momentum fading. That's the setup — not the call.
$67K is the line. Bear stays in charge until divergence.

#Bitcoin #BTC

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

$62,500. The 200WMA is right here.

Below it: $59-57K TL support. Weekly bear cross forming — historically a bottom signal, not a top.

Don't call a turn. Sweep the low. Confirm divergence. Then you can talk.

#Bitcoin #BTC

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

Everyone calling this a correction.

It's not.

$70,512 broke. Bounces rejected. $67K is the line. Below it: $59-57K trendline. If that breaks: $49-50K.

No bullish divergence yet. Wait for the sweep first.

#Bitcoin #BTC

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

Death cross. $4.4B ETF outflows. BTC at $64K.

Panic headlines are the signal.

46 days of negative funding is a reversal streak, not a continuation. Longest since FTX. On-chain says cyclical.

The thesis hasn't changed.

#Bitcoin #BTC

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

Strategy sold BTC for the first time since 2022.

STRC at $82.53. Balchunas says kill it.

And BTC bounced from $60K anyway.

C-wave intact. $68K tells the next chapter.

#Bitcoin #BTC

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

On-chain screaming accumulation: F&G 15, MVRV 0.41, 200W MA held.

EW says C-wave still developing. $61K or $57.8K.

Same market. Two different stories.

On-chain buys. Structure waits.

The divergence IS the signal.

#Bitcoin #BTC

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

BTC bounced off the 200-week MA for the second time in two weeks.

Kraken says buying below it returned 100%+ median.

EW says C-wave still developing. $62K holds or $61K breaks to $57.8K.

Data screams buy. Structure waits.

#Bitcoin #BTC

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

9 of 18 FOMC members now project a hike in 2026.

BTC hit $66K, got rejected, now $64K. $400M liquidated, mostly longs.

C-wave. EW framework intact.

$61K support next. Below that, $57.8K golden ratio.

#Bitcoin #BTC

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

BoJ hiked to 1%. BITA launched. BTC held $65K.

BlackRock launched yield-bearing BTC into a macro test. Pal says liquidity squeeze clearing.

$59K bounce held. $61K is the line.

Hold it, and the narrative shifts.

#Bitcoin #Macro

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

Everyone's calling bottom on the peace deal + Saylor wave.

But $70.5K broke. This bounce to $66-68K fits B wave in ABC structure — not a trend change yet.

Watch $61K. Below that opens $57.8K. Above $74K shifts the view.

#Bitcoin

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

Headlines stack. Iran deal. Saylor buying. T.Rowe ETF.

BTC still at $64K.

$70.5K broke. Structure is ABC down. Bounces to $66-68K are B wave — not a trend change.

Above $74K shifts view. Below $61K opens $57.8K.

Trade levels, not headlines.

#Bitcoin

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

SpaceX $1.7T IPO. Iran peace signals. BlackRock launching yield on BTC.

BTC response: stuck under $64K.

Balchunas: $3B outflows is 'meaningless' vs $100B AUM. Share counts growing.

Good news ignored at extreme fear. Bottoms form when nobody believes it.

#Bitcoin

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

BlackRock filed BITA — a covered-call ETF on its own $49B IBIT.

The biggest institutional holder is selling calls on BTC.

They're positioning for range-bound. The chart confirms it — pinned under $64K. Same story.

#Bitcoin

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

PPI at 6.5%. Four-year high. BTC rallied through it.

Not decoupling. Confirmation the $81K→$61K selloff front-ran this data.

Same structure all week: bid at $60K, sold at $64K. Nothing changes until that range breaks.

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

CPI at 4.2%. BTC kissed $62K, faded in hours.

Same structure that rejected $64K all week. The print didn't change a thing.

Bear market bounces fail into resistance until the range breaks. Nothing has yet.

$60K is the line.

[Beginner Crypto Inc. @BCICrypto26]

The quietest signal in this selloff isn't on BTC's chart.

Raoul traced it to US Treasury plumbing. Shutdowns drained TGA while RRP sits empty. That's the air pocket.

Resolution this week flips liquidity drain to flood. $64K decides.