Lighter accounts on Polymarket are betting YES on December 29. TGE $LIT tomorrow? Quotes from the night's AMA
I found 4 new accounts created from December 20th that put YES TGE in 2025
Why do I think these could be team accounts?
- Accounts created recently
- They made the same prediction
- They bet on many accounts to make it less noticeable, but we still see it
These factors led me to think that these could probably be team accounts that know when the launch is happening
- Account 1: https://t.co/rT7EhvnZ7Y
- Account 2: https://t.co/oQ4eCMg2Rq
- Account 3: https://t.co/U7h9DtqDsz
- Account 4: https://t.co/vhryEyu7aL
Tonight there was an AMA CEO Lighter, main points:
1. Listing will take place on LIT HOLIDAYS, no specific date
2. 50% of the supply will go to airdrop and other programs for users
3. Recent large transfers of $LIT were related to ensuring the safe storage of investors' and team's tokens, not to the airdrop. With vesting 3 years
4. Tokenomics details will be published soon
5. YOU KNOW
They also say that the launch will be only on the Lighter platform, but why were all the launches on the pre-markets of exchanges then?
The chances of a December 29 launch dropped from 78% to 60% after the AMA
Market link: https://t.co/RTU9rD9m6B
Initially, listing is expected only on Lighter, Lighter does not plan to pay CEX for listings
Do you think these could be the accounts of the Lighter team? Will TGE take place tomorrow, December 29th?
Early Alpha: Mobile Perp Trading Powered by Lighter, Hyperliquid and Ostium is Here! 🪂
Meet Liquid
Liquid [@liquidtrading] is a mobile-first perp DEX aggregator that brings trading, yield, and news together in one simple mobile experience.
It is already live on Hyperliquid, Lighter and Ostium.
- Raised a $7.6M seed round
- Backed by Paradigm
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Liquid’s points program started last week and week 2 is now running with 100K points distributed each week.
The best part is, since it’s a DEX aggregator, you don’t need to deposit funds separately. You can trade directly with the funds you already have on Hyperliquid, Lighter and Ostium.
When you trade on Liquid, you always earn Liquid points, and on top of that, the DEX you pick gives its own points too. So it turns into a sweet two-in-one opportunity.
✅ Trade on Liquid: https://t.co/yXdZTnFtRj
- Use my code to save 10% on trading fees: PRANJAL
- Available on iOS and Android
Log in using the same wallet where you already hold your funds on Lighter, Hyperliquid and the others. Metamask and Rabby aren’t supported yet, so I used the Zerion mobile wallet to log in.
With the points program still in week 2, starting now puts you early with less competition for points. If you trade perps, this is something worth checking out.
Huge News: Circle, the Company Behind USDC, is Planning Its Own Token! 🔥
Circle [@circle], the company that issues the USDC token, revealed today that they are exploring the possibility of launching a native token on the Arc network.
This is massive. Circle, which generates over $250M in annual revenue and has raised $2.2B in funding, could see its upcoming token on its own L1, @arc, launch with a very high FDV.
The best part is that you can already interact with the testnet for free. Here’s a quick guide:
1. Request faucet: https://t.co/XRrDt6HqET
2. Add Arc testnet (bottom left): https://t.co/KKCmd5TVZe
Since the testnet was launched only recently, there are no official ecosystem dApps yet. However, you can still create transactions on the Arc testnet using other dApps. Here are a few options:
1. Register a domain: https://t.co/Kw5ecz28iY
2. Create an NFT: https://t.co/Y0NcdUI4dD
3. Send GM, Deploy Contract and more: https://t.co/flj2NkAIjI
4. Bridge from Arc, send GM and more: https://t.co/65i7ebf8JM
5. Send GM, Deploy Contract: https://t.co/IKm58i6hiH
You can also mint a few NFTs:
NFT 1: https://t.co/CPC9S7sY02
NFT 2: https://t.co/C9eEnm8SMa
NFT 3: https://t.co/OpmjuoiY5m
NFT 4: https://t.co/jFUUs50g10
NFT 5: https://t.co/D5xiTJi0zF
NFT 6: https://t.co/YpTe30wsEe
While minting some of these NFTs, you may be asked to complete a few tasks. Just click on the task, close the page, and it will verify within a few seconds.
That’s all for now.
Note: There is no confirmed airdrop or reward yet, but since this comes from Circle and is completely free to try, it’s definitely worth checking out.
Tier List of Upcoming Airdrops 🧵
S:
@Lighter_xyz: Onchain perps protocol with zero trading fees focused on speed for HTF. The official points season is ongoing.
@base: Top performing L2 with real users, fees, and distribution by Coinbase. Token confirmed & big airdrop cook possible.
@HyperliquidX: High-performance perp DEX with CEX-like UX and deep onchain liquidity. Lots of $HYPE left for the community, no "official points season".
@Polymarket: Category leader in prediction markets with real volume/retention. $POLY token confirmed, airdrop 99% likely.
A:
@Rabby_io: Smart multichain wallet with great UI/UX that auto-picks the best route and protects from bad txs.
@trylimitless: Prediction market on Base focusing on short-term price markets and 0DTE-style trades. Points Season 2 live.
@wallchain: AttentionFi platform for measuring and rewarding authentic influence & content through its Wallchain X Score and Wallchain Quacks.
@AbstractChain: Ethereum L2 that uses ZK technology to enable fast, low-fee transactions, focusing on consumer apps.
@paradex: Onchain perp exchange (Starknet/EVM stack) for trading majors with zero fees.
@KaitoAI: InfoFi platform that rewards genuine influence and valuable content.
B:
@almanak: A DeFi agent platform designed to create and deploy automated financial strategies using financial agents.
@vooi_io DeFi trading super-app: trade perps, spot, even RWAs in one non-custodial UI, gasless & chain-abstracted.
@zama_fhe: FHE (fully homomorphic encryption) infra so you can compute on encrypted data onchain.
@farcaster_xyz: Decentralized social protocol where users own their data, identity, and social graph.
@Backpack: Wallet + DEX + perps stack, Solana-native, asset-first UX.
@KASTcard: Stablecoin neobank + global crypto card to spend USDC/USDT anywhere Visa works.
C:
@JupiterExchange: Solana DEX aggregator + launch/LST/perps hub.
@MyriadMarkets: Onchain prediction market on Absract and BNB, live points/leaderboards.
@katana: DeFi platform on Polygon’s Agglayer with liquidity aggregation, yield optimization, and ZK proof privacy.
D:
@MetaMask: Self-custody wallet for swaps, bridges, and wanting to kill yourself while using it.
@pumpdotfun: Memecoin launchpad that left your portfolio without an altseason because it drained all the liquidity.
@opensea: NFT marketplace for trading dead NFTs among depressed and broke people.
What protocol did I miss?
Hope you enjoyed this post and found some new VALUABLE information.
If you wanna support me, I'd appreciate a like, reply, and RT <3
Có gì đó SAI SAI đang diễn ra. Phải không?
Những gì bạn muốn đều đã xảy ra nhưng tại sao cả cái thị trường crypto này nó lại đỏ lè, chán như vậy.
Chúng ta đã có:
• Tổng thống thân thiện với crypto.
• Kho dự trữ Bitcoin chiến lược quốc gia.
• Gary Gensler bị sa thải.
• SEC mềm mỏng hơn với crypto.
• Cắt giảm lãi suất.
• Kết thúc thắt chặt định lượng (QT).
• Các quỹ ETF liên tục mua vào.
• Có thêm nhiều ETF mới.
• Nguồn cung tiền toàn cầu lập ATH.
• Các thị trường toàn cầu đều đang ở hoặc gần mức đỉnh lịch sử.
Mình nghĩ không hẳn gọi là sai mà nó chỉ đang thể hiện rõ hơn bản chất của thị trường crypto đang ngày càng lớn và cuộc chơi đang dần chuyển về tay của các tổ chức tài chính, tay to trong thế giới truyền thống.
Nếu hỏi: Thị trường có tăng kể từ lần đầu Fed giảm lãi suất không? CÓ.
Nhưng nếu hỏi: Có phải tất cả đều tăng mạnh (altcoin season) không? Câu trả lời là KHÔNG mà chỉ tập trung vào một vài dự án thực sự có nội lực.
Mình từng đề cập sự thay đổi này giống như một cái thùng nước bị thủng nhiều lỗ (https://t.co/oUuwwUSEVr)
Bên cạnh đó, vốn dĩ thị trường tài chính, kinh tế là nơi có nhiều biến số chồng chéo lẫn nhau khó lường, nó không phải 1 + 1 buộc phải bằng 2.
Mình đã từng cảnh báo câu chuyện giảm lãi suất không đồng nghĩa với việc giá tăng trong các bài viết vài tháng trước.
Vì thứ thị trường muốn thấy là tương lai chứ không phải hiện tại. Vậy tương lai đang cho thấy bức tranh như thế nào mà khiến thị trường đỏ lè, ai cũng phòng thủ như vậy?
Câu chuyện này mình đã bàn tới trong bài đọc hàng tuần vào chủ nhật vừa rồi.
Ngoài ra có thêm các quan sát đặc biệt, cần chú ý từ các dự án, hiện tượng, xu hướng trong thị trường khác.
Link bài viết chi tiết nằm ở phần comment.
10 Phút đọc để nắm cả thị trường trong lòng bàn tay.
@matheusleal275@paradex 20% of token supply to a Community Airdrop that spans multiple XP seasons and will be based on a user’s XP.
Full details: https://t.co/FmPrTLD7Qw
Tokenless Perp DEX: 20% Genesis Airdrop Allocation Confirmed, Zero Trading Fees, Still Time to Position! 🪂🔥
Meet Paradex.
Paradex [@paradex] is a decentralized derivatives exchange focused on perpetual futures and options. It delivers deep liquidity, low fees, and fast execution for active traders.
They raised $17 million in seed funding, incubated by Paradigm, and are backed by big names like Jump, Dragonfly, DCG, GSR, Optiver, Amber, and IMC.
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⚡️ What stands out to me is their token model.
A massive 57.6% of $DIME is allocated to the community, with 20% reserved for Genesis Allocation.
Nearly 80% of team tokens unlock only through performance milestones, which shows a clear focus on long-term alignment.
Their points program is currently in Season 2 and will continue for about 5 more months, so there is still plenty of time to trade and position yourself for the upcoming airdrop.
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👉🏻 They've also rolled out Zero Fee Perps (ZFP) just recently.
No trading fees at all, similar to Avantis ZFP or Lighter. This matters because fees usually add up fast, and here you are literally saving money every trade. For me, skipping this would make little sense.
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✅ Start trading on Paradex: https://t.co/GcHjdw9whu
Deposit USDC from chains like Ethereum, Base, Optimism, Arbitrum, Solana, Linea, and many more, then start trading.
Every Friday, 4,000,000 XP is distributed.
Right now, Paradex has about 27K users. That’s still relatively small compared to other similar DEXs with 60K–100K users, which to me means it’s still underfarmed.
With strong backing, zero-fee trading, and more than half of the token supply allocated to the community, I see this as a real opportunity.
GRVT Looks Like the Most Underfarmed Perp DEX! 👀
We've been farming quite a few perp DEXs for their upcoming airdrops, and GRVT honestly looks the most underfarmed right now.
Even with around 150 points, you’ll already be in the top 1000 by rank. Getting that much isn’t difficult either. If you can do roughly $5M in total volume, you’ll probably make it.
There’s still around 3 to 4 months left before the GRVT airdrop and the numbers speak for themselves. Staying active till then should be more than enough to hold a solid spot.
22% of the total supply is already confirmed for Airdrop 1.
They’ve also raised $33M in funding and built a strong network, so a good FDV at launch feels very achievable.
I’ll be going hard on farming GRVT.
Trade on GRVT: https://t.co/33XsbhEDJA
Update the MetaMask app:
▪️Update your MetaMask app.
▪️Log in to your account. In the new version, you’ll see a Rewards section at the bottom right.
https://t.co/lRudeoaouj
▪️Claim your initial points
▪️Follow the steps and confirm each stage
Invite code: 591SR8
BASE đang cho thị trường biết "WHO's MY FATHER".
Tuần vừa rồi là một tuần Base chiếm trọn spotlight của cả thị trường từ mua NFT $25M làm podcast tới dẫn đầu xu hướng mới x402 khi mà cả thị trường đang thiếu những sự đổi mới.
Nếu link lại với câu chuyện vài tháng trước Base thông báo đang hướng đến việc tung ra token $BASE thì có lẽ là một tín hiệu rõ hơn nữa cho việc bạn nên bám sát hệ sinh thái Base hơn nữa trong thời gian tới.
Ngoài Base, tuần vừa rồi có những câu chuyện khác song song từ vĩ mô, chính trị tới những thứ vi mô trong crypto như: $ORE, $META, $PADRE,...
Tất cả đã được đề cập trong bài viết vào chủ nhật mỗi tuần.
Link nằm ở comment, bạn có thể đọc chi tiết hơn để nắm bắt, hiểu xu hướng x402 cũng như những hiện tượng đặc biệt khác đã, đang xảy ra.
Pacifica: Your Earliest Play Among the DEX Chaos! ⚡️
There are so many DEXs with points programs right now that it’s easy to get lost choosing where to start.
Being early always matters if you want big points, and you can already see how smaller accounts ranked high on Lighter because they joined early.
I’m getting the same feeling with @pacifica_fi.
They’ve only completed Week 7 of their points program, while many popular DEXs have been running for 10 to 12 months.
Around 500,000 points were distributed to over 20,000 active traders last week, and the platform already has more than 25,000 users. Still early, still growing fast.
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What makes Pacifica stand out is the platform already offers around 20 perpetual markets with up to 50x leverage and both cross and isolated margin, showing solid infrastructure for such a young DEX.
And the biggest factor is the founder. @ConstanceWaing has years of experience at FTX, Huobi, and Credit Suisse.
She knows how to build exchanges that scale fast, manage risk properly, and reward their community in meaningful ways. Her leadership gives Pacifica a strong foundation and a clear focus on long-term community rewards, not just short-term hype.
All of this makes Pacifica one of the most promising early plays right now. It is early, active, and led by someone who truly understands how to build and reward a loyal community.
-------------
If you haven’t joined yet, now’s the best time to start while it’s still early.
✅ Trade on Pacifica: https://t.co/KKI9wv2w2j
Connect your Solana wallet (like Phantom), deposit USDC, and you’re all set to trade and start earning points.
Join via my link to get a 15% trading fee discount. That’s the max discount rate available right now.
If you’ve traded on Hyperliquid, Aster, KiloEx, or similar platforms, you might have some free points waiting to be claimed!
Just noticed that @vooi_io is giving retroactive points to traders of Hyperliquid, Aster, GMX, Ostium, KiloEx, and a few others.
For $8.4M total trading volume across these DEXs, I received 1,796 points.
✅ Here’s how to claim yours:
1. Go to: https://t.co/ovJzOOeg8q
2. Sign in with your EVM wallet
3. Open the “Points” page
4. Select the “Retropoints” section
5. Claim your points
That’s it. You get these points completely free.
To earn even more, keep trading on VOOI.
Bonus: Trading on VOOI can also help you qualify for the OneBalance airdrop, since VOOI is powered by OneBalance.
Lighter Weekly Points Distributed! 🔥
Got 188.12 Points this week.
I think one big reason is switching to a Premium account, which adds trading fees of 0.002% maker and 0.02% taker instead of being completely free.
If you’re also trading and earning points on @Lighter_xyz, switching to Premium might be totally worth it.
You can do it under Portfolio > Account Type.
✅ Trade on Lighter: https://t.co/hZTqPZfOIN
Trading fees help with higher points, but I’m pretty sure volume plays the biggest role. Not proportional, just heavily weighted.
Massive Early Alpha: Only a Few Days Left to Get In! 🔥
If you’re holding stablecoins and into perp DEX trading, this might be your chance to join a huge potential project as a super early user.
Most importantly, it’s a project that can grow mega huge.
Meet StandX
StandX [@StandX_Official] is a DeFi project that combines a perpetual trading exchange with a yield-earning stablecoin called DUSD.
DUSD stays pegged to the dollar and automatically gives users yield from trading and collateral activity. It lets traders use yield-earning assets as margin and earn rewards without locking their funds.
⚡️ Its CEO and founder, AG, built Binance’s futures business from scratch after being recruited by CZ, while co-founder Justin Cheng served as Binance’s Head of Futures Growth.
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StandX Pre-Deposit Campaign is Live!
The campaign runs until 31st October only.
Deposit USDT or USDC to mint DUSD and start earning points immediately. Once the StandX perp exchange launches, you’ll be able to use it for trading.
✅ Deposit here: https://t.co/YHVvmPmsMA
Deposit is live on the BNB chain. The minimum deposit is $1, though starting with around $300 is a good idea.
The TVL has already crossed $200 million, and according to CoinMarketCap, StandX’s stablecoin DUSD is already one of the fastest-growing stablecoins by TVL.
You earn 1 point per DUSD daily.
🎟️ Accept my invite code (Pranjal) to get a 5% points boost.
If you want to earn 1.1x–1.4x more points compared to holding DUSD alone, you can add liquidity to the USDT-DUSD LP pool on PancakeSwap (BSC).
Also, visit the "Perps" page and join the waitlist for StandX Alpha.
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StandX ID is live!
They have also launched StandX ID, a unique, first-come-first-served identifier with random rarities like “Standard” that users can claim on the StandX community platform.
It is linked to your X account and serves as an exclusive Stander badge for early adopters, potentially unlocking future perks, rewards, and points within the ecosystem.
🔗 Claim your StandX ID: https://t.co/xFtJ6UaRGo
It’s free to claim, and anyone can claim it.
Overall, StandX looks like a solid, self-funded project built by ex-Binance pros. It’s growing super fast, the potential looks massive, and it’s definitely one you’d want to be early in.
Be Ready for Tomorrow: Ethereal Mainnet Alpha Launch! ⚡️
Personally I think Ethereal could be one of the next big perp DEX plays.
@etherealdex is part of the fast-growing @ethena ecosystem, the same one behind the USDe stablecoin that already moves billions in on-chain liquidity.
That’s a big reason why I’m so bullish on it. Ethena has been doing great lately, and everything they’re building adds more strength to what Ethereal can become.
The Ethereal Mainnet Alpha officially launches on October 20th, marking a huge step forward for the ecosystem.
Here’s why I think the timing couldn’t be better 👇🏻
👉🏻 Ethena’s stablecoin USDe has seen massive growth, with supply now around 12 billion and protocol TVL sitting in the 12–15 billion range.
👉🏻 Ethena launched a white-label stablecoin service that lets other projects issue their own branded stables using Ethena’s infrastructure.
👉🏻 Ethena partnered with Jupiter to launch JupUSD on Solana, expanding USDe’s footprint and utility across ecosystems.
👉🏻 Founder Guy Young reportedly accumulated around 48 million ENA, worth about $25 million, showing strong conviction in Ethena’s long-term vision.
Ethereal is built on the Ethena network and closely connected with its stablecoin and liquidity infrastructure. They already have the base, the ecosystem, and the capital, all they need now is solid execution.
If they go community-first with the airdrop, Ethereal could easily turn into one of the biggest perp DEX launches of the year.
Get ready for the alpha launch tomorrow and keep an eye on Ethereal.
🧐 Wintermute và các MM thật sự toang trong cú sập 11/10?
Theo bác @BasedMoneyLich, cú sập vừa rồi trên Binance không hề nhẹ nhàng như nhiều người nghĩ. Nó đang để lại dư chấn nghiêm trọng lên cả hệ thống market maker (MM) và thanh khoản toàn thị trường.
Based Money Lich King giải thích thế này:
🗓️ Tuần trước, @wintermute_t (một trong những MM lớn nhất thế giới) chia sẻ rằng Binance đã kích hoạt ADL (tự động đóng vị thế) ở mức giá vô lý, khiến họ lỗ nặng. Và chắc chắn Wintermute không phải bên duy nhất chịu thiệt hại.
MM thường hoạt động bằng cách mua spot (long) và bán hợp đồng vĩnh cửu (short) để giữ cân bằng. Dù giá lên hay xuống, họ vẫn không lỗ.
Lợi nhuận của họ đến từ việc tạo thanh khoản, arbitrage giữa các sàn và ăn chênh lệch lệnh mua bán, giống như cách MEV kiếm tiền trên DeFi.
Nhưng nếu sàn tự ý đóng short ở giá quá cao, trong khi thị trường sập mạnh, MM không kịp mở lại vị thế → lỗ to (vì vẫn đang hold spot).
👉 Lúc đó, họ chỉ có 2 đường:
> Ngồi chịu lỗ, cầu giá hồi (rất rủi ro), hoặc...
> Bán tháo spot, rút thanh khoản, khiến order book mỏng như giấy.
Wintermute còn nói họ chưa được Binance bồi thường, có nghĩa là vụ này vẫn chưa xử xong, và có thể nhiều MM khác cũng đang bị vạ lây. Binance thì phải kiểm tra, đối chiếu, xác nhận thiệt hại, nên chắc sẽ mất khá lâu để giải quyết.
⚠️ Tác động của đợt ADL thì rõ ràng:
> Một số token rơi về gần 0,
> Nhiều trader bị cháy tài khoản,
> Thanh khoản thị trường sụt mạnh vì MM rút đi,
> Trong khi ngoài kia Mỹ – Trung đang căng thẳng thương mại, khiến dòng tiền chấp nhận rủi ro ngày càng ít.
Giờ đây, nhiều người trong crypto đã mất tiền, mất niềm tin, và ít ai còn dư vốn để mua.
🤔 Bác BasedMoneyLich kết lại:
> $BTC và coin lớn thì ảnh hưởng ít hơn,
> Nhưng shitcoin và @binance thì thiệt hại nặng nhất.
“Không biết đó là lỗi hay cố ý, nhưng rõ ràng Binance giờ không còn đáng tin”
Lighter Season 2: Official Points Guide Shared! 🔥
After closing Season 1 on September 30, @Lighter_xyz kicks off Season 2, distributing 200,000 points every Friday for trading activity from Wednesday to Tuesday.
Points are earned through organic trading via UI or API.
Factors that impact your rewards include volume, open interest, funding, liquidations, and PnL, with premium accounts possibly receiving higher weight in some categories.
Not all metrics are equal:
- Different markets have different weightings
- Doubling your volume doesn’t always mean double the points
- Quality trading and risk management matter more than raw numbers
✅ Trade on Lighter: https://t.co/hZTqPZgmyl
Trade smart and stay consistent.
Since premium accounts may earn more points, I’ve switched my account type to Premium (on the Portfolio page, top-right corner). Note that premium accounts charge trading fees, unlike free accounts.
🚨 "BITCOIN KHÔNG CÒN CHU KỲ 4 NĂM – LẦN NÀY LÀ 5 NĂM"??
Raoul Pal – cựu giám đốc quỹ phòng hộ Goldman Sachs, đồng sáng lập Real Vision – vừa chia sẻ một góc nhìn mới về Bitcoin.
Theo Raoul Pal, thay vì đi theo chu kỳ halving 4 năm như mọi người quen nghĩ, Bitcoin lần này có thể sẽ theo chu kỳ 5 năm.
Vì sao? 👇
🪂 By the way $LAB airdrop claim is now live
🔗 https://t.co/RQS8nCfFWq
Enter your BNB address and claim.
Currently trading at a Marketcap of $28.8M and FDV of $125M.