I’m guessing it would be cheaper for the US to just buy Lilly and give all US citizens GLP1s for free than continue to drown in long term Medicare/Medicaid/healthcare costs.
Stan Van Gundy thinks teams should be able to sign rookies as free agents and that the NBA should eliminate the draft
“I’d get rid of the draft. No draft. You still have the salary cap, if you want to go give Cooper Flagg $45 million a year coming out of college, do it, he’s a free agent. Everybody coming out is a free agent. With no draft, there’s no incentive to lose, there’s none at all.”
(Via https://t.co/nTnZjRbXtU)
The crazy part, is that no matter what the WNBA does with salaries, every star college player will take a pay cut to play in the WNBA
I asked a few ADs what the going rate is for the star player on a power conference WBB team -$500k to $1.2m.
And, you are always a free agent with the portal. You get your room and board paid for. And you can get a good education if you work at it.
It’s all subsidized by donors and shared school revenues. Which makes it more similar to Europe, where companies subsidize teams , than to the WNBA
In the NBA, a team can’t go to a sponsor and negotiate a direct payment deal for a player. In college they effectively can with NIL money. When I have written checks to IU, I knew which players were trying to get with the money (although I never tie the money to specific players. It’s up to them )
The WNBA needs to look at allowing the same thing. Let the teams go to local sponsors and work out payments to players as part of sponsorship packages.
The big name players have agents to do this. The rest make minimal amounts. With or without an agent.
Let WNBA teams pay “NIL” money to its players.
It’s counter intuitive for NBA folks, but here is the issue. WNBA teams don’t have the margin dollars from tickets, sponsors and shared revenues like tv to pay bigger salaries using their own cash flow.
With help from the league , they could create NIL deals with sponsors that go directly to the players. From the sponsors.
Make it legal. Create a cap per player, based on years of experience.
Yes, some teams will suck at it, that’s where the wnba comes in to help. They will suck at it as well for some period. But like collegiate NIL, the sponsorship packages will supplement player salaries without undermining the economics of the teams and league itself.
The next question will be competitive balance issues. The big markets can do this better. They have a great addressable market for sponsors. The wnba could require that some percentage of the NIL money deals go into a pool for a version of revenue share.
This is effectively what happens (or did ) with jersey ads. I remember advocating that the jersey ads be split with all teams, because the greatest value to sponsors comes not from local tv or games, but from national tv, playoffs and jersey sales.
This would be similar.
Obviously I’m just spitballing this , but if they came on shark tank , that’s what I would suggest !
What do you think ?
If you haven't yet already figured it out, prediction markets are most useful to those who are an insider or have an edge of being closest to the source of relevant information. If you don't have either of these, you are paying an invisible tax that will drag on your overall win % to those who do
But gambling on them without the above, especially when so many are subjective over objective (Do you remember whether Zelensky wore a jacket or how that settled?) is just a losing game for majority of the people doing this and it's -ev gambling. At a high level, the money you deposit and gamble is basically liquidity and an arb for those who fall into the former bucket (insiders/closest to source of information)
I've used Polymarket in the past (I bet on '24 Election) but no longer bet $ in them because there is no way to ever police or have any accountability to the integrity of these markets. Even the events you want to bet on (say the '24 Election) this bet would have been better expressed likely just holding DOGE/specific crypto assets instead as a better risk/reward (ex: I should have taken a long position on DOGE if I thought Trump would win or short DOGE If I thought Kamala would win) and similar for many of the things you might be tempted to gamble on (ex: There is usually a better way to express your opinion)
I also think people don't realise how difficult it is to consistently win and by definition overcome:
1) P(chance of insiders trading on information you do not have)
+
2) P(chance of oracles rugging you if there is any sense of subjectivity to the result)
To do well you'd have to be confident both (P) are extremely low or non existent and because I don't have any insider information & have very little faith in the process demonstrated with the resolution of the oracles on subjective markets, it's useless to try and make $ off it from my point of view. Your time is simply better spent elsewhere or thinking about better things where you are not having to overcome these headwinds
For the majority of people, the best thing you can do is don't even bother to bet on them and instead just observe/watch the important markets as signal (signal being there is likely a % inflows of capital betting on them as markets grow with more liquidity that has insiders moving the lines towards what will likely be the correct resolution) for things that you think are important. This can then help you form views and opinions which hopefully can then be better expressed outside of Polymarket/Kalshi like in the example given above
is it alright for me to want david fincher to make a feature length film that will be available to see in movie theaters or are we still not levying that criticism against him yet
Has anyone considered Taranatino made a deal with the devil where he was only allowed to make 10 films, but since Kill Bill got split into 2 he has been in a contract dispute with Satan himself for the last 5+ years
DeepSeek is legitimately impressive, but the level of hysteria is an indictment of so many.
The $5M number is bogus. It is pushed by a Chinese hedge fund to slow investment in American AI startups, service their own shorts against American titans like Nvidia, and hide sanction evasion. America is a fertile bed for psyops like this because our media apparatus hates our technology companies and wants to see President Trump fail.
We have so many useful idiots uncritically reporting Chinese propaganda as fact because on some level, they want it to be true. They love seeing hundreds of billions of dollars wiped off the market cap off our largest companies.
Common problem in health tech:
80% of healthcare use cases are fairly standard, but workflows remain manual because the last 10-20% are so variable & messy.
Engineers (and businesses!) like to build for the 80%, but that often means software doesn’t actually remove labor costs.
Out of 214 QB performances in the playoffs over the last 10 seasons, that Justin Herbert game ranks 213th in EPA per pass play.
Only Brian Hoyer's game for the Texans in a 30-0 loss to the Chiefs in the 2015 playoffs ranked lower.
bought a very cool year planner from @flagrantmag
the rule is the same as always: if someone makes something you like give them money so they can make more stuff for you to like
Just watched my 5-year-old son chat with ChatGPT advanced voice mode for over 45 minutes.
It started with a question about how cars were made.
It explained it in a way that he could understand.
He started peppering it with questions.
Then he told it about his teacher, and that he was learning to count.
ChatGPT started quizzing him on counting, and egging him on, making it into a game.
He was laughing and having a blast, and it (obviously) never lost patience with him.
I think this is going to be revolutionary. The essentially free, infinitely patient, super genius teacher that calibrates itself perfectly to your kid's learning style and pace.
Excited about the future.
I think people are attracted to this girl, not because we miss dirty hippie chicks, but because she is presenting herself honestly, without a layer of ironic distance. She's not burying her own personality under layers of memes like "I'm in my dirtball era" or "It's a wook girl summer." She's not speaking in code that she picked up from social media, or dropping pop culture references. She is not brat in the least.
She's just sharing her boring thoughts without trying to be clever, because this is probably the first time in her life someone shoved a camera in her face. iPhones taught people that they have to perform as a character for an audience. Just being yourself isn't nearly enough. If you're old enough to remember this era, you probably recognize in this clip something good that we've lost.
a guy got removed from our flight today and it's incredible how much it brought us all together. they should kick one person off every flight to build cohesion and morale for the passengers and crew. they can be a paid actor or whatever, they just have to cause a scene