Bryan Gomez

Posts are not investment advice; daily notes mostly of the market shared in public.

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

Yes the emperor really has no clothes.

At this point, I surrender to the belief that they have the ability to do Unlimited QE, regardless of the consequences.

#trading

[Ben Rickert @Ben__Rickert]

For those who might be wondering, “Where did the Federal Reserve get the $1.5 trillion they just committed to injecting?” A blast from the past explanation of how it all works. 💻🖱️🖨️

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

The long promoted tailwind of the Philippines is its potential demographic dividend.

How can you unlock this potential if long before it happens, you frontrun and choke it with higher health costs, higher energy costs, high friction in setting up businesses, set up untrusted institutions, uncompetitive education system, encouraging gambling than savings and investments, etc.

Hindi pa nagsisimula, talo na agad, kinaltasan na agad.

https://t.co/CuBpnrol0R

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

Looks like a lot are selling winners to buy $SPCX

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

Alternative Philippines nowadays.

[NU ✨ @nationalufan]

Galit na galit si Mayor Vico sa isang barangay sa Pasig. Baka may sasampahan sila ng kaso dahil sa kurapsyon.

“Ang sukatan po ng pagiging public official, mula sa barangay hanggang national, ay kung nagagampanan ba ang trabaho nang maayos at mahusay, at nang may katapatan” 👏👏

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

So usually, a confused legislature, where no new bill or regulation gets passed, is good for business. 😂

[GMA News @gmanews]

BREAKING: Dating Senate President Chiz Escudero, dumating sa Senate session ngayong araw, June 3.

PANOORIN: https://t.co/cY9knsCNdS

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

If you are exhausted of what’s happening in the Philippines, at least somehow the market has exhausted the sellers in the market.

Still in value-maxxing mode.

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

“Dad, are you still holding your tech bubble stocks?”

$IBM $NOK $HPE $INTC $BB $DELL

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

$CODX trying to catch attention as no one is paying much attention to Ebola.

Has to be a meme eventually.

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

$SNOW has proven once again that the SAAS scare is nothing but.

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

$NVDA sort of on a 7-day losing streak

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

Much of the new growth and even concept companies today are all about processing information.

In AI language, tokens.

The metric will eventually be revenue per token.

Labor will be replaced, not by AI alone, but by labor that knows AI.

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

Ebola stocks like $CODX $GOVX can be the next meme issues for as long as cases increase.

Markets can be irrational like that.

[Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus @DrTedros]

#Ebola Bundibugyo virus update:
- So far, 101 cases have been confirmed in the #DRC, including 10 confirmed deaths. But we know the epidemic in the DRC is much larger. There are now more than 900 suspected cases and 220 suspected deaths.
- #Uganda has reported two additional confirmed cases among healthcare workers, bringing the total number of confirmed cases to seven, including one confirmed death.

We are continuing to scale up the response with our partners, and we expect more cases to be identified in the coming days and weeks.

The sooner we can trace people with infections and identify their contacts, the sooner we can provide the care they need and bring this outbreak under control.

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

Much like trading.

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

At least on a sentiment perspective, dropping oil should benefit Philippines.

If you trade index issues, a lot of value issues could mean revert.

Not really ultra bullish on a growth perspective but some sectors like mining could improve costs as oil drops.

Consumers could breathe a sigh of relief too.

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

Duh

[First Squawk @FirstSquawk]

PAKISTANI SOURCE: ENRICHED URANIUM IS THE MAIN STICKING POINT IN THE US-IRANIAN NEGOTIATIONS

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

The QUARTERLY revenue of Nvidia is $81 billion.

It now reached a point where it has so much cash it raises its dividend.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

NVIDIA, $NVDA, EARNINGS SUMMARY:

1. Record quarterly revenue of $81.6 billion, above expectations

2. Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.87, above expectations

3. Q2 revenue guidance of $89.2 billion to $92.8 billion, above expectations

4. New $80 billion share buyback authorization

5. Increase in dividend from $0.01/share to $0.25/share

6. Total revenue growth of +1,035% over the last 3 years

Once again, Nvidia has crushed just about every expectation possible.

The AI Revolution is on fire.

[Investment Wisdom @InvestingCanons]

Stanley Druckenmiller: “A lot of my style is you [first] build a thesis, hopefully that no one else has built. You sort of put some positions on…

Then when the thesis starts to evolve and people get on and you see the momentum start to change in your favor, then you really go for it. You pile into the trade.”

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

Ajinomoto (JP:2802) has set up its P9 billion peso plant in Tarlac to produce its MSG flavoring, not for its ABF substrate used in GPUs.

But, hopefully soon.

[Teng Yan @tengyanAI]

The strangest AI bottleneck might be ABF.

Ajinomoto is better known for MSG, but its build-up film (ABF) is a critical dielectric layer inside the package substrates used for high-end GPUs.

the moat isn't chemical secrecy alone..
it is qualification lock-in + process integration + reliability history.

and the fact that no chip company wants to risk a $30,000 AI accelerator package to save pennies on dielectric film.

is it a permanent monopoly? Probably not.
but it looks cycle-durable.

if you ask me:
- 1-3 yrs: very hard to replace in high-end AI substrates
- 3-5 yrs: glass substrates and alternatives gain in specific packages
- 5+ yrs: package architectures probably shift

To see this, i'm tracking closely whether Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, TSMC, Ibiden, Shinko and Unimicron show signals for moving away from ABF.

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

@JosephSomsel True. High probability this time around.

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

I am thinking the least affected stocks will be shipping and solar.

[Insider Paper @TheInsiderPaper]

Power cuts hit millions in the Philippines

https://t.co/mp0oQH1yON

[Bryan Gomez @BSgomez]

$BWEN pivoting into pure play industrial Gearing (for AI power needs) from wind turbines.