Babyfolio Markets

Software Engineer managing a $8M+ portfolio to build generational wealth for my 2 babies.
Covering AI infrastructure, Semis and Datacenters
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[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

Shorted $NBIS at $240 😢😭

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

One of the most comprehensive and up-to-date $NBIS pieces online.

Take the time to read it. It covers everything, including our projections for next year, all based on the latest Q2 earnings report and the data Nebius just released.

A must-read for $NBIS investors and anyone seriously considering investing in Nebius.

This is one you don’t want to miss.

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

People really don't understand what risk/reward means.

Risk/reward isn't static. As the price goes up, the risk increases, but changes in the fundamentals can shift the equation and make the risk/reward better or worse.

It's a combination of price and fundamentals.

It's really not that complicated. If the risk/reward is no longer attractive or another opportunity has better risk/reward, why continue holding? Would you rather hold a position with poor risk/reward just to avoid paying taxes?

I understand buy-and-hold if you don't want to do the research or actively manage your portfolio. But if you're actively managing your portfolio, taxes shouldn't be an excuse for ignoring risk and staying in a position with deteriorating risk/reward.

If you do it right, this could be an entirely different game for you.

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

Be careful who you listen to.
This clown disclosed he was long $NBIS on August 5.

> August 6: Michael Burry announces his short.

> August 10: The filing comes out.

> August 12: $NBIS pumps 40%, confirming Vineland remains within the expected timeline.

> August 13: Hunter Brook Capital does not disclose a long position.

Now let's connect the dots:

He was long on August 5. Burry announced his short. Hunter Brook paperhanded around $180.

Then the August 10 filing came out.

Why did Hunter Brook wait?

My read: they wanted $NBIS to sell off on earnings so they could use the filing to push it even lower.

Except that didn't happen.

They sold the absolute local bottom.

So now they want back in, and suddenly we get a "hit piece" that is mostly noise and addresses something $NBIS has already confirmed doesn't matter.

Once again: everyone is talking their book.

This guy lettuce-handed the trade, got it wrong, and now has every incentive to spread FUD and turn bearish on $NBIS.

Do your own research. Don't blindly follow someone else's position.

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

Great insights here from Charles, worth reading.

Quick context: Charles is the CEO of DataOne, the infrastructure developer building $NBIS’s flagship data center campus in Vineland, NJ.

So ask yourself:

Would you rather listen to Michael Burry, whose primary bear case on this point has already been invalidated by actual data?

Or the guy who is literally building the infrastructure, working with the equipment, suppliers, timelines and customers, and telling you what he’s seeing from inside the industry?

I know which perspective I’m giving more weight.

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

For those who think $NBIS is short squeezing right now:

They only added to their shorts.
The number of shares available to short has only decreased, meaning this move isn't being driven by a short squeeze.

Someone get Michael Burry a medkit.

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

Make sure to subscribe to @edelbridgealpha to get notified when our fully updated $NBIS earnings review and price targets are out.

@daniel_koss got all of his predictions right last time.
This one is actually crazy.

This one will be a banger. I promise.

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

I love the smell of smoke. $NBIS

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

Thanks to everyone who tuned in.
Hope you enjoyed the live!

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

The math is simple:
800MW - 1GW of capacity.
Nebius has confirmed a minimum of $20M / MW.
That puts the potential ARR at $16B - $20B.

This makes my 2027 PT of $1056 looks like a lowball.

Huge sandbagging by $NBIS

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

The $NBIS Q3 / Q4 earnings report pop where market will realize they sandbagged this whole time will be glorious

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

$NBIS guidance re-affirmed, Vineland within timeline.
Bullish!

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

Remember who told you to calm down when things looked like they're going south.

Michael Burry's $NBIS short is not looking good.

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

$40M / MW is CRAZY
Big for $NBIS

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

Burry's $NBIS position just flipped to a loss.

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

Good report from $CRWV, validating strong customer demand, expanding significantly with existing customers and continuing to onboard new ones.

Now let's see what $NBIS delivers tomorrow. Going to be a fun one. 👀

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

I really hope $NBIS provides more KPIs this time around.

Things like revenue breakdowns by business line, Token Factory, cloud, etc. Would be useful.

I’ve always been critical about this. More transparency is required in the reports. They are a new company launching new products, so it may take time, but it must happen eventually.

What is everyone here looking for in the Nebius report?

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

Just understanding the background of $NBIS management is a huge green flag.

Add in how well they execute, how much stock they own, and how aligned they are with shareholders, and it becomes very hard to ignore how many green flags are stacking up.

When you have this many things going right, it’s hard not to be extremely bullish.

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

People get mad about the clone bots on X, the ones that copy the OP’s image and name with a tiny change, then bait people into Telegram or WhatsApp.

But honestly, the bots that piss me off the most are the LLM bots that summarize your entire post and type a bunch of words without actually saying anything.

Those are somehow even more annoying. 😭

[Babyfolio @babyfolio]

SK Hynix 000660.KRX / $SKHY is currently at a ~$732 billion market cap, trading at 4.0x forward P/E.

The company is expected to generate around $676 billion in net income between 2026 and 2028.

That means SK Hynix could generate almost its entire current market cap in net income over the next three years.

The market is definitely not pricing that in.

Sometimes the opportunity is obvious, but the noise makes it hard to invest.