Bailey Elchinger

[Bailey Elchinger @BaileyElchinger]

@BenjaminNething The folks who don't know that this is a joke are killing me! Hope your Dad enjoys the pull this weekend! Dragway 42? Nice and close to home!

[Tyne Morgan @Tyne_Ag]

From @DroversCTN, @USDA confirmed the sample from a cattle ranch near La Pryor, Texas, is screwworm. It's a threat the U.S. hasn't faced in 60 years. You can read more about the confirmed case here:
https://t.co/DN31cBqCKZ

[Mike Castle @mike_castle2]

Where does the opportunity for $17B of non-soy ag exports to #China lie?

Below is a look at the breakdown by category over the span of 2021-23, during which non-soy ag exports averaged a similar ~$17.5B.

It's also worth pointing out how anomalous this stretch was; the average non-soy ag export value from 2010-2020 was only $8.7B, and 2025 fell to $5.3B (check out my graphic from yesterday).

Bottom line: it's possible, but the path likely requires a broad-based increase across multiple categories rather than one single commodity carrying the load.

#oatt #corn #soybeans #cotton

[Mike Castle @mike_castle2]

A dive into what we know so far about potential Chinese purchase commitments of US ag products following last week's Trump/Xi summit, as well as a look at how these figures compare historically. #oatt

Link to video: https://t.co/b0qak7G2Zf

[Bailey Elchinger @BaileyElchinger]

@JLinvilleFert one of the best GIFs/commercials ever!

[American Soybean Association @ASA_Soybeans]

ASA Statement on House Passage of Year-Round E15 Legislation:

[The Pig Planet @ThePigPlanet]

FFA Elite, MI
Judge Tegan Simmons

Ch(lt cross) Brody Herman - Albright Swine Farm
sire: Wide Awake(PBG)

Res(dk cross) Harper Yoder - Brockman
sire: World Wide(PBG)

3(duroc) Briann Scrudder - Butts Farms
sire: Over the Limit(bedeker)

4(berk) Kaiser Albright - Albright
sire: To the Moon(333)

5(york) Cooper Ostrom - Ostrom Show Stock
Sire: No Hesitation(top cut)

[The Pig Planet @ThePigPlanet]

Steve Swafford Memorial, MI
Judge Dane Roberston

Ch(lt cross) Parker Elchinger - Albright
Sire: Clout(PBG)

Res(dk cross) Brody Herman - Albright
Sire: Wide Awake(PBG)

3(spot) Kylsee Jaworski - AcMoody Showpigs
sire: Imagine(Shaffer)

4(duroc) jetty Jaworski - Joostberns
Sire: All That(PBG)

5(berk) Alexa Graham - Albright
Sire: Up the Chain(Shaffer)

[Mike Castle @mike_castle2]

A look at #USDA's first '26/'27 US #corn, #soybean, #wheat production estimates compared to historicals.

Biggest standout is the sharply lower than expected US #wheat production at only 1.561 bbu.

If realized, this would be the smallest US #wheat crop since 1972. #oatt #oott

[Bailey Elchinger @BaileyElchinger]

@snowboardfarmer A local farmer/friend in our area battled this in late 2024. It was a long road to recovery - but he's back farming full time with a new outlook on life. Sending thoughts your way!

[Joe Weisenthal @TheStalwart]

Absolutely fantastic piece about why beef prices are so high. Contrary to what many people may surmise, it's not the meatpackers getting margin right now. It's the actual ranchers, who are benefitting from an overall scarcity of calves https://t.co/kCJ8qf30ZE

[Mike Castle @mike_castle2]

With fresh escalations in the Middle East, we're seeing a return to rapid money flow between stocks & commodities (perceived safe haven), much like early in the war.

Here is a 1-minute chart of today's trade, July '26 #corn vs. stocks (S&P 500) flipped upside down. #oatt #oott

[The Pig Planet @ThePigPlanet]

Midwest Exposure, IN
Ring B
Judge Hunter Langholff
Gilts
Ch(cross) Mya Holderly - JD
Sire: Mainline(Halphen)

Res(cross) Emily Meyers - Newhouse
sire: Blowin Smoke(Upperhand)

3(chester) Rudy Hansen - Wintex
sire: self aware(hook)

4(hamp) Brody Everhart - Heimer
sire: pledge(Heimer)

5(berk) Kaiser Albright - Albright
sire: To the Moon(333)

Barrow
Ch(cross) Catie Holmes - JD
sire: Mainline(Halphen)

Res(cross) Parker Elchinger - Albright
sire: Clout(PBG)

3(duroc) Riley Hayden - Rodibaugh
sire: Bank on It(Purple Power)

4(chester) Hawk Family - Thayer
sire: WD40(Purple Power)

5(duroc) Hudson Bell - Schippert
Sire: All American(purple power)

[The Pig Planet @ThePigPlanet]

Midwest Exposure, IN
Judge Miles Toenyes
Ring 1
Gilts
Ch(cross) Mya Holderly - JD
Sire: mainline(Halphen)

Res(cross) Tensley Bowman

3(hamp)Brody Everhart - Heimer
sire:pledge(heimer)

4(Chester) Rudy Hansen - Wintex
sire: self aware(hook)

5

Barrow
Ch(cross) Catie Holmes - JD
Sire: Mainline(Halphen)

Res(cross)Brody Herman - Albright
sire: Wide Awake(PBG)

3(Chester) Hawk Family - Thayer
sire: WD40(Purple Power)

4(duroc) Riley Hayden - Rodibaugh
sire: bank on it(Purple Power)

5(berk) Hudson Van Meter - Atkins
Sire: To the Moon(333)

[Josh Linville @JLinvilleFert]

India has confirmed that they are purchasing 2.5M tons of urea which removes a LOT of tons from the market.

Strait is slammed shut as Iran attacked ships.

How insane has the back and forth headlines been?

NOLA urea has moved its price $330 (up and down) since last Tuesday.

[Mike Castle @mike_castle2]

Maybe the most interesting note from today's NOPA Crush report--implied monthly domestic #soybean oil disappearance jumps 433M month-on-month to reach a new all-time high 2.685B lbs.

Hence, #soybean oil stocks of 2.039B came in well below market expectations. #oatt #oott

[Josh Linville @JLinvilleFert]

Updated corn/fertilizer ratio charts. Still not great looks for farmers.

Urea - 2nd highest ever, highest ever this time of year
UAN - 2nd highest ever, highest ever this time of year
Phosphate - highest ever this time of year
Potash - remains WELL PRICED AND WELL SUPPLIED!!

[Arlan Suderman @ArlanFF101]

USDA raised its domestic #wheat ending stocks by 7 million to 938 million bushels, while leaving #corn and #soybean stocks unchanged. #oatt

[Josh Linville @JLinvilleFert]

N.A. farmers are in good shape for spring fertilizer.

Potash - everything should be in place
Phosphate - everything should be in place
NH3 - most demand is met by domestic production
UAN - most demand is met by domestic production
Urea - of the 5 - 5.5M import needed, 3.5M already lined up thru March

[Josh Linville @JLinvilleFert]

If you have not had a conversation with your supplier about spring fertilizer needs, make it a priority.

The attacks on Qatar/Iran gas production caused urea to jump another 5 - 7% overnight.

I am more worried about supplies than price today...

This is real.