๐ข ECU +10.5
Both teams are coming over upset last week coming into this matchup tonight and you checked my notes that I posted. It will help with your decision for tonightโs game.
Bears-Patriots 1st half betting at @BetMGM
61% of money is on @ChicagoBears -2.5
88% of money is on UNDER 25.5
53% of money is on @Patriots +130
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
ECU AND MEMPHIS BOTH COMING OFF A UPSET AS A DOG. Both teams looking to bounce BACK .
ECU HAS THE BETTER DEF VS MEMPHIS. Memphis has just enough to keep up with ECU OFFENSE.
Memphis already starting to be in public favor letโs see how this plays out. Who do you like?
๐ขPICK : FLYERS UNDER 6.5
You're getting extra room: most books have this total at 6 or 5.5, and you hold 6.5, so the game needs 7+ goals for you to lose.
โขFlyers' trend: Philly is 9-2 to the Under this season.
โขModel projection: one model has it Sabres 4, Flyers 2, averaging 5.8 total goals.
โขWeak road offense: the Flyers are still winless on the road.
โขPrice: -140 needs about a 58% hit rate, and the projections support that.
The main risk is a 3-3 game decided in a shootout, since the shootout goal counts and would put it at 7. Good luck tonight.
๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ +๐๐๐ (๐๐ฎ) โ
This team is back!
Also the 4th huge NHL dog weโve hit in 4 days!
Some nice late saves by Vladar too
Ernie Johnson asked LaMelo Ball if he changes his sonโs diapers and bro said thatโs NOT my job lmaoo
โNah my girl do all thatโฆI definitely did it before itโs just not my job you know what Iโm saying?โ ๐๐
๐ขPICK : FLYERS UNDER 6.5
You're getting extra room: most books have this total at 6 or 5.5, and you hold 6.5, so the game needs 7+ goals for you to lose.
โขFlyers' trend: Philly is 9-2 to the Under this season.
โขModel projection: one model has it Sabres 4, Flyers 2, averaging 5.8 total goals.
โขWeak road offense: the Flyers are still winless on the road.
โขPrice: -140 needs about a 58% hit rate, and the projections support that.
The main risk is a 3-3 game decided in a shootout, since the shootout goal counts and would put it at 7. Good luck tonight.
Why Darderi Is the Play: TOTAL SETS OVER 23.5 TENNIS ๐พ
Despite Duckworth holding the higher ranking, Darderi has a strong opportunity to win this matchup. His aggressive baseline play, heavy topspin, and ability to control longer rallies can put pressure on Duckworth.
At -120, Darderi needs to win approximately 54.5% of the time to justify the price. Our projected 64.9% win probability creates a +10.4 percentage-point advantage, making this an attractive value opportunity.
๐ฅ Baileyโs Edge Verdict: Darderi total over 23.5 offers strong value based on his projected winning probability compared with the betting market. The ranking difference makes this matchup interesting, but the numbers favor Darderi.