BastoniBets

Quant & value-led sports betting
Focus on price, not picks
Fully tracked results
DMs open — process & tools
Tools I use - see website

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

Welcome to BastoniBets

This account documents a value-based betting approach focused on long-term ROI, not daily “locks”.

• Bets placed where price > true probability
• Flat/controlled staking
• No deleting, no cherry-picking
• All results tracked and public

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@SadzysSingles @jakeecollins @BetsniperAUS With footy it really does take knowledge to do well. My strategies for USA sports don’t at all but yeah definitely different with Australian sports.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@jakeecollins @SadzysSingles @BetsniperAUS Game plans gonna be difficult to find a tool to help. Betsniper afl prop tool has positional changes and lots of other things to help find value

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

Rough weekend. A few close losses in Saturday’s nba finals game 2 and likewise in afl games. -10u over the 2 days.

Sitting at -1u after the first week of June.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@Puntasaurus 👏

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@Bens_Betting Have a great trip mate

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@Puntasaurus

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@nathrobinson07 That 3 legger on SB is now down to 1.61. Can’t find better on any other book either damn.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@SaiyanBallers Liking this. Tailed.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@BetsniperAUS Line out ev?

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@Puntasaurus

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

+9.5u yesterday. Mixture of some top down betting on US sports and bottom up on AFL.

Both @FootyFGPod and @Bens_Betting hitting their multis was key. Thanks guys!

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

That Bont recount was huge. 6u swing for me on that alone.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@Bens_Betting Yessirrrr

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

That Bont recount was huge. 6u swing for me on that alone.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

This grouping of EV tools will help new starters quite a bit and makes a lot of sense for experienced users.

For those interested, I use a Top-Down approach for the majority of my betting.

[Betsniper @BetsniperAUS]

To better reflect the function of our tools, we have updated how we group tools together.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@rdcarmani I fear it’s coming to an end soon. Lost most of my promos and am liability limited.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

Small volume yesterday and some close losses resulted in -4u.

+3u today. Essentially even on nba ev, wnba and mlb. AFL also basically even. Profit came from the Unibet promo on Wemby and Brunson for 55 points combined @ $5.

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@AusSportsTrader Great call. Forgot to tail 🤦‍♂️

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

@7raave Wow seems a bit ridiculous that it works this way. Guessing we’d need to chase the books as well to change the bet result.

I reckon there was a few during the season that cost me a bit too!

[BastoniBets @BastoniBets]

Cost me my sgm as well. Ridiculous - absolutely a rebound.

[Danny R @7raave]

THIS IS INSANE!

OG Anunoby clearly gets this rebound.

He secures the ball, comes down with possession, and THEN he gets fouled AFTER.

FanDuel graded him at 3 rebounds. This should be 4 rebounds.

Someone please explain how this is not OG’s rebound.

FIX THIS STAT! OG HAD 4 REBOUNDS TONIGHT!

@FanDuel @FanDuel_Support @NBA @nbastats @NBAStatGuy_ @UnderdogNBA @TheDunkCentral