My dear followers. LISTEN to me for what's to come and what to do.
$QQQ and AI stocks has STARTED a downtrending cycle on the smaller timeframes.
This is confirmed by a pivot break on RSI, large bearish volume, and bearish divergence, and confirmed bearish momentum on MACD
However, we are STILL bullish against the April pivot lows long-term.
What does this mean?
1. The markets will most likely stay bearish short-term with relief rallies along the way.
2. Expect a relief rally to test if bears have conviction, markets will try to bounce and head to all-time highs again.
3. If this rally fails, this setups a LOWER-high scenario that will target more downside closer to my moving averages (62 and 88 EMA or 200 SMA) for a healthy reset.
What should you do for AI stocks?
1. Micro-position. Build your AI positions SLOWLY. There is no confirmed bottom yet on the 1-hour timeframe.
2. Every day, you can buy in SMALL chunks and build up your AI positions. (Day 1, $300. Day 2, $300, Day 3, $300, etc.).
3. These are PROBING positions. You're testing to see what's going on and eliminating FOMO.
How should the portfolio look like?
1. There is no confirmed bottom yet on the 1-hour timeframe.
2. So, you should KEEP your defensive stocks that I own, like $WMT, $DE, $LLY, $MCD, etc. in case more volatility comes
3. You should also KEEP my 15% hedge like $PSQ until prices reach my potential moving averages
How does MY portfolio look like?
1. AI winners 40%
2. Laggards 15%
3. Defensives 15%
4. Hedges 15%
5. Cash 15%
Our portfolio stays so STRONG during red days, and OUTPERFORMS on green days.
Wait for my signal to go all-in; right now, I stay BALANCED.
Listen to ME. I MADE you millions. Now I will SAVE you millions. You need to stay careful here.
$QQQ and the tech-sector is STARTING to show signs of LATE-cycle movements.
With each new MARGINAL high comes more and more BEARISH-divergence.
Bulls are getting VERY greedy at these levels.
What should you do?
For AI winners like $ARM, $AMD, $NBIS, etc.:
1. HOLD and KEEP
2. But I've TRIMMED my AI winners by 20% to lock-in gains
3. I've also started to HEDGE 15% of my portfolio (3-month puts, inverse ETF, etc.)
4. This helps ABSORB potential volatility
For lagging sectors:
1. We are OVERweight in $XLV and healthcare (doing very well for us)
2. We are OVERweight in bottoming sectors like software $IGV (doing great for us)
3. We are OVERweight in contrarian buys like consumer staples
For defensives:
1. Core positions in defensive sectors can HELP and maybe even OUTPERFORM the next few months
2. Think consumer defensives, utilities, and industrials
Overall, KEEP your AI winners!!!! We are still EARLY in AI.
But make sure you hold your gains by balancing your portfolio for the next 3 months ahead.
@JeffBiesinger Rotational players don’t shoot 22% from3, at least on good teams. Jazz will almost assuredly ship Cody off somewhere for a box of chocolates.
@TedPillows It’s called a correction and is healthy. I raised some cash and wasn’t chasing too much the past 3-4 weeks so I’m good. Will start buying again on some names if we get another 5-6% down.
@shrek2fanboy@DLocke09 It definitely was a poor pick because of other better players available and mining a pick to get Clayton. Strange year for Clayton, but who would have expected him to not be a good shooter in the NBA?
@asklivermore Do you recommend any hedges like SOXS until we get the 10% correction? Do you trim your winners using first in first out or highest cost shares?