A long post (see the very end for /tldr) but one that I think is highly important.
A phenomena we're experiencing in spades right now, but without necessarily seeing the "meta" aspect of, is this: Israel's attack in Iran, and it's initial stunning success, caught *a lot* of actors off-guard, not just the Iranians.
These include (in no particular order):
-Israel's vast array of foes outside the U.S., both at the state & international organizational levels
-Israel's foes within the U.S., including antisemitic engagement farming influencers & organizations at the fore of attacking Israel over Gaza ever since Oct. 7
-Iran's U.S. support base (e.g., Trita Parsi)
-Russia
-China
-Obama alumni, engineers of the JCPOA & its wider circle of supporters
-The isolationists within MAGA, including some in important Administration positions
-Domestic opponents of Trump who reflexively oppose anything he supports
-Bitter ex-Biden people
-The significant segment of the U.S. body politic who are (not unrightfully) leery of getting embroiled in another war after the bitter experiences of Iraq and Afghanistan
These groups are not the same (in particular the latter should be spoken to & listened to respectfully). But what they have in common is that *each* has now recovered from the shock of the Israeli attack and its dramatic success, and is now coordinating its messaging and attempts at influence, through all channels at their disposal.
This is why the narrative seems to be shifting / swirling. And this is compounded by the trauma of all of Israel being under missile threat, although the damage (while painful) is objectively quite limited and evidently better than the best-case planning scenarios.
The fact is that the IDF and other Israeli security forces are performing *exceedingly* well. Iran has no umbrella against the rain of the IAF, and their offensive capabilities are depleted / degraded more and more every single day. Military and scientific leadership has been crushed, I can only surmise that Iran now has B if not C players acting in essential capacities. Imagine the degree of internal paranoia given the manifest degree of Israeli intel penetration, and the dysfunctionality this must prompt.
Trump and most Americans (and even most European leaders under their breath) well understand that it is not only Israel who is threatened by the prospect of a nuclear Iran. Adding to this, Trump has already demonstrated a penchant for keeping Iran off guard. Who knows what messages are crafted for what audiences?
In sum - there are many actors competing desperately for your attention and opinion, and many of them are extremely skilled at messaging. All of this is natural, it's the water we swim in.
If you care for Israel and indeed Western civilization - keep your chin up.
/tldr - the initial shock of war having worn off, influence campaigns are in full swing, and there is a lot at stake for the participants. That accounts more for the narrative shift than any actual adverse developments on the ground.
“Put your money in stocks, otherwise you’ll waste it,” they said. After the sale of my home, flush with cash, holdings going south. #StockMarket#retirement#finances
@JewsFightBack So disgusting. I am just over the mountain in San Jose. Santa Cruz, while a nice beach town with good surf, is so friggin woke leftist it is nauseating.
@MattWallace888 The FBI can’t but perhaps the NSA can. They would have to geo-locate all signals in the area, mid town Manhattan- not an easy task even early in the morning. Without a number it is more difficult to- trust me I know how this works.