The People Mover That Was Promised

Sometimes wrong. Always chugging along.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

Please report this post so Twitter will suspend me and I can be more productive this week. This post is disinformation encouraging self harm.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@mattyglesias Next step should be charging for parking.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@LinkofSunshine Yes but also Walz is nowhere near the flameout that Palin or Lieberman were? People on the right on Twitter are just in a massive bubble. He was polling at 48/48 before he dropped out of the race which isn't bad.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@willmenzies @AndyMasley Yeah I think this is the long and short of it right now.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@MariGO2thepolls As a pitbull mix dad, the key thing is that they are usually rescues.

I don't actually think that pitbulls should be bred, I just think that ones like mine deserve to be loved.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@constans @CNLiberalism A lot of deaths are retaliatory and such, so a declining trend can create a positive cycle.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@DiscussingFilm This is AI right? His shirt changes midway through among other issues.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@Brent83539413 @JeremiahDJohns @CNLiberalism Yeah he'd probably be fine. But neither he or the Kennedy action is likely to actually win, it's probably going to be someone like Micah Lasher imo. Don't know Micah well enough to actually have a strong opinion on him.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@green792033 @LinkofSunshine Yeah I think he's my number 1 pick right now, Kelly also high. The 4 polled are not in consideration.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@JeremiahDJohns You should do a version of this for bluesky instead.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@lxeagle17 He's in the lead among Dems in certain primary polls, and the claim that he can't win black voters seems wrong to me as they are based on favorite candidate polls and not favorability.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@lxeagle17 Both of these seem really bad picks behind less controversial candidates like Pete or Mark Kelly.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@timfduffy @tinkady2 @AndyMasley That and I think this assumption is wrong. Pitbulls are generally much stronger than other dogs, injuries will not be proportional to fatalities because a higher proportion of bites will lead to fatalities.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@NathanpmYoung @AndyMasley size and breeding for aggression are going to be extremely nonlinear.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@NathanpmYoung @AndyMasley Pit bull captures a very, very wide mix of breeds. I myself have a 40 pound pit rescue who's incredibly friendly with strangers though can be reactive with larger dogs. Seems likely that 100 pound XL bullies could have a 10x difference in fatalities and injuries. The impacts of

[Andy Masley @AndyMasley]

I see this graph of pit bulls as especially dangerous come up a lot, and I feel like people are thinking way too much about the relative proportions and not enough about absolutes here. 284 deaths between 2005-2017 is still relatively small.

To bring it back to my AI enviro stuff, this feels somewhat equivalent to saying "ChatGPT is 10 times as bad as a Google search." That's still just so small. Here, it's saying "Pit bulls are 20 times as dangerous as huskies!" Like okay, when was the last time you encountered any danger from a husky? An extremely small number x20 can still be extremely small.

Seems like there might be ~10 million pit bulls in the US. Of like ~10 million dogs, every year ~23 people are killed. 1 death per 430,000 dogs each year.

To compare, there are ~284 million personal cars in the US, and 40,000 road deaths each year. 1 death per 7100. So the average car is 60x as likely to kill you as the average pit bull.

I'm obviously pro being very safe with very physically strong animals. But I think a lot of people infer way more from this graph than they should. This seems kind of like a graph of the least safe airlines.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@TahraHoops Well Angus King is an independent. But Maine should have democratic senators in the place of him and Susan Collins.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@Unlearned_Hand @AaronBergman18 Consider option C, lives in San Francisco.

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@AndyMasley OMG yeah. I am bad with names. I didn't know she was influenced by Singer!

[The People Mover That Was Promised @Bbburner19]

@Duderichy He has already paid an incredible amount of attention to this by all accounts. There are limits and sometimes people's metabolism just don't allow for being super fit.