Beau Lair

Zeljko's assistant in charge of Odds & Evens betting

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@politicsbetclub @JLPartnersPolls Details in a Guardian article. Seems bizarre that they didn't include Restore as an option when you can only assume they are almost all of the 13%. Also the questions they asked were about local issues rather than the elephant in the room of whether you want Burnham as PM

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@mcmungawar He's probably in the Administration now 😂

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@politicsbetclub We know how much Lowe cares about the betting markets so they might be incentivised to keep manipulating the price. Also wouldn't rule out a ridiculous push poll they'll flog to the members

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@MarkDiStef @sandylanceley I'm glad you can forgive yourself for working for Buzzfeed

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@politicsbetclub If you were going to back them you might as well get in before we get a seat poll with Restore at 3% and that $23 goes to $200

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@TempletonPeckJr @DPJHodges @RupertLowe10 Just had the thought, we'll know ahead of time whether Restore are running a candidate because the market will get smashed like last time before Lowe's announcement

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@TempletonPeckJr @DPJHodges @RupertLowe10 For Restore to have any success at all he needs Reform to crash and burn. Great opportunity for Lowe to increase name recognition amongst non-online older voters which is exactly where he wants to expand to

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@politicsbetclub If they go through everything Kenyon has ever posted online and don't find anything and are convinced he can hold his own against the media I think they should keep Farage at a distance from the campaign. Burnham would love to make it a referendum on Farage

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@politicsbetclub Could you even come up with a scenario where he won the by-election and wasn't the next PM. Would have to be some sort of personal scandal after winning but before being sworn in

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@JAHeale No one better qualified to speak about shifting allegiances in the north

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@politicsbetclub If we're looking at roughly 1500 Reform and Lab,Greens, Tories, LD all around 700 then there was plenty of room for things to go wrong. Outstanding bet

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@bookiewatchdog Wow, how much are the guys being targeted staking?

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@SenseiChanning @KarlArmour56055 See how they do in Greater Yarmouth in the council elections. Most likely result is they still fizzle out but his thoughts on Kemi and the 2024 intake of Tories is very interesting

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@SenseiChanning @KarlArmour56055 You shouldn't be betting on politics if you're so biased that you can't even listen to one of the key players whether it's on the far right or far left. Really enjoyed the podcast, a lot of valuable insight into what his raison d'etre is

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@joey_waugh Hard with the low liquidity for NRL. Plenty of times you'd love to get out but concede again before any opportunity arises

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@mcmungawar Early 2025 figure inflated by still being on tilt about Kamala losing 😂

[Beau Lair @BeauLair1]

@politicsbetclub Hopefully the cashed up clown from a few months ago is back on the exchange. Wonder when that Restore price is finally going to triple figures, maybe the nutters will go back to liking Reform when they see Restore aren't running outside of Yarmouth