Welcome to Beaver Capital. Beavers don't chase, they wait for the right spot and build.
Every pick here gets an entry, a stop, a target and a reason. Held weeks to months. I'll post how each one plays out, wins and losses.
New watchlist every Sunday.
@AIStockSavvy stock already did its own launch. $RKLB went from a 43.89 low on nov 5 to 66.15 yesterday, closed 64.07 just over the 50-day (~62.5). 200-day near 78 is the next big one
@ripster47@tenet_research the msft news is doing all the lifting. $CBRS closed 97.75 and the nov 5 low at 77.84 held, but it's still ~75% under the 386 high with the 50-day way up near 153
$SPY nov 5 range was 732.71 to 765.97. five sessions since, high 763.03, low 734.58, all inside. the 50-day (~764) sits right on the top of the box too, so a breakout has to clear both
@SpecialSitsNews 5.12 intraday is the first print that high since oct 21. $TLT closed 79.72, its lowest close since oct 16, and the 5.36 oct high is the next stop if this keeps going
@Fiscal_ai $CSCO walked into the print at 102.01, basically sitting on its 200-day, with the 50-day up near 108. clean beat, but 108 is where we find out if anyone actually wants it
@kpak82 IWM closed 278.44, below both the 50-day (281.12) and 200-day (279.34). A daily reclaim of 279.34 would be the first sign the reversal is losing grip.
@CoinvoTrading $AVGO closed at 364.36, just under the 200-day at 367.34 after tagging 369.82. A close back above that average would make the bull-flag case more convincing.
@MikeZaccardi QQQ’s weekly lead is notable, but today’s 688.17 close came after a 679.84 tag at the 200-day (681.99). The 50-day at 718.62 is still overhead.
@TrendSpider@Mik3Christ3ns3n@MikeMKTs what's the bar on this one? $AMAT walks in ~49% off the 738.88 june high, so expectations are already pretty beaten up
@earnings_guy the setup going in: $AMAT bounced 316.95 to 404.71 off the nov 5 low and gave back to ~380 today. still way under the 50-day (~439), so even a beat has to clear 405 first
@YahooFinance $TSLA ran from 385 to 401 on it and is ~397, back over the 200-day (~383). "as soon as december" is a long time to hold a headline pop though
$MSFT gave back ~13 today on the hot CPI print, low 526.36. it was 559 last Wednesday.
rising 50-day sits ~518, Nov 2 low 504.96 under that. 200-day way down at ~441. no earnings till Jan 27.
would you buy this pullback here?
@Muninn same 8-9x from opposite ends. the edge is the ratio, not the stop width, so the real lesson is to pick the one you can sit through on a losing week
@ohiain the march 30 low was 554.41 and $QQQ was back over 580 two sessions later. today flushed to 679.84, right on the 200-day (~681), and it's ~690. a close near the 694.56 high would rhyme
$NBIS gapped to 119.88 off a 154.69 close and the 118.81 low held above the nov 5 low (113.30). ~127.5 now. still ~50 under the 200-day (~179), so it's a bounce inside a flush until 160 comes back
Nebius market tide is flipping.
$NBIS gapped down 17% at the open, and put premium dominated early.
By mid-morning call premium took over, and price has climbed from $120 back to $128.