Most people get into trading for the same reason: make some extra money and improve their life
Along the way most people focus however on how to make that money as fast as possible. This is the wrong approach. The approach should be how can I get to a point quickly where I can relatively consistently be green every month. Start there.
When you start on average, even $100 a day can make a decent difference to your life at the end of the year. It can pay some bills, a few extra payments on your mortgage, a vacation or it gives you options to invest in yourself
People forget to account for the fact that losing money is not only lost capital, lost time but also causes a lot of added stress mentally. It affects your daily life, your mood, things at home. This only leads to more spiraling in an effort to make money back. Some never get out of this loop.
But if you want my advice, just give yourself time and grace. None of this is easy which is why most cant make it. But if you are patient both with yourself and overall, after the initial learning phase you will get to a point where you can make that 100 bucks with relative consistency. From there on, its just numbers, then you shoot for 200, 500 etc. On a monthly level thats 10k, so 6 figures in annual income. That alone for a vast majority of people is a game changer. 500 bucks a day.
So dont lose sight of the long term picture here. We go through the initial pain so we can enjoy the fruits of both our labor and the time we put in. Dont do a disservice to yourself by being short sighted or just focus on making money today or tomorrow or this week. Think about how you can do so for 20 30 40 years.
When you think in those terms, taking 3-5 years to get decent is not a big sacrifice. As in all things in life, operate under the right frame and don’t have unrealistic expectations.
Not trying to squeeze traders — I built this because I needed it myself.
Priced it to be fair, not to maximize revenue.
If you're grinding SPX/ES all day, this should cost less than one bad trade saves you.
Here for the traders, not to profit off them.
https://t.co/KxJKNYGY1j
Most traders look at the Dealer Edge Heatmap every day..
But very few know how to actually use it.
Buckwheat breaks down GEX, VEX, Gamma %, Anchors, Flips, and how to turn the Heatmap into a real trade plan.
Watch the full masterclass 👇
https://t.co/HHWvOxNE4z
One of the most common questions I get is:
"How do you deal with a gap up"?
Many have a fear of gaps, but they can create some of the most explosive moves if you trade them correctly
A strong gap up doesn’t mean you should instantly chase it.
Most of the time, the open is filled with:
-profit taking from overnight holders
-emotional FOMO buyers
-volatility and fake moves
What I prefer to see first is the stock prove itself after the initial open.
I learned this process from @RealSimpleAriel and its been an incredible help buying gap ups without chasing them:
-Wait for the morning flush
-Watch for tangible bottom to form off a pivot
At some point the selling starts to dry up and price stabilizes.
This low becomes important because now risk can actually be defined.
For entry:
-Watch for a close back above VWAP
The reclaim of VWAP is key because it shows buyers are regaining control after the pullback.
If volume starts expanding during the reclaim, even better.
Once VWAP is reclaimed and the low holds, that’s when momentum traders and institutions often start stepping back in.
Using this process for gaps has helped me remain less emotional and more objective for sharper entries.
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3 weeks ago I argued the US goal in Iran is to seize the global oil spigot. Venezuela in January -> Iran in February.
Neutralize every supply channel outside the dollar system within 90 days. Achieve a compliant successor government and complete energy dominance.
The oil thesis was the obvious layer. However, when you zoom out & view the last four years as a single sequence rather than isolated geopolitical events, the architecture of the grander US plan becomes visible.
1st was Europe, which laid the groundwork.
The Ukraine conflict provided the justification for sanctions that collapsed Russian pipeline gas from 150 billion cubic meters to 40.
Then Nordstream was destroyed, which rewired the entire European energy system permanently. The US went from supplying 28% of Europe's LNG in 2021 to 58% by 2025, exporting a record 111 million MTs, the 1st country in history to break 100 MT.
Europe was transformed from a customer with options into a captive market now purchasing its survival in USD.
2nd was Syria.
The fall of Assad severed the critical node connecting China's Belt & Road Initiative to the Mediterranean.
The trilateral railway linking Iran, Iraq & Syria, designed to bypass Western maritime chokepoints, was completely destroyed.
This isolated Iran geographically & cleared the path for what came next.
3rd was Venezuela.
In January the US effectively took control of the world's largest heavy crude reserves. The US Gulf Coast has the most advanced refining complex on earth, specifically built for heavy sour crude. Phillips 66, Valero & the rest are now positioned to process hundreds of thousands of barrels of Venezuelan crude daily.
The US captured a massive strategic reserve & solidified its position as the dominant exporter of refined petroleum products, an industry worth $110 billion in 2025 alone.
Venezuela & Iran were the two major oil supply channels that existed outside the dollar system. Both produce heavy crude sold primarily to China & evaded US financial supervision. Both now being neutralized within 90 days, which leads us to..
4th is Iran & the Middle East energy shock.
Israel struck Iran's South Pars gas field, the world's largest natural gas reservoir. Iran retaliated against Qatar's Ras Laffan, the single largest LNG facility on earth, responsible for a fifth of global supply. QatarEnergy's own assessment is that 17% of export capacity is gone and recovery will take up to 5 years. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. European gas prices spiked 70%. Asian spot prices doubled.
The only remaining scaled supplier? The United States.
If Iran falls & a successor government is installed that the US controls or influences (the Delcy model described weeks ago) then roughly 40 to 45 million barrels per day of global production out of 103 million is effectively under US control. OPEC becomes irrelevant because the US coalition is now the marginal producer. Now add the gas dimension & it goes beyond oil.
This war is solidifying the petrodollar system as it evolves into a hybrid petro/LNG-dollar. The old system was built on Saudi crude priced in USD. The new system is built on American crude plus American gas from the Gulf Coast, with no alternative supplier of comparable scale. The dependency is deeper because LNG infrastructure requires long term contracts & regasification terminals that lock buyers into supply relationships for decades. Europe & the Pacific allies (Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, etc.) cannot pivot away as there is nowhere left to pivot to. They're now locked into the US energy system.
The market confirms this. DXY went from 96 to 101. Gold down ~20% from its January all time high. Bitcoin down 20% on the year. Brent above $100. European & Asian institutions are liquidating precious metals and crypto to buy dollars because they need dollars to buy the only remaining scaled energy supply. The world is selling its gold to buy American energy in American currency. The dollar is now being weaponized through energy dependency.
The structural repricing is happening regardless of how the conflict resolves.
But the US grand strategy goes deeper..
Artificial intelligence is a physical industry. It runs on power and chips. Data centers require massive uninterrupted baseload electricity, primarily provided by natural gas. Semiconductor fabrication requires helium & rare earths.
By choking the Strait of Hormuz & crippling Middle Eastern LNG & helium production, the US is systematically degrading China's ability to power its data centers & fabricate semiconductors at scale.
The US is energy self sufficient, especially with newly captured Venezuelan reserves & expanding Gulf Coast capacity running on domestic gas.
On the other hand, China is import dependent & every joule it imports effectively now transits chokepoints the US Navy controls..
Iran was the Belt & Road's overland energy bypass, the corridor that allowed China to mitigate the Malacca Trap. With Iran neutralized that corridor is severed. China faces a world where its compute infrastructure competes for scraps on a depleted global LNG market, while American data centers run at full capacity on domestic energy.
Russia is next in the sequence. A post-war Iran reopening under US influence competes directly with Russia for the same refineries in China & India at lower cost. Iran's production costs are lower. Russia loses its last structural advantage in heavy crude & its economic lifeline. Additionally, under the Iran war cover, Ukraine has been opportunistically destroying Russian energy infrastructure & all signs point towards Russia being at the end of the line. The message from Washington becomes very simple: we dismantled two regimes in three months, your economy is about to get crushed, sign the Ukraine deal.
Then Trump sits down with Xi holding every card. Complete energy dominance. The hybrid petro/LNG-dollar fortified, Iran cleared, Russia cornered, & China facing the Malacca Trap fully closed with no remaining energy bypass.
Israel & the GCC are absorbing the kinetic cost of a conflict whose primary beneficiary, counter to the mainstream narrative, is actually America (First). Qatar offline for 5 years reprices the entire global gas market in favor of US exporters for the remainder of the decade. The Gulf states face years of rebuilding. Europe faces its 2nd energy crisis in four years.
Sure, the average American might face temporary moderate inflation & higher gas prices. But if you are the architect of the US empire & you view the rise of China & Chinese ASI as an existential winner takes all scenario, the collateral damage is acceptable cost.
Whoever controls the energy corridors controls the monetary system. Whoever controls the monetary system & the energy supply simultaneously controls the compute infrastructure that determines which civilization builds ASI first.
The US is seizing all 3.
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@Remzztrades Nice! Swings and profit taking daily for me. Both red days were new positions opened for swings. Opened a new small account 11/22 just for swings with 2k. I learned a lot with my time spent in your discord! Thanks for all the knowledge
I tried using orbs
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