@RegBarraclough@danhwylie@RobinNgai@AusPoll6 Yes, but Labor doesn't get all GRN, IND, and OTH preferences either. LIB usually gets around 12% of Greens preferences, more than half from teal IND and close to half of others. Agree though it could well be a minority gov't.
@Russputin2@BernardKeane The only crime org is the $15 billion lost to criminality and corruption on the Big Build. All major polling companies are showing Labor losing.
@danhwylie@RobinNgai@AusPoll6 It's messy that's for sure. If Labor are coming third statewide they'd be at risk of not even making the final two in a range of seats. PHON ran an open ticket in SA and preferences still flowed 71% to LIB. In the Nepean by-election it was close to 80% to LIB.
@IanMcke52554063@kevinbonham The article hasn't reported minor parties yet, but Freshwater almost certainly polled them and will release the full breakdown. Virtually every poll is showing Vic Labor in the toilet.
@kazza264@AusPoll6 Yet they were spot on with the Voice and other elections, but messed up the 2025 federal by a few points as many other pollsters did.
@JasonPremoMFG@DrewPavlou So why are guns deaths in Australia amongst the lowest in the world? Because there are fewer guns in circulation, so less likely to get into the wrong hands. Doesn’t mean it’s impossible for criminals to get them, but it’s much less than most other nations.