One (meaningful) match to go. ⚽
@DectechSports' model had Argentina and Spain as favourites. After 102 matches, that's the final we have.
Forecasting isn't about calling every upset. It's about understanding the probabilities that emerge over time.
#FIFAWorldCup#Forecasting
After all the shocks, we've somehow ended up with the 4 highest-ranked FIFA teams in the semi-finals. ⚽🌎
They were also 4 of the top 5 in Dectech's model before the tournament.
Perhaps the biggest surprise is that the probabilities have held up.
#FIFAWorldCup#Forecasting
Quarter-finals are here. ⚽🌎
5 of our top 8 pre-tournament picks are still standing despite shocks like Norway beating Brazil and Paraguay eliminating Germany.
We're still backing Argentina, Spain and England, and quietly like Morocco's chances too.
#FIFAWorldCup#Forecasting
Round 3 is here ⚽🌎
Dectech's forecasts are performing well against the benchmarks.
Canada-Switzerland, Paraguay-Australia, Cape Verde-Saudi Arabia, Egypt-Iran and Colombia-Portugal all look both consequential and competitive 👀
#FIFAWorldCup#Forecasting#DataScience
The World Cup is already delivering ⚽🌎
@DectechSports' model flagged Brazil vs Morocco as one to watch in Round 1, and it proved to be a close contest.
One to watch in Round2? 👀 USA vs Australia.
Enjoy the games!
#FIFAWorldCup#Forecasting#DataScience
The wait is over, we are finally here ⚽🌎
@DectechSports' Round 1 forecasts are here. One to watch? Brazil vs Morocco could be closer than many expect 👀
Enjoy the games, and good luck to everyone supporting their team!
#FIFAWorldCup#Forecasting#DataScience
A quick follow-on from my post earlier today…
Argentina is rated at more than twice the market’s probability, whilst France is rated at less than half. Morocco also stands out as an undervalued pick.
Will the model spot the value? ⚽📈
#FIFAWorldCup#Forecasting#DataScience
@DectechSports World Cup prediction is out!
Over the coming weeks, we’ll track how those probabilities evolve, compare our forecasts against the market, and look at match-level predictions along the way.
The fun starts now… ⚽📈
#FIFAWorldCup#Forecasting#DataScience
If pricing is about meaning, propositions are about logic you can feel. ⚖️🧠
Users judge coherence before value.
Hesitation creeps in on unequal paths or restrictive tiers.
Make the structure fair and people move forward.
#BehaviouralScience#ChoiceArchitecture#ProductDesign
Eurovision vs bookies 👀
Cyprus gap: @dectechconsult's model 23% higher for JALLA using engagement, streaming & history. Markets are crowd-driven; models spot shifts earlier. Same lesson in demand, pricing & politics.
#Eurovision#Forecasting#DataScience
Fairness breaks down when one group carries the cost ⚖️
Efficiency/feasibility can justify decisions.
How you handle the trade-off is what people judge.
https://t.co/jOIheBvA89
#Fairness#CustomerExperience#BehaviouralScience
Is this the end of market research? 🤖
AI is getting better at predicting behaviour, but only where data already exists. For new ideas, we still need to understand people.
Listen to @dectechconsult on where the industry is heading 👇
https://t.co/7bu85XoU2Y
#AI#MarketResearch
Cognitive dissonance at the gate ✈️
“Priority” on the right. “Speedy Boarding” on the left. Same moment, opposite directions.
Ryanair’s sign was obsolete. No one noticed. Queues shifted, people second-guessed.
Not a UX problem. An environment one.
#UX#CX#BehaviouralScience
People don’t react to prices. They react to what prices mean. 👀💷
A flawless pricing formula can still feel unfair or opaque.
Is your premium tier “more features” or “peace of mind”?
Get the psychology right and pricing lands. ✨
#BehaviouralScience#PricingStrategy
Many surveys look scientific but measure very little. 📊
“How challenging is this? (1–10)” with no anchor.
Add baselines, real tasks, prevalence and trade-offs.
Don’t ask people to guess what a number means.
#BehaviouralScience#SurveyDesign#UserResearch
First behavioural science moment of the year 🚻
Two toilet cubicles in Spain. Stereotypes aside, nothing describes function. Brain fills the gaps. Pattern-matching > instructions.
Happy New Year 🎉
Signing off for the year, one last thought: research doesn’t need more data. It needs better loops.
Metrics are prompts, not answers. Pair signals with conversations, let qual and quant take turns, and learning speeds up fast. 🔄🧠
#ContinuousDiscoveryHabits#UserResearch
Don’t ask customers what they want.
Ask what frustrates them.
“Describe your entire workflow” gets guesswork.
“What happened the last time this went wrong?” gets truth.
Discovery works better when you ask for moments, not opinions.🧠
#BehaviouralScience#ProductDiscovery
New Predicting People episode from @dectechconsult: why customers so often choose the wrong product. Choice overload, miswanting, unstable preferences… it’s a perfect storm.
Listen now 👉 https://t.co/oMc7cfVhy9