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✔️The @WGCWorkday will favor players that score high in strokes gained off-the-tee, scrambling and putting on Bermuda greens
✔️Nine of the past 18 WGC winners had odds of 15-1 or shorter
✔️Xander has 16 straight top-25 finishes
⬇️WGC Workday Preview⬇️
https://t.co/JnRTuV8wOB
Top Putters (Strokes Gained) on Bermuda grass Over Past 24 Rounds:
Kevin Kisner (+10000)
Xander Schauffele (+1100)
Brendon Todd (+15000)
Matthew Fitzpatrick (+7000)
Billy Horschel (+11000)
@WGCWorkday
#SuperBowl Props Preview:
✔️KC shuts down #1 and #2 WRs - look for OVER TB rushing and TE props
✔️Super Bowls historically start slow. Target OVERs on 2H props
✔️Target OVER Mahomes props as Chiefs will look to avoid Bucs excellent rush defense
https://t.co/XObK8bOVXw
#SuperBowl Public Action:
✔️58% of action is on Chiefs -3
✔️66% of action is on OVER 56
✔️Numerous books (purposely) set low totals on KC rushing props, which public hammered. Books will have a good day if KC rushing props stay under
✔️Most publicly bet Prop: Mahomes MVP
#SuperBowl Props:
✔️While these are two of the highest scoring offenses, they don't always come out firing
✔️Chiefs have been held scoreless in three of their last six 1Qs
✔️Bucs averaging four points in the 1Q over past 14 games
➡️Target props that favor scoring in the 2H
#SuperBowl Prop Preview:
✔️Clyde Edwards-Helaire season average per reception: 8.3 yards
✔️Has a reception in every game this year except Week 1
✔️Buc excellent rush defense may lead to more short passes to running backs (vs. rushing attempts)
➡️Lean: 1st reception O4.5 yards
#SuperBowl Stats To Target For Props:
✔️Avg. points scored in Super Bowl since 2000: 1Q 6.2 / 2Q 13.5 / 3Q 11.4 / 4Q 16.2
✔️Bucs D 1st in rushing yards allowed per game
✔️Chiefs D allowed 2nd fewest yards to WRs but 5th most to TEs
✔️Bucs 32nd in kickoff return yards allowed
For the @FarmersInsOpen we are targeting players that:
✔️Are in the top-25 in driving distance
✔️Are playing the South course on Thursday
✔️Have played in a tournament this year
✔️Have recent success at Torrey Pines
Our favorite picks for the weekend:
https://t.co/G5m5Y5EHJw
#FarmersInsuranceOpen Course Preview ⛳️
▪️This is one of the longest courses on tour
▪️Forecast is calling for chilly conditions with possible rain and heavy winds - meaning the course will play even longer
▪️Small greens. Not a lot of hazards
➡️Target players with DISTANCE⬅️
📊Tom Brady #SuperBowl Stats📊
✔️6-3 straight-up / 4-5 against the spread
✔️Average points scored in 1Q of games: 3
✔️Average points scored in game overall: 46
✔️Every game has been decided by 3-10 points
✔️Underdog only once (2002): Pats beat the Rams 20-17 as 14-point dogs
Watching highlights of Tom Brady Super Bowls.
One very important note that I haven't seen discussed:
I think Jake Delhomme and Stephen Gostkowski are the same person. They are never on the field at the same time, so realistically this is possible.
📊#SuperBowlLV Trends📊
✔️First quarter scores of past four Super Bowls with totals set at 50 or more:
➡️0-0
➡️0-0
➡️9-0
➡️7-3
✔️In Super Bowls since 2010:
➡️Average Points in First Quarter: 7.3
➡️Average Points in Second Quarter: 15.5
➡️Average Points in Full Game: 49.9
#BillsMafia / #ChiefsKingdom:
✔️Bills are 9-1 ATS in their last 10
✔️Chiefs 0-8-1 ATS in their last 9
✔️Josh Allen is 8-2-2 ATS as a road underdog
✔️Mahomes health (FOOT) in question
✔️Bills D allowing just 17 ppg over last 8
✔️Chiefs 31st against the run
➡️Lean: Bills +3.5