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June 16 is the real macro danger day
Bank of Japan ends its meeting on June 16 and markets are pricing around 80% chance of a hike to 1 percent
If Japan hikes it can pressure global liquidity yen carry trades tech stocks and crypto
Then on June 17 Kevin Warsh leads his first Fed decision as Chair
Fed statement 2pm ET press conference 230pm ET
Strong US jobs data has made the Fed setup more hawkish because strong employment plus sticky inflation means less room for rate cuts and more risk of higher yields
My speculative call
If BoJ hikes and Warsh sounds hawkish risk assets can dump fast
Crypto only survives if Warsh uses soft language like data dependent financial stability liquidity support or no urgent need to hike
This week is not about charts only
It is about Japan liquidity plus Fed tone
What do you think crash first or fake dump then pump
Unemployment rate remaining unchanged while payrolls has been increase from 115k to 179k highly in favor of Dollar.
Risk markets Gold, silver and Bitcoin are bearish.
#XAU#BTC
Bullish USD / Bearish Gold, Silver, Bitcoin
- Payrolls above 150K
- Unemployment 4.3% or lower
- Strong wage growth
This would likely reduce expectations for Fed rate cuts, supporting the dollar and putting pressure on gold, silver, and crypto.
Bullish Gold, Silver, Bitcoin
- Payrolls below 80K
- Unemployment rises to 4.4%–4.5%
That would increase expectations for Fed easing and could trigger buying in precious metals and risk assets.
@hamzahweb3@okx I still don't know how exchanges selectin BDs even on Binance and on all other top exchange you might face this kind of issue often.
Most of the BDs are not even crypto and trading literate and they are serving regional BDs.
didn't make sense to me.
🚨 UPDATE: Zcash founder Zooko discloses a critical counterfeiting vulnerability in Zcash's Orchard pool that could have allowed unlimited undetectable $ZEC minting.
Discovered May 29 and patched by June 2.