#bonds $usb Update from my March 2025 chart. I think the turn is now underway and soon bonds will outperform the S&P as rates and economic expansion both head lower.
$usb #bonds My 30-yr bond chart originally developed in Dec and prompted me to overweight my retirement funds in bonds on Jan 1st. That allocation has smoked the S&P YTD. The big picture matters. Understanding historical market context matters. Bonds will outperform S&P rest of the year.
@sylvanashen I'm only trading in and out of my smallish options account. I raised cash there a few days ago when I sold $asts calls. I remain fully invested in my stock account and plan to hold.
#solar $enph Weekly took a big hit last week but context is important. I'm not daytrading and this continues tracking a similar 2017 structural analog. Profit taking keeps long term trends alive.
@DefiWimar Large IPOs don't crash markets due to liquidity drains to buy the IPO shares. The correlation is that large IPOs often appear when market confidence is bubbling sky high, suggesting peak confidence in the cycle.
#fear#putcall Yes, the markets could go lower next week, but keep in the mind that the put-call ratio is entering the "fear zone" that begins to provide good long entries. I'm in long term share hold mode while picking up a few calls.
#renewables $fcel $enph Some updates on $fcel and $enph based on developing structure on 15-minute charts. Added to calls as shown - otherwise simply holding on all share positions. Brutal drawdown day but could be a nice risk/reward opp.
@BreadWinneh What the hell is wrong with you? This was taken from a Reddit post 8 mos ago and repurposed for your idiotic engagement today. Yes, this is today's X....pathetic.
@CamelsinIgloos The 15-min channel is invalidated when it breaks downs. Itβs ridiculously steep. That doesnβt mean the uptrend is over, only the trajectory is over.
$fcel Decided to take a look a potential long term targets based on chart structure off the weekly. A move above the pivot could target $275 (based on measured move) for those with patience. Will continue to update and monitor of course.