Iran is losing this war militarily, but winning it strategically.
Let me explain.
First we need to determine what a win actually looks like.
For Trump, he needs Iran to be more friendly to the U.S. so he can have more influence over the most important energy chokepoint in the world: the Strait of Hormuz. In other words, he needs to cut Iran off from China.
For Iran to "win," all they need to do is survive. And to survive, Iran needs to force the U.S. to end the war before the regime collapses.
There are 2 ways to achieve this:
1. Keep the Strait of Hormuz closed for another 3 weeks. This will severely harm the economies of Asian and European countries, who will then pressure Trump to end the war.
2. Keep causing havoc in the Gulf, forcing those same countries to pressure Trump as well.
And Iran will likely be able to achieve both, not through missiles, but through drones.
The U.S. and Israel have been able to wipe out the majority of missile launchers through rapid satellite detection. But destroying drone factories, which are very easy to set up in apartments and underground locations, is a much harder problem.
So despite America's military might and a very successful campaign, the regime seems to be getting more radicalized, not less. And instead of causing protesters to rise up against the regime, we're seeing a rally around the flag.
The Kurdish separatists? Too small to make a difference. Iran's military is massive.
Unless something changes, Iran may end up winning this war with the regime still in power.
Trump can still declare victory, and rightfully so, given the destruction of Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs. But his core goal, gaining control and influence over the Strait of Hormuz, will have failed.
Deeply saddened to know about the demise of Zubeen Garg Ji, an iconic singer, musician, and film personality from Assam. He mesmerized listeners for decades with his golden voice and wove the threads of unity across India with his timeless music. His passing away leaves a void that will never be filled. My thoughts are with his family, friends, and millions of followers in these difficult times. Om Shanti.
অসমৰ অতি জনপ্ৰিয় কণ্ঠশিল্পী, সংগীতজ্ঞ আৰু চিনেমা জগতৰ প্ৰসিদ্ধ ব্যক্তিত্ব জুবিন গাৰ্গৰ দেহাৱসানৰ বাতৰি লাভ কৰি অত্যন্ত ব্যথিত হৈছোঁ ৷ দশক দশক ধৰি শ্ৰোতাসকলক সোণালী কণ্ঠ আৰু গীতেৰে মন্ত্ৰমুগ্ধ কৰি ৰখা গাৰ্গে কালজয়ী সংগীতেৰে সমগ্ৰ ভাৰতকে একতাৰ সূতাৰে বান্ধি ৰাখিছিল। তেখেতৰ বিয়োগে আজি কাহানিও পূৰাব নোৱৰা এক শূন্যতাৰ সৃষ্টি কৰিছে ৷ এই শোকাৰ্ত মুহূৰ্তত তেখেতৰ পৰিয়াল, বন্ধু আৰু লক্ষ লক্ষ গুণমুগ্ধলৈ অন্তৰেৰে গভীৰ সমবেদনা জ্ঞাপন কৰিছোঁ৷ ঔম শান্তি।
@airtelindia Hello airtel, why is that even after having a proper unlimited 5G pack, I am not able to browse the internet after my regular 2 GB data is over? I have reached your CC, they just repeat about solving the issue while I'm facing this for a few days
Astronomer CEO caught cheating with his HR chief during a Coldplay concert in Boston.
Both are married with kids.
Andy Byron cheated on his wife, Megan Kerrigan Byron.
Kristin Cabot cheated on her husband, Kenneth C Thornby.
Pieces of shit.
I was in the same damn flight 2 hours before it took off from AMD. I came in this from DEL-AMD. Noticed unusual things in the place.Made a video to tweet to @airindia i would want to give more details. Please contact me. @flyingbeast320@aajtak@ndtv@Boeing_In#planecrash#AI171
Breaking!🚨
The Plane crashed into the BJ Medical College hostel canteen in Ahmedabad while students were having lunch inside, Many MBBS students are reportedly de@d
This is one of the worst plane crashes in the History of Aviation 😑
#planecrash#Boeing
@SirPareshRawal Paresh Rawal stepping away from Hera Pheri 3 makes me both sad and content. Sad to miss Babu Rao again, but content because his past performance was iconic—I'd rather remember him at his best than risk a less impactful return, saying from past experiences like Hungama 2