⚠️ Warning: Extremely long post about the CFP — but it needs to be said.
Since the beginning of the College Football Playoff, there has been only ONE team that was in position to make the playoff, lost a conference championship game, had idle teams behind them, and did not drop in the rankings the following week:
2025 Alabama.
There have been only TWO teams total who were in CFP position, lost a conference championship game, and did not fall at all:
• 2022 TCU
• 2025 Alabama
Let’s talk about why those situations are not the same — and why the Alabama one is a problem.
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2022 TCU
TCU was ranked #3 and lost the Big 12 Championship by 3 points in overtime.
The team directly behind them at #4 USC got blown out by 23 in their conference championship game.
If the committee dropped TCU to #4 and moved idle #5 Ohio State to #3, Michigan would have played Ohio State twice in three games, and OSU would have faced Michigan back-to-back.
That was a clear structural reason not to reshuffle the rankings.
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Now compare that to 2025
This is where it gets uncomfortable.
• Both teams around Alabama were idle — yet Alabama doesn’t drop to #10
• Both teams around BYU were idle — BYU drops to #12
• Both teams around UVA were idle — UVA drops to #19
So let’s be honest:
Is dropping Alabama to #10 really “punishment” when they’re in either way?
Or are we protecting the ACC’s last at-large team by making sure no one sits between Miami and Notre Dame?
Because if Alabama drops to 10, suddenly there’s a problem the committee doesn’t want to solve.
And let’s be clear — that’s the ACC’s fault, not Notre Dame’s.
The ACC Championship tiebreaker was asinine. If Miami had been in the ACCCG and lost, does anyone actually believe they wouldn’t have dropped?
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History is very clear
Conference championship losers have absolutely been passed by idle teams and missed the playoff:
• 2022 USC
• 2017 Penn State
• 2015 Iowa
• 2017 Auburn — beat Georgia three weeks earlier, then lost the SECCG and got jumped
So the argument that “Alabama beat Georgia earlier” is not a shield.
We’ve seen that exact scenario before — and it didn’t matter then.
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Ranking position shouldn’t matter
Whether you’re ranked 1 or 22, the criteria should be applied the same way.
4-team playoff
12-team playoff
16-team playoff
The rules don’t change.
Yes, fringe teams will get squeezed sometimes — that’s the trade-off.
Playing a conference championship game gives you control:
• Win and you’re in
• Lose and you hope the cards fall your way
That’s how the system has always worked.
So stop with the “we can’t punish conference championship losers” narrative.
It’s simply false — and honestly, idiotic.
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It gets worse when you look at the week before
Go back one week before the conference championship games.
Alabama got moved UP after a “great” 27–20 win over 5–7 Auburn — a team that was:
• Winless at home vs SEC teams
• Playing under an interim head coach
Why did Alabama move up?
Because leaving them at #10 would have caused issues if:
• BYU won
• Alabama lost the CCG
Suddenly the committee might have had to bump Alabama out.
So they preemptively solved the problem.
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And the résumé argument doesn’t hold up
“Alabama beat four ranked teams in a row and has the best win of the year.”
No — they didn’t.
• Georgia dog-walked them last week, proving teams change
• Only two of those wins are still ranked
• Vanderbilt, Tennessee, and Missouri have ZERO wins over ranked teams
• Tennessee and Missouri have a combined ZERO wins over FBS teams with winning records
Those rankings were inflated by preseason bias.
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So what’s actually going on?
Why can’t we question this?
There has been no rule change saying conference championship losers can’t drop.
This is not a Notre Dame problem.
This is a CFP problem.
And the longer we pretend otherwise, the worse the credibility gap gets.
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