Billy Bob

Spot & options swing trader

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @noumantrades @NICKK6363 Hello sir

Last bull leg on $SMH took it from its intrayear lows to its intrayear highs in a matter of 2-2.5 months

Steeper than that doesn’t even seem possible but if it your targets hit in Q1 I don’t think a single soul would complain

Ty for your work

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @intheox6030 @dannyboy1853198 @sachanashishk_ @alan68284891 Thank you sir

I guess you still have belief the market can have a wild run to the top in the upcoming months - even as soon as the first quarter ?

I like to think further out but if that’s still possible that would be generational performance

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @intheox6030 @dannyboy1853198 @sachanashishk_ @alan68284891 The truth is always somewhere in the middle

At these lows & at end of consolidations most think a “top” is already in OR years away

I know you say in interviews it’s typically 3-6M away

So by deduction seems like an EOY 2027 top is just right

Next 12-14 months should be fun!

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian Thanks Dave

Just asking about price action going forward

Typical bull markets have their rallies then consolidate &/or pullback after overbought conditions

Even with a longer time horizon & in this melt up-its happened many times since time 2022 lows

How is this different?

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian Hello sir

Previous rallies have eventually tapered off & are met with a wall of worry + a multi month consolidation

I do know you preach watch & learn - as well as let it play out

But do you have any opinion on this phenomenon?

Mkts ready to fly to the top?

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @k_valancius @bcnich @lougistics1 @JamesConnor1999 Thanks

So I guess your current bias is equities top sometime during the first half of the year because of resiliency in the economy

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @k_valancius @bcnich @lougistics1 @JamesConnor1999 Hello sir

I remember in previous interviews you mentioned the 10YR could be around 3-3.25% around the top for equities

Haven’t seen even 3.5% in over 2years

Would this suggest markets markets are poised for a strong 2027 (all yr long potentially) to let rates cools down w time

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @ritfbet Thank you for clarification

Is there any inkling if this phenomenon continues or is it finally time for the market to blast off ?

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @ritfbet Yup

As you say a new wall of worry every little sell off

I guess the million dollar question if the next bull leg breaks out into a parabolic or is met with ANOTHER wall of worry

Above my pay grade so that’s why I ask for your valuable opinion in times like these

Ty sir

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @ritfbet Fair

Just seems to be a lot of pushback on your feed

Perhaps all this skepticism in the eyes of a contrarian strengthens belief the parabolic can still happen going into EOY

Or are fears completely warranted by retail+institutions alike?

Market seems very nervous right now

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @ritfbet Iran & its subsequent effect on oil, rates, inflation, etc persists

Is it your expectation that the cycle now continues into early 2027 at least sir - because of the mentioned factors ?

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @intheox6030 @BucktheBoxerbd @BozoHero @MMusclesd @KimJonTrump3 @NormalisingNud1 @lmm191 Hello sir

Even if right that means another 2+M of war best case scenario

Isn’t it becoming obvious the consolidation continues for another month or two followed by a pullback?

The START of the parabolic by EOY feels iffy at best

Hitting 10k $SPX by EOY feels like a dream

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian Thank you

Would you consider current sentiment poor enough for markets to not just simply rally - but potentially hit your targets before EOY still?

Equities seem crabby so I do appreciate your input

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian

Hello sir

Would you not agree extreme overselling combined with poor sentiment usually results in the start of a new bull legs?

Considering equities have been flat to red for about 3 months or so…isn’t the market due for a fast but strong pullback b4 higher?

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian Thank you for the response

I’ve watched majority of your interviews the past few years & you described the phenomenon of the market “nearly going vertical” into a top

If that’s the case Q4 of this year should be fireworks for equities & metals

Also can’t reiterate my gratitude

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian hello sir

In recent interviews you’ve said we entered a parabolic in equities because of monthly candles

Looking at 2025 post April lows - it was more consistent green monthly candles

For multiple indices red candles in June/July of this yr

Still a parabolic?

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @merc370582 @royroyga @HftForPeople @familyoffice Hello sir

To that point - dollar & rates are just beginning downward moves

Also looking at equities - the S&P isn’t even up 1% from June 1st

Price action has been choppy

If these returns constitute as parabolic then it’ll be sure one drawn out phenomenon

Def going into 2027

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @competentinv Thank you sir

Geopolitics & macros aren’t giving an inkling that a parabolic to vertical for equities is moreso an (early) 2027 story?

Kind of spoked with the over extension of the 30 yr right now

[Billy Bob @BillyBobInvests]

@DaveHcontrarian @Rajm101010 @HftForPeople @_OutlierTrading Not trying to

I just know 1.5M ago you said equities entered the parabolic & said in many interviews that you think a top is likely by Labor Day or end of summer

Now saying by EOY

Just going by your word

I pushback bc doesn’t seem like the mkts have reason to rise+top so soon