Bitcoin Fair Value

Bitcoin fair value, cycle context, and disciplined signal.
Power-law based valuation updates.
Data over narratives.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

BitcoinFairValue gives Bitcoin investors a calmer way to read the market.

We track:
• modeled fair value
• BFV Score
• cycle context

Not hype.
Not doom.
Just a clearer view of whether Bitcoin is cheap, fair, or stretched.

Follow for daily valuation signal.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than ~100% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 0/100, hitting the absolute floor of the model.
Price flashed below 2K to wipe out .8B in leveraged bets.
This is the most extreme undervaluation reading of the entire cycle.
Trust the math.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 91% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 9/100, flashing deep undervaluation.
Price is holding near 3.8K amid a quiet weekend.
CME launches 24/7 crypto futures trading to meet institutional demand.
Trust the math.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 92% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 8/100, flashing deep undervaluation.
Price is consolidating near 3K as the weekend begins.
The underwater supply is washing out the weak hands.
Trust the math.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 93% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 7/100, signaling deep undervaluation.
Price dropped to 3K amid macro fears and geopolitical tension.
The 3K level is a critical structural floor.
Trust the math.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 85% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 15/100, signaling deep undervaluation.
Price is sliding to 5K as traders watch for a golden cross.
The power-law model confirms this is a generational buying zone.
Trust the math.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 81% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 19/100, signaling deep undervaluation.
Price is holding the 7K line as institutional accumulation offsets ETF outflows.
The leverage flush is complete.
Trust the math.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin Market Intelligence — Monday May 25
The BFV Score is 19/100, remaining in deep undervaluation.
Price: $77,467 | Fair Value: $129,624
Despite $2.26B in ETF outflows over two weeks, the $74K structural floor is holding firm.
Trust the math.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Test

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 82% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 18/100, signaling deep undervaluation.
Price is bouncing hard off the $74,200 structural floor.
Institutions are absorbing the weekend leverage flush.
Turn on notifications.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 88% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 12/100, signaling extreme undervaluation.
Price flushed below $75K to clear out $100M in weak longs.
The power-law model confirms this is a generational buying zone.
Trust the math.
Turn on notifications.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 82% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 18/100, signaling deep undervaluation.
Bitcoin implied volatility just dropped to a 7-month low.
The .25 billion options expiry is trapping bears below 0K.
The spring is coiling tighter.
Turn on notifications.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 80% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 20/100, holding deep in the Accumulation Zone.
Price has reclaimed $77K after flushing out over-leveraged longs.
The structural floor is holding exactly where the model predicted.
Turn on notifications.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin Market Intelligence — Monday May 18
The BFV Score is 17/100, entering deep undervaluation.
Price: $76,724 | Fair Value: $128,820
Over $1.2B in leveraged longs wiped out since Friday.
The market is resetting leverage while institutions accumulate.
Trust the math.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 79% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 21/100, remaining deep in the Accumulation Zone.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh just called Bitcoin the new gold.
The institutional framework is locked in while retail panics.
The math always wins.
Turn on notifications.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 79% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 21/100, holding deep in the Accumulation Zone.
The Senate just passed the CLARITY Act, clearing the regulatory overhang.
Institutions accumulate while retail panics.
The math always wins.
Turn on notifications.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 77% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 23/100, remaining in the Accumulation Zone.
Spot ETFs have recorded 7 straight weeks of net inflows.
The institutional bid is absorbing the fear.
Trust the power-law math.
Turn on notifications.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

Bitcoin is cheaper than 75% of all historical days.
The BFV Score is 25/100, entering the Accumulation Zone.
Bitcoin ETFs just pulled in Billion in a single week.
The institutional era is arriving faster than expected.
The math is clear.
Turn on notifications.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

GREEN CANDLE. SAME DISCOUNT.

BTC is still 37.2% below fair value.
BFV Score: 25/100.

CT sees green. BFV still sees cheap.

Follow @BitcoinFV for the daily Bitcoin valuation signal.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

BTC STILL CHEAP.

BFV Score: 25/100.
BTC is still 37.3% below fair value.

Price moved. The regime didn't.
This still looks like accumulation, not euphoria.

Follow @BitcoinFV for the daily Bitcoin regime signal before the crowd catches up.

[Bitcoin Fair Value @BitcoinFV]

@glassnode @CryptoVizArt Useful update. The extra filter is valuation regime. The same on-chain price-model setup means something very different when spot is still about 40% below modeled fair value than it would in an already stretched late-cycle market.