This same historical data was discussed back in 2022, walking through the same data point… while I was buying $20k.
OG daily video days.
https://t.co/PKoc1iXWiH
#BTC
➡️You had this level marked at the top of the range - but only if you were on yesterday’s LIVE 🎙️
Now we’re reacting at mid-range / fair value off an hourly POI.
For continuation into range discount, this level needs to clear.
We also discussed the equal highs on stream. What’s formed now is a triple set at the top.
Those tend to get swept. At minimum.
Structure is doing what was outlined.
#BTC
📍This is what real time execution looks like.
Shared in drawdown - before the move. In many cases, that gives you a better entry than mine.
There’s a difference between posting trades live… and posting results after the fact.
Hey man I’ve noticed the last few trades seem a bit out of rhythm compared to your usual work.
For me, stepping away from the charts for a day or two resets everything. Clarity comes back fast when I'm not forcing it.
You’ve had solid runs before, wont be surprised to see you lock back in soon 👊
@DCENTINC Ideally this takes the local low 62.4k and completes the setup, but the current level of 65-66k I knew could be an inflection point like I originally outlined.
#BTC Short
✅ TP3 taken.
Did I catch the move up earlier in the week? No.
Did I let it change my bias? No.
Did I FOMO into longs against structure? No.
I waited for market structure to bring the next setup to me. When it appeared, I executed - mechanically, not emotionally.
Three profit levels secured.
#BTC Short
Hourly structure remains intact. No break, but this is some aggressive action.
We’re pressing into the last LTF lines of defense. If this range high gives way, that’s my signal 72k is likely next. A break there and we’re talking higher timeframe reversal off these lows - temporary or not.
Until then, I’ll play continuation.
Target 65–66k initially, with potential to retest range lows if structure follows through.
3.5R - defined risk.
I’d argue this “pump” was different.
Most aggressive bullish expansion we’ve seen in about a month and sentiment, particularly here on X, shifted hard, all off internal rotation.
Now, if we get the continuation I outlined in the original post, that’s when it becomes a different conversation.
Until then, it’s just structure resolving.
#BTC Short
Hourly structure remains intact. No break, but this is some aggressive action.
We’re pressing into the last LTF lines of defense. If this range high gives way, that’s my signal 72k is likely next. A break there and we’re talking higher timeframe reversal off these lows - temporary or not.
Until then, I’ll play continuation.
Target 65–66k initially, with potential to retest range lows if structure follows through.
3.5R - defined risk.
@Nebraskangooner Yeah, #Bitcoin definitely choppy if you’re looking for a trend. But the range has been giving some solid tradeable structure.
https://t.co/1TNzgEovdW
#BTC Short
Hourly structure remains intact. No break, but this is some aggressive action.
We’re pressing into the last LTF lines of defense. If this range high gives way, that’s my signal 72k is likely next. A break there and we’re talking higher timeframe reversal off these lows - temporary or not.
Until then, I’ll play continuation.
Target 65–66k initially, with potential to retest range lows if structure follows through.
3.5R - defined risk.
#BTC Short
Hourly structure remains intact. No break, but this is some aggressive action.
We’re pressing into the last LTF lines of defense. If this range high gives way, that’s my signal 72k is likely next. A break there and we’re talking higher timeframe reversal off these lows - temporary or not.
Until then, I’ll play continuation.
Target 65–66k initially, with potential to retest range lows if structure follows through.
3.5R - defined risk.
#BTC Short
Well that moved pretty clean to start.
✅I've taken TP1 and secured the trade. Now we let structure decide the rest.
Bullish momentum is still heavily lurking. No need to turn realized profit into fuel for a squeeze.
Manage your win, we'll let the market prove continuation.
#BTC Short
Hourly structure remains intact. No break, but this is some aggressive action.
We’re pressing into the last LTF lines of defense. If this range high gives way, that’s my signal 72k is likely next. A break there and we’re talking higher timeframe reversal off these lows - temporary or not.
Until then, I’ll play continuation.
Target 65–66k initially, with potential to retest range lows if structure follows through.
3.5R - defined risk.
#BTC Short
Hourly structure remains intact. No break, but this is some aggressive action.
We’re pressing into the last LTF lines of defense. If this range high gives way, that’s my signal 72k is likely next. A break there and we’re talking higher timeframe reversal off these lows - temporary or not.
Until then, I’ll play continuation.
Target 65–66k initially, with potential to retest range lows if structure follows through.
3.5R - defined risk.
🚨 LIVE STREAM
Going live on YouTube in 30 minutes.
Full #Bitcoin breakdown, current structure, and potential trade setups. If the market gives us something clean, we’ll execute it live.
See you there.
https://t.co/knabngw4Oj
#BTC
Perfect timing to go LIVE tomorrow around 8am.
https://t.co/2xwRqVKHO2
There it is, a full liquidity flush.
Structure resets here. This is why we operate in probabilities, not guarantees.
I’ll let this settle and wait for new formations to develop.
This range has been great the past couple weeks, some great trades inside it! Now we see what rebuilds.
Maybe we sweep and reclaim on higher timeframes. Maybe we reprice lower.
➡️Either way, we’ll break it down live in the morning!
#BTC
📈PA is unfolding in ideal form within typical market structure. If this continues to plan, there’s likely limited downside left.
That said, a structure shift and PA going to plan doesn’t guarantee continuation. Probabilities favor the bullish case here, which is why I’ve been posting longs, but nothing in this market is guaranteed.
Invalidation is clear:
Barring a sweep (wick) - a close below 65.6k is a red flag warning.
A close below 65.08k range low resets the thesis entirely and proves me wrong.
If that happens, we reassess and let new structure dictate.
Until then, I stay within the probabilities.
#BTC
📈PA is unfolding in ideal form within typical market structure. If this continues to plan, there’s likely limited downside left.
That said, a structure shift and PA going to plan doesn’t guarantee continuation. Probabilities favor the bullish case here, which is why I’ve been posting longs, but nothing in this market is guaranteed.
Invalidation is clear:
Barring a sweep (wick) - a close below 65.6k is a red flag warning.
A close below 65.08k range low resets the thesis entirely and proves me wrong.
If that happens, we reassess and let new structure dictate.
Until then, I stay within the probabilities.
#BTC
🚩 1H structure shift confirmed with a Change of Character.
That strengthens the long thesis, but the CHoCH alone isn’t a trigger, and doesn’t guarantee follow through.
Ideally, I’d look for a retrace into discount of the newly formed micro range. That’s the higher-probability reload.
Could price run without it? Absolutely. That’s why Longs were shared yesterday and are already working in profit.
If you wait for every box to be checked, most of the rotation your looking for can be gone - or you end up in analysis paralysis.
Markets are fluid. You execute the edge available.
#BTC
🚩 1H structure shift confirmed with a Change of Character.
That strengthens the long thesis, but the CHoCH alone isn’t a trigger, and doesn’t guarantee follow through.
Ideally, I’d look for a retrace into discount of the newly formed micro range. That’s the higher-probability reload.
Could price run without it? Absolutely. That’s why Longs were shared yesterday and are already working in profit.
If you wait for every box to be checked, most of the rotation your looking for can be gone - or you end up in analysis paralysis.
Markets are fluid. You execute the edge available.
#BTC
Why are longs justified here?
#Bitcoin is trading in discount within the broader corrective range. That’s where bids belong.
We don’t have a 1H structure shift yet(outlined protected high is intact) We're technically still down trending. What we do have is a clear liquidity sweep and impulsive move being retested. That’s not a structure shift - but it carries some weight.
Could we push down into the outlined 5m demand or break range low? Absolutely. But that’s anticipation.
Until the range fails, I trade it as a range.
Primary risk: One more sweep slightly deeper into discount.
Clean closes below 65k and sub-63k opens quickly.