Back IHart With Chet OUT #ThunderUp
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 22.5 Points+Rebounds
(-115) 1.15u FanDuel
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Hartenstein has cleared this line in his last 2 getting 11 & 13 FGA and 24 & 19 rebound chances. Chet Holmgren is OUT tonight which should open up more rebounding potential and FGs.
➣ The Kings have given up 19 rebound chances to a center in 3/3 games this season. Outside of Ayton none of them really scored, but that includes Mark Williams and Walker Kessler. In this exact matchup last season without Chet, IHart had 16 & 15 (12 FGA, 25 RC) and 19 & 10 (15 FGA, 10 RC).
➣ IHart gets an elite matchup vs Sabonis who does a lot close to the basket leading to rebound chances. Without Chet we should see 20+ rebound chances and 10+ FGA giving IHart a great chance to crush this line.
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Back The Rook In South Beach #BuzzCity
Kon Knueppel Over 2.5 Threes
(-111) 1.11u FanDuel
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Knueppel just had 9 3PA without Brandon Miller and has been raining threes. He is shooting 57.9% from 3 in his young rookie campaign and taking 65% of his shots from 3.
➣ Miami has been giving up C&S 3s at a high rate this season allowing 31.3 C&S 3PA. They are also allowing the 2nd most 3PM to SFs this season and just allowed 13 C&S 3PA to Knicks wings.
➣ Although I do expect Kon's effieceny to take a dip after starting off super hot, his volume should increase. Personally think this line should have been 3.5 for +120 with the Miller injury so let's cash this one at a great price.
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10/28 NBA No Sweat Lotto💰
Kon Knueppel 15+ Points #BuzzCity
Josh Hart 10+ Rebounds #NewYorkForever
Isiah Hartenstein 12+ Rebounds #ThunderUp
(+1348) | $10➡️$144.85
So Due For A Big One!!! I Can Feel It TONIGHT🔥#GamblingX
Back The Rook In South Beach #BuzzCity
Kon Knueppel Over 2.5 Threes
(-111) 1.11u FanDuel
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Knueppel just had 9 3PA without Brandon Miller and has been raining threes. He is shooting 57.9% from 3 in his young rookie campaign and taking 65% of his shots from 3.
➣ Miami has been giving up C&S 3s at a high rate this season allowing 31.3 C&S 3PA. They are also allowing the 2nd most 3PM to SFs this season and just allowed 13 C&S 3PA to Knicks wings.
➣ Although I do expect Kon's effieceny to take a dip after starting off super hot, his volume should increase. Personally think this line should have been 3.5 for +120 with the Miller injury so let's cash this one at a great price.
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Back IHart With Chet OUT #ThunderUp
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 22.5 Points+Rebounds
(-115) 1.15u FanDuel
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Hartenstein has cleared this line in his last 2 getting 11 & 13 FGA and 24 & 19 rebound chances. Chet Holmgren is OUT tonight which should open up more rebounding potential and FGs.
➣ The Kings have given up 19 rebound chances to a center in 3/3 games this season. Outside of Ayton none of them really scored, but that includes Mark Williams and Walker Kessler. In this exact matchup last season without Chet, IHart had 16 & 15 (12 FGA, 25 RC) and 19 & 10 (15 FGA, 10 RC).
➣ IHart gets an elite matchup vs Sabonis who does a lot close to the basket leading to rebound chances. Without Chet we should see 20+ rebound chances and 10+ FGA giving IHart a great chance to crush this line.
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He Thrives In This Matchup #NewYorkForever
Josh Hart Rebounds
8+ (-146) 0.73u FanDuel
Over 8.5 (+118) 0.42u FanDuel
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Josh Hart has seen 17 rebound chances so far in 2/2 game including vs BOS where he only played 19 min. Last season he averaged 16.5 rebound chances and had a 58.5% rebound rate off those chances.
➣ Now he faces Giannis and the Bucks who he covered 9+ in 3/3 vs last season (9, 11, 14). In those 3 games he averaged 17.3 rebound chances and converted on 65.4% of chances averaging 11.3 rebounds.
➣ Splitting units because of the juice at 8+ but no reason 9 shouldn't be doable. We should see 15+ rebound chances at minimum and Hart to convert on ~60% of chances for 8+.
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Back The Rook In South Beach #BuzzCity
Kon Knueppel Over 2.5 Threes
(-111) 1.11u FanDuel
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Knueppel just had 9 3PA without Brandon Miller and has been raining threes. He is shooting 57.9% from 3 in his young rookie campaign and taking 65% of his shots from 3.
➣ Miami has been giving up C&S 3s at a high rate this season allowing 31.3 C&S 3PA. They are also allowing the 2nd most 3PM to SFs this season and just allowed 13 C&S 3PA to Knicks wings.
➣ Although I do expect Kon's effieceny to take a dip after starting off super hot, his volume should increase. Personally think this line should have been 3.5 for +120 with the Miller injury so let's cash this one at a great price.
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10/28 NBA No Sweat Lotto💰
Kon Knueppel 15+ Points #BuzzCity
Josh Hart 10+ Rebounds #NewYorkForever
Isiah Hartenstein 12+ Rebounds #ThunderUp
(+1348) | $10➡️$144.85
So Due For A Big One!!! I Can Feel It TONIGHT🔥#GamblingX
Back The Rook In South Beach #BuzzCity
Kon Knueppel Over 2.5 Threes
(-111) 1.11u FanDuel
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Knueppel just had 9 3PA without Brandon Miller and has been raining threes. He is shooting 57.9% from 3 in his young rookie campaign and taking 65% of his shots from 3.
➣ Miami has been giving up C&S 3s at a high rate this season allowing 31.3 C&S 3PA. They are also allowing the 2nd most 3PM to SFs this season and just allowed 13 C&S 3PA to Knicks wings.
➣ Although I do expect Kon's effieceny to take a dip after starting off super hot, his volume should increase. Personally think this line should have been 3.5 for +120 with the Miller injury so let's cash this one at a great price.
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Back IHart With Chet OUT #ThunderUp
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 22.5 Points+Rebounds
(-115) 1.15u FanDuel
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Hartenstein has cleared this line in his last 2 getting 11 & 13 FGA and 24 & 19 rebound chances. Chet Holmgren is OUT tonight which should open up more rebounding potential and FGs.
➣ The Kings have given up 19 rebound chances to a center in 3/3 games this season. Outside of Ayton none of them really scored, but that includes Mark Williams and Walker Kessler. In this exact matchup last season without Chet, IHart had 16 & 15 (12 FGA, 25 RC) and 19 & 10 (15 FGA, 10 RC).
➣ IHart gets an elite matchup vs Sabonis who does a lot close to the basket leading to rebound chances. Without Chet we should see 20+ rebound chances and 10+ FGA giving IHart a great chance to crush this line.
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He Thrives In This Matchup #NewYorkForever
Josh Hart Rebounds
8+ (-146) 0.73u FanDuel
Over 8.5 (+118) 0.42u FanDuel
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Josh Hart has seen 17 rebound chances so far in 2/2 game including vs BOS where he only played 19 min. Last season he averaged 16.5 rebound chances and had a 58.5% rebound rate off those chances.
➣ Now he faces Giannis and the Bucks who he covered 9+ in 3/3 vs last season (9, 11, 14). In those 3 games he averaged 17.3 rebound chances and converted on 65.4% of chances averaging 11.3 rebounds.
➣ Splitting units because of the juice at 8+ but no reason 9 shouldn't be doable. We should see 15+ rebound chances at minimum and Hart to convert on ~60% of chances for 8+.
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New PG In Town #RipCity
Jrue Holiday Over 19.5 Pts+Ast
(-126) 1.26u DraftKings
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Jrue in his new role is averaging 13.7 FGA through his first three games in Portland. He has also had 12+ pAst in all three games (13, 14, 12).
➣ Portland travels to LA to face the Lakers who are allowing 9.12 assists to PGs which ranks 7th in the short season. LAL are also giving up the 4th most Pull-Up FGA where Jrue takes 47% of his shots this year, as well as the 11th most C&S 3PA where Jrue gets another 17% of his shots.
➣ Jrue has had great volume with his new team and I don't expect that to dip. He finds himself in a good matchup vs LAL where he can both playmake and score. I expect the ball to be in his hand finding open shooters and getting his own.
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He's Playing the 5 Tonight #MFFL
Anthony Davis 12+ Rebounds
(+110) 0.9u FanDuel
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ AD has cleared this line in 2/3 this season getting 10, 13, 13 rebounds. AD has seen 16, 22, 21 rebound chances this season with Lively and now gets even more opportunity with Lively OUT.
➣ OKC has allowed 3/3 centers to go over this number so far. Okongwu (12), Siakam (15), Adams (13) covered this number and OKC even gave up 10+ to Newell (10) and Sengun (11).
➣ Davis has always been a monster on the glass and I expect nothing different here against OKC who he had 12 the last time he played them with LAL. In 75 minutes with Lively off the court Davis is averaging 12.8 Reb/36 which gives me confidence here in this one.
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10/27 NBA No Sweat Lotto🔮
Michael Porter Jr 20+ Points
Anthony Davis Over 12.5 Rebounds
Jrue Holiday 3+ 3PM
(+2009) | $10➡️$210.97🤞
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He's Playing the 5 Tonight #MFFL
Anthony Davis 12+ Rebounds
(+110) 0.9u FanDuel
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ AD has cleared this line in 2/3 this season getting 10, 13, 13 rebounds. AD has seen 16, 22, 21 rebound chances this season with Lively and now gets even more opportunity with Lively OUT.
➣ OKC has allowed 3/3 centers to go over this number so far. Okongwu (12), Siakam (15), Adams (13) covered this number and OKC even gave up 10+ to Newell (10) and Sengun (11).
➣ Davis has always been a monster on the glass and I expect nothing different here against OKC who he had 12 the last time he played them with LAL. In 75 minutes with Lively off the court Davis is averaging 12.8 Reb/36 which gives me confidence here in this one.
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New PG In Town #RipCity
Jrue Holiday Over 19.5 Pts+Ast
(-126) 1.26u DraftKings
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Jrue in his new role is averaging 13.7 FGA through his first three games in Portland. He has also had 12+ pAst in all three games (13, 14, 12).
➣ Portland travels to LA to face the Lakers who are allowing 9.12 assists to PGs which ranks 7th in the short season. LAL are also giving up the 4th most Pull-Up FGA where Jrue takes 47% of his shots this year, as well as the 11th most C&S 3PA where Jrue gets another 17% of his shots.
➣ Jrue has had great volume with his new team and I don't expect that to dip. He finds himself in a good matchup vs LAL where he can both playmake and score. I expect the ball to be in his hand finding open shooters and getting his own.
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NFL Week 8 Touchdown Parlay🏈
D’Andre Swift
Tucker Kraft
Troy Franklin
+2455 (0.2u) DraftKings #GamblingX
Let’s cash a huge long shot this week and pick up some extra units🔥
Explosive RB vs an Exploded Defense #DaBears
D'Andre Swift Over 51.5 Rushing Yards |
(-115) 1.15u BetMGM
RB Model Projection: 74.43 Yards (+22.93)
Analysis & Break Down📊#GamblingX
➣ Swift has began to pop off as Chicago has finally established the run going for 100+ in each of the last 2. On the year Swift has covered this line in 4/6 in difficult matchups. The Bears have faced good run defenses outside of Dallas where Swift shit the bed. He has covered this line in 3/4 vs defenses in the bottom half of YPC allowed to RBs.
➣ Now he gets Baltimore who has struggled vs the run. 5/7 RBs with 10+ attempts had 50+ yards vs Baltimore this season. They are allowing the 7th most YPC and the 6th most Yards/G to RBs. D'Andre Swift has the 3rd highest explosive run rate this season meaning he could break one at any moment. We saw Montgomery have 8 of his 12 Att vs Baltimore go for 8+ yards including a 72 and 31 yard gain. For reference he ranks 14th in explosive run rate and is the highest on that list the Ravens have faced and now Swift gets the same defense and he ranks 3rd in the NFL.
➣ Looking at an explosive back who can break one vs a run defense who has allowed bigs plays but hasn't played explosive backs. Swift can get one for 15+ here and should be picking up decent gains every time he touches the ball, 52 yards shouldn't be a problem.
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