Brian O'Connell

PGA player props. FSU & CSU alum | go gunners | Follow for free golf betting slips | DM for access to my free golf betting discord

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

This is such a misleading statistic. This stat makes it seem likes he’s been bad at US Opens, but he’s actually been excellent

Here’s Scottie’s strokes gained the last 10 rounds:

Shinnecock
+1.31

Oakmont
+3.21
+2.67
+3.78
+1.64

Pinehurst
-0.22
+2.19
-1.10
+2.26

LACC
+1.60

[Underdog Golf @UnderdogGolf]

Scottie Scheffler has not broken par in his last 10 U.S. Open rounds:

Shinnecock
+2

Oakmont
E
E
+1
+3

Pinehurst
+2
+1
+4
+1

LACC
E

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

@UnderdogGolf @AdamSchupak

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

https://t.co/Ro3iYejNwA

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

Cashed 4/6 slips this last weekend for the Charles Schwab Challenge in my DubClub this last weekend. That’s +10u now in the last three tournaments.

Want to join in on the profit? Join below ⬇️

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

🚨🚨Free DubClub Promo🚨🚨

I found 2 data trends that correctly predict whether a golfer goes over their next-round stroke betting line 72.4% and 68.8% of the time so far this PGA season.

My golf analysis centers around regression. In each round, golfers either overperform or underperform their average strokes gained data. This can be used to predict the next round's performance.

Join my DubClub this week using the link below, and if my high confidence picks are not correct at least 72.4% and 68.8% this weekend, I will give you a free month of my DubClub.

https://t.co/HIN5hUY0dp

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

In my DubClub, I listed 9 “cheaper” golfers I liked this weekend for the Masters . With so many high priced golfers in DFS for the Masters, finding value was extremely important.

9/9 made the cut 🎯

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

My model got its 4th of the season.

Just did the math and if you bet $10 on every golfer my model selected from every tournament so far this year, you’d be up $132.

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

I create a weekly list of golfers I like for PGA events based on historical Shots Gained data, and it got its 3rd winner of the season last week!

Surprised that the two worst golfers in the list were Fleetwood and Matsuyama.

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

Actual results from R4:

70.7 strokes

3.41 Birdie or better

2.95 bogeys or worse

Nailed it 🎯

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

R4 Valspar Championship weather and hole locations:

Light wind and average difficulty hole locations will likely make the average score be just below par.

Average score prediction:
70.9 strokes

Average birdie or better prediction:
3.30

Average bogey or worse prediction:
3.15

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

R4 Valspar Championship weather and hole locations:

Light wind and average difficulty hole locations will likely make the average score be just below par.

Average score prediction:
70.9 strokes

Average birdie or better prediction:
3.30

Average bogey or worse prediction:
3.15

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

@betting_golfer You were on fire today!

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

I create a weekly list of golfers I like for PGA events based on historical Shots Gained data, and it got its 3rd winner of the season last week!

Surprised that the two worst golfers in the list were Fleetwood and Matsuyama.

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

@Quay_J @betting_golfer He posts in my golf discord, here’s a link:

https://t.co/Y4uVfJkl5g

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

@NoLayingUp Jake Knapp

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

@betting_golfer 👀

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

@PGATOURComms These pins look like a great chance to play some of these golfers over their bogey lines. This is what I’m playing

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

@PGATOURComms Come on guys, let’s see a hole in 1 on 10 tomorrow

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

I’m excited to see how Scottie Scheffler somehow has the lead in round 4 after just barely making the cut

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

@CrewsLocks Haha yeah Scottie would be my #1, I just didn’t want to be boring and pick him

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

My favorite 3 golfers for the Genesis Invitational(outside of Scottie):

1. Jake Knapp
2. Hideki Matsuyama
3. Chris Gotterup

[Brian O'Connell @BpoFSU]

I would have never guessed that Brian Harman has more 64 or better rounds than Rory McIlroy since 2010

[PGA TOUR Communications @PGATOURComms]

2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am champion Rory McIlroy records an 8-under 64 in the final round, his 12th career final round of 64 or better on the PGA TOUR.

Most final rounds of 64 or better on TOUR (since 2010):
14 - Webb Simpson
13 - Brian Harman
12 - Rory McIlroy