JAS: @jaltucher x @BrandonTWebb on What Happens to IRAN next!?
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02:33 Brandon’s two most likely outcomes
02:35 Leadership disruption inside Iran
03:28 The Strait of Hormuz as Iran’s “ace” card
04:00 Why the nuclear issue matters
04:51 Economic pressure and oil sales
05:32 Moderate regime figure or popular uprising?
06:00 Why Brandon sees Iran as a long-standing threat
06:23 Iran’s proxies in Yemen, Lebanon, and Gaza
07:41 What a leadership vacuum might look like
08:19 CIA, Mossad, and opposition support
10:45 Venezuela as a case study
11:48 Regime change vs. nation-building
12:20 Strait of Hormuz, oil prices, and infrastructure risk
12:41 Why Brandon thinks oil disruption may be manageable
13:30 Alternative oil flows and pressure on China
14:36 Why Brandon thinks this is not a boots-on-the-ground war
15:26 What Afghanistan should have taught the U.S.
16:00 Dubai, UAE, and regional risk
16:36 Why Iran may have targeted the UAE
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cc: @sofrepofficial
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