@taobanker I don't find the current price to be appealing enough to want to buy. Below $200 could change that, but I've learned to stay in SPX unless I get a fat pitch.
@taobanker Idk if you can blame MB here. Technically he's right on the stock (triple beat), he's just wrong about predicting how the market would react.
@taobanker To lose or not to lose at $176/share, that is the question…
I still hate how I’ve avoided this all year, but the market is getting so stupid it’s forcing me in 😂
@steady_profits Around $175 it becomes hard to envision losing money long-term. At that price you are expecting 10% annual contraction, almost no terminal value with a 10% WACC. It may be a cigar butt investment tho, I don't see this getting back to $700/share in 10 years.
@taobanker I feel like the short AI Capex trade has gotten so overblown and obvious that it almost has to be wrong. Like ok guys we’ve been obsessing over Capex for nearly a year, while Azure continues its 40+% annual growth. But I’ve been long since $405 and didn’t take profits lol 😂
@GavMcCracken This isn’t a good bull thesis for gold. The amount mined is small relative to world supply.
The bull thesis on gold is:
1. Monetary debasement
2. War means more multipolar world (CBs buy gold)
3. Warsh isn’t going to hike rates, increasing negative real rates as inflation rises