WNBA PLAY ☢️
Jewell Loyd O 9.5 PR (-120)
G | Las Vegas
• Like this spot for Jewell Loyd, who cleared this line in all 3 games of the first-round series against Indiana while averaging 13.3 PR and playing 28+ minutes in every game.
• What’s especially important here is that Stephanie Talbot was ruled out for Game 3 of that series, moving Loyd into the starting lineup and increasing her workload to 35 minutes, her highest playing time of the postseason yet.
• Talbot was seen on the sidelines wearing a boot during Game 3, so I doubt she’s ready to go for Game 1 on Sunday.
• The Aces now face the Valkyries in the second round. These teams met 3 times during the regular season, with Loyd playing in two of those matchups and surpassing this mark in both, recording 10 PR in 28 minutes and 17 PR in just 23 minutes.
• With 28+ minutes, Loyd has now gone over this number in 9 straight games, averaging 12.2 PR.
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WNBA PLAY ☢️
Gabby Williams O 18.5 Points (-113)
• Not going to lie, this is definitely a high line, but Gabby Williams has been in elite form to start this postseason, clearing this number in all 3 playoff games while averaging an impressive 25 PPG on a 30% usage rate.
• She has also attempted 16+ field goals in all 3 postseason games, showing that the volume has been there when it matters most.
• The Valkyries now face the Aces in the second round after playing them 3 times during the regular season. Williams went over this line in 2/3 meetings, scoring 27 and 20 points. The lone miss came with just 10 points, but she played only 21 minutes in what was a 19-point blowout loss. Williams averaged a 30% usage rate across those 3 matchups.
• This should be an excellent second-round matchup, with Game 1 currently carrying just a 1.5-point spread, suggesting a highly competitive game. Playoff Gabby should be at full force in this series.
• With 25+ minutes and a 27.7%+ usage rate, Williams has cleared this mark in 9/12 games this season, averaging 22 PPG.
• When attempting 16+ shots, she has surpassed this number in 10/13 games, averaging 22 PPG.
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WNBA PLAY ☢️
Aliyah Boston O 15.5 Points (-114)
C | Indiana
• Smash spot here for Aliyah Boston, who has cleared this line in both Games 1 and 2 of this first-round series matchup, scoring 18 and 22 points on 12 and 15 field-goal attempts.
• For reference, Boston is over this number in 19/22 games this season when attempting 12+ shots, averaging 19.7 PPG.
• She has scored 18+ points in all five meetings against Las Vegas this season, averaging an impressive 19.6 PPG.
• It’s an elimination game, so the minutes and offensive volume should be there for Boston.
• With her perfect H2H record against Vegas this year, elite production when seeing 12+ shot attempts, and the elevated stakes of an elimination game, this sets up as a great scoring spot for Boston.
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WNBA PLAY ☢️
Lauren Betts O 3.5 Rebounds (-118)
C | Washington
• Really like this rebound spot for Lauren Betts, who played 23 minutes and grabbed 4 rebounds in Game 1.
• She was phenomenal on the defensive end, recording 3 blocks and helped make things difficult for Angel Reese. Given how valuable her size is in this series, I’m confident she’ll continue seeing meaningful minutes.
• With 17+ minutes, Betts has cleared this line in 81% of games this season while averaging 5.6 RPG.
• At home against Atlanta this season, she has recorded 4 and 11 rebounds.
• With her defensive impact, size, strong production when given playing time, and proven ability to rebound against Atlanta, this sets up as a really good spot on the glass.
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WNBA PLAY ☢️
Leonie Fiebich O 5.5 RA (-128)
F | New York
• Smash spot here for Leonie Fiebich, who played 34 minutes and recorded 11 RA on 4 potential assists in Game 1.
• She has now cleared this line in all 3 matchups against Minnesota this season, averaging 8.3 RA on 5.3 potential assists.
• Fiebich generates 38% of her assists from above the break, where the Lynx allow the MOST assists.
• She should continue seeing heavy minutes given the importance of her outside shooting and defensive impact.
• Fiebich has now surpassed this mark in 9 straight games when playing 17+ minutes, averaging 8 RA on 5 potential assists.
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WNBA Recap (9/27) 💰
Sonia Citron 15+ Points ✅
Gabby Williams O 15.5 Points ✅
Caitlin Clark U 9.5 Assists ❌
VIP Adds:
Napheesa Collier O 2.5 Assists ✅
Sabrina Ionescu O 4.5 Assists ✅
Great Start To The Playoffs 🔥
💙 Like if you Tailed Any!
WNBA PLAY ☢️
Dominique Malonga O 14.5 Points (-130)
C | Seattle
• Like this spot for Dominique Malonga, who has cleared this line in 11/15 home games this season (73%), averaging 18.3 PPG.
• She faces the Wings, who allow the 2nd MOST points in the paint, an area where Malonga generates 30% of her scoring.
• Most importantly, Dallas also allows the MOST post-up points, MOST PnR roll-man points, and 3rd MOST putback points (play types that account for 45% of Malonga’s offense).
• In favorable PnR roll-man matchups (10th–15th), Malonga has surpassed this number in 12/14 games, averaging 19.9 PPG.
• Against Dallas this season, Malonga has scored 37 and 12 points. In the game where she scored 12, she played just 20 minutes due in part to foul trouble and a 22-point blowout loss. I think this matchup stays closer.
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WNBA PLAY ☢️
Angel Reese 15+ Points (-147)
• Good scoring spot for Angel Reese, who has cleared this line in 9 of her last 10 games while averaging 20 PPG.
• She faces the Liberty once again, who have allowed the 5th MOST points in the restricted area over their last 10 games (a key zone that accounts for 84% of Reese’s scoring).
• In favorable restricted-area matchups (10th–15th), Reese has surpassed this mark in 12/16 games this season, averaging 16.9 PPG.
• Reese has already faced New York twice earlier this season, going over this number in both meetings with 25 and 18 points.
• The game sits at just a 1.5-point spread, which should provide Reese with an opportunity to see meaningful minutes.
Pivot: O 29.5 PRA
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