Bruno Figueiredo

Finance, fan of capital markets and passionate about trading 😎

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@profstonge Cash flows at the chip layer are out of this world. But the risks are downstream: monetization, efficiency, capex

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@litcapital 🤣

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@shawnchauhan1 Great analysis

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@dougboneparth Societies follow the same principles of stock market bubbles, sometimes emotions are leading the way

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@RampCapitalLLC In a tough one

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@alifarhat79 We are back!

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

The economic momentum varies sharply across regions. Typically, we'd expect energy prices to drive inflation, which I don't think it is the case in US, but it might be in EU.

We also need to consider that Trump Admin want to avoid more inflation, so they will negotiate tariffs and trade policies, buying time for the American economy. In the end, this will contribute to inflation, though likely less than expected.

On the third point, prices should stabilize, and demand for big-ticket items will probably fall. Add in globalization's slowdown, and I'm not sure how the EU will tackle its mounting issues, which might add pressures on the global financial system, pushing rates down to offset widening spreads.

This is my base case for now, I'm long on TLT and short on EUR.

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@profstonge Couldn't agree more!

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@StealthQE4 Hard to believe

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@RealEJAntoni And the increase in the GDP for each dollar issued is becoming smaller and smaller

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@RealEJAntoni @cmt_anthony I could be wrong, but I already bought some LT treasuries and I think I will buy more soon. It might be too early, I don't know

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@BojanRadojici10 There are things I completely disagree with, but great presentation overall, congrats! It is a good thing to see tweets like this

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@alc2022 I like Palantir, but we need to see more to support the current price level. Maybe you are right, but it will take time

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

Just bought some treasuries

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@StockMKTNewz Great job!

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@MarioNawfal Remarkable

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

What a great day!

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

Dear NATO…

Guess who’s back?

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@Mayhem4Markets 🎯

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@KobeissiLetter In addition, the Fed can control the pace of the decrease and there are several risks today. And there are also political pressure to lower rates. Nevertheless, it is not granted that we won't have a recession or even worse. It is all about liquidity, let's see how it goes

[Bruno Figueiredo @Bruno_rFig]

@KobeissiLetter The thing is: 1) the economy is contracting, 2) personal savings are at pre-GFC lows, 3) oil outlook supports a non-inflationaty scenario, 4) a change in interest rates takes at least 6 months to produce effects. So, why take the risk of letting things get really bad? (1/2)