BTCBasisTracker

📊 Daily Bitcoin Spot ETF Cost Basis Tracker
Historical retest/support zones + alerts
@FarsideUK flows • Proportional accounting
Not financial advice

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

📊 Free Bitcoin ETF Cost Basis Tracker

See where institutions break even:

✓ Aggregate entry price
✓ Distance from basis
✓ Price vs. basis chart
✓ Holdings & flows
✓ No signup — works on any device

🔗https://t.co/RTwDh8Pm25

🧵 How to use it (1/5) 👇

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

Last 365 days:

🔴 Above retest (+14%): 66% of time
🟡 Above basis (0-14%): 21%
🟢 Below basis (0 to -5%): 9%
🔵 Below support (<-5%): 4%

Current zone: Below support

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

📊 BTC ETF Cost Basis — 2026-02-18
💰 Cost Basis: $89,639.90 | 📈 Price: $66,468.20
📊 -25.85% below basis
⚙️ σ: -2.65σ | 🎯 20d Momentum: -0.47%
📆 Q1 2026 Flows: -$2521.1M
💧 Daily Flow: -$133.3M
🚀 Basis Velocity: $2/day
💼 Unrealized P&L: $15.08B
💧 Flow Efficiency: 0.08%

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

📊 BTC ETF Cost Basis — 2026-02-09
💰 Cost Basis: $89,722.97 | 📈 Price: $70,112.30
📊 -21.86% below basis
⚙️ σ: -2.52σ | 🎯 20d Momentum: -0.20%
📆 Q1 2026 Flows: -$1778.0M
💧 Daily Flow: +$144.9M
🚀 Basis Velocity: $54/day
💼 Unrealized P&L: $12.98B
💧 Flow Efficiency: 0.07%

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

@liamjing2025 I get the cost basis as being a bit higher but approximate the daily price as the closing price of the day.

📊 BTC ETF Cost Basis — 2026-02-03
💰 Cost Basis: $89,938.79 | 📈 Price: $75,714.87
📊 -15.82% below basis

Track it yourself with my free tool.
https://t.co/VBR38CWQQz

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

📊 BTC ETF Cost Basis — 2026-02-03
💰 Cost Basis: $89,938.79 | 📈 Price: $75,714.87
📊 -15.82% below basis
⚙️ σ: -2.19σ | 🎯 20d Momentum: +0.04%
📆 Q1 2026 Flows: -$1315.0M
💧 Daily Flow: -$272.0M
🚀 Basis Velocity: $30/day
💼 Unrealized P&L: $9.52B
💧 Flow Efficiency: 0.04%

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

Interesting Stats:
Extreme Deviation: 2.2σ from mean. Mean reversion likely.
Last 365 days:

🔴 Above retest (+15%): 66% of time
🟡 Above basis (0-15%): 21%
🟢 Below basis (0 to -5%): 11%
🔵 Below support (<-5%): 1%

Current zone: Below support

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

Now not only below cost basis but also below the historical support level below cost basis @ $85,406

Last 365 days:

🔴 Above retest (+15%): 66% of time
🟡 Above basis (0-15%): 21%
🟢 Below basis (0 to -5%): 12%
🔵 Below support (<-5%): 1%

Current zone: Below support

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

📊 BTC ETF Cost Basis — 2026-01-29
💰 Cost Basis: $90,059.16 | 📈 Price: $84,567.55
📊 -6.10% below basis
⚙️ σ: -1.57σ | 🎯 20d Momentum: +0.22%
📆 Q1 2026 Flows: -$1095.1M
💧 Daily Flow: -$817.8M
🚀 Basis Velocity: $0/day
💼 Unrealized P&L: $3.69B
💧 Flow Efficiency: 0.03%

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

Similar Conditions

↗️ 90% (19)
↘️ 10% (2)
↔️ 0% (0)

n=21

Of 21 past days with similar cost basis deviation, price rose 19x, fell 2x, and consolidated 0x over the next 14 days.

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

@FarsideUK 📊 BTC ETF Cost Basis — 2026-01-28
💰 Cost Basis: $90,059.16 | 📈 Price: $89,194.20
📊 -0.96% below basis
⚙️ σ: -1.24σ | 🎯 20d Momentum: +0.22%
📆 Q1 2026 Flows: -$277.3M
💧 Daily Flow: -$19.6M
🚀 Basis Velocity: $0/day
💼 Unrealized P&L: $0.59B
💧 Flow Efficiency: 0.03%

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

Similar Conditions

↗️ 73% (35)
↘️ 23% (11)
↔️ 4% (2)

n=48

Of 48 past days with similar cost basis deviation, price rose 35x, fell 11x, and consolidated 2x over the next 14 days.

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

Last 365 days:

🔴 Above retest (+14%): 66% of time
🟡 Above basis (0-14%): 21%
🟢 Below basis (0 to -5%): 12%
🔵 Below support (<-5%): 1%

Current zone: Below basis

Statistically unlikely we stay below BTC ETF cost basis for too much longer

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

📊 BTC ETF Cost Basis — 2026-01-28
💰 Cost Basis: $90,059.16 | 📈 Price: $89,194.20
📊 -0.96% below basis
⚙️ σ: -1.24σ | 🎯 20d Momentum: +0.22%
📆 Q1 2026 Flows: -$277.3M
💧 Daily Flow: -$19.6M
🚀 Basis Velocity: $0/day
💼 Unrealized P&L: $0.59B
💧 Flow Efficiency: 0.03%

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

@cryptoquant_com @burak_kesmeci Don't you think the BTC ETF cost basis is now the more important number - I do.
It has been acting as pretty good support for months now

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

Funny how we have just been tracking the cost basis line for months now - somebody doesn't want to pay more than the long term average

#BTC #ETF #COSTBASIS

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

📊 BTC ETF Cost Basis — 2026-01-27
💰 Cost Basis: $90,059.16 | 📈 Price: $89,154.52
📊 -1.00% below basis
⚙️ σ: -1.24σ | 🎯 20d Momentum: +0.22%
📆 Q1 2026 Flows: -$257.7M
💧 Daily Flow: -$147.4M
🚀 Basis Velocity: $0/day
💼 Unrealized P&L: $0.62B
💧 Flow Efficiency: 0.03%

[BTCBasisTracker @BtcBasisTracker]

Last 365 days:

🔴 Above retest (+15%): 66% of time
🟡 Above basis (0-15%): 21%
🟢 Below basis (0 to -5%): 12%
🔵 Below support (<-5%): 1%

Current zone: Below basis