Could you foster a hound? 🐾 We need new foster homes across the South West & surrounding areas. We’re looking for confident, physically able people who can handle larger, stronger or energetic hounds, including dogs strong on the lead. Find out more: https://t.co/oIEM7gl4OO
One Jets Jersey ordered and shipped. @aaaantoniaaaaa requested a @GarrettWilson_V White one.
Every Jets win I will send one out to one of you.
Garrett I cant imagine seeing my name on so many other human beings.
Must be flattering and a blessing. God bless you brother!
These fans love you to no end. @nyjets
Will the Free Jersey streak continue? More wins more jerseys. @TheJetsLounge
🚨 You want in this contest this week RT to spread the word!!
and please follow the fellas. 🚨 💚 @kenscara1@Stevie19889889@iHateShaun
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🚨 For every Jets win this year I will give one jets jersey away to someone on here weekly.
You can pick any player any color you like.🚨
Starting week 1. #Jetup RT like to enter the contest
Las Vegas has a hidden gem bakery in Chinatown that’s always packed. Gabi Coffee is known for their authentic Korean and French pastries, viral croissants, classic fairytale book vibes and an extensive menu of coffee & matcha drinks. #vegas #lasvegas #vegasstarfish #croissant #food
A Yale professor filled a pesto jar with coins and auctioned it off to his own students. The jar held $2.07. The winner paid $5.00.
She was not stupid. She was the most confident person in the room, and that is the entire problem.
Forty students guessed at the same jar. Some guessed low, some guessed high, and the average of the room sat close to the truth. The auction does not pay the average. It pays whoever was wrong in the most optimistic direction.
Winning means you outbid every person who saw it more accurately than you did.
It happens so reliably it has a name. The winner's curse.
Once you have the phrase, you cannot stop finding it. Oil companies bidding on tracts, studios bidding on scripts, buyers in a hot housing market, firms bidding for the same senior hire. On average, the winning bid comes in much, much higher than the truth.
Nobody at the closing table feels cursed. They feel like they won something competitive, which is exactly how the loss gets hidden.
Then comes the fix, and it is one line long. Bid as if you know you win.
Sit down and assume, before you name a number, that you are already the highest estimate in the room and therefore probably the most wrong. Price the jar off that assumption instead of your own gut. Every rational bidder in the room is doing the same thing, and the bidding stays sane.
Ben Polak taught this at Yale. Yale posted the entire course.
The lecture is free. The jar cost $2.07. The people who keep winning bidding wars have never pressed play.
Five months ago, “Stones” kicked off the journey of ‘Embers to Ashes’.
Stream “Stones” now and pre-save the full album - https://t.co/09tlefXssJ
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