G{P}rophecy
Good vibes only ๐โจ
Wishing everyone successful predictions, strong conviction, and big wins on @ProphecySocial_ โก
May your calls beat the crowd and your Truth Score keep climbing ๐
Built on @somnia_network & @SomniaEco
Thank you for the invitation to the X Space โ Iโll definitely attend.
After a month actively testing Prophecy Social, I've noticed several recurring challenges, including limitations in AI resolution, low-quality market creation, and some issues related to farming mechanisms.
From the teamโs perspective, what do you consider the biggest challenge facing the platform today? And which problem are you prioritizing to solve first?
A big day on @ProphecySocial_ today! ๐
And @Elphie_L and myself are hosting Episode 1 of Season 1 of the Prediction Pit, a weekly X Space, where we'll be looking back on what has been achieved so far, answering your questions and always-always leaking some alpha.
I wouldn't sleep on this one, prophets!
SoSoValue Flash: Trump Tightens Iran Terms to Inject Fresh Uncertainty, Fed Split Eases Macro Strain
๐ฅ Core Catalyst: Truce Extensions & Tehran ShadowsPresident Trump convened a two-hour War Room meeting on Friday, significantly revising and tightening the terms of the Iran MOU. The revised text, which critically alters the "uranium disposal arrangements" and "Hormuz reopening wording," has been sent to Tehran. Iran is expected to take around 3 days to respond, pushing a potential final deal out by "a week or more" and delaying the anticipated normalization of Strait throughput.
๐ Key Logic Shifts:
1๏ธโฃ Fed Internal Split: Fed Vice Chair Bowman expressed support for retaining dovish rate-cut language in the upcoming June 17 FOMC statement. In the context of a broader hawkish tilt under the "Warsh Era," this internal divide over whether to keep an easing bias provides a temporary sentiment buffer for equity liquidity.
2๏ธโฃ Macro Realignment: While a pause at the June meeting remains the consensus, the macro outlook remains hostage to energy costs. If Tehran rejects Trump's tightened terms and high oil persists, a Q4 hike pivot stays on the table. For now, the market is pricing a framework deal as the baseline but remains highly sensitive to re-escalation risks within the 60-day window.
3๏ธโฃ AI Continuation: The "AI top" debate continues to build, but overwhelming secular tailwinds, solid earnings, and a slightly softer macro environment argue against a full reversal. Volatility is being treated as a correction within an intact uptrend, with capital continuously re-engaging core leadership ahead of new hardware cycles and the upcoming AI IPO wave.
๐ Trade Setup (SoDEX Assets to Watch):
Core: $USTECH-100 | $CL (Crude) | $XAUT | $BTC
MAG7: $NVDA | $AMZN | $GOOGL | $META | $MSFT | $TSLA | $AAPL
AI Hardware: $SNDK | $MU | $AMD | $INTC
One of my best years so far!๐
To celebrate, Iโm giving away one of my Hypurr NFT . Worth 900 $HYPE (~$61K) ๐ฅ
How to enter:
1๏ธโฃ Like & RT this post
2๏ธโฃ Comment โDoneโ
3๏ธโฃ Follow @yenperps ๐
โฐ Giveaway ends in 24 hours, donโt miss it!
I liked the platform's user-friendly interface and the market resolution progress; there were significantly fewer errors at the end.
What I'd like to see:
More statistics in your personal account for each trade; see your PNL.
Market resolution timing should coincide with the end of the match and tournament.
Can I add BTC/USD markets for 5 minutes, 1H, or 4H, instead of just 20 minutes?
We're giving away $1,000 to 5 lucky people ($200 each)
- Like + Retweet the post below ๐
- Tag 2 friends ๐ฅ
- Comment your lucky username
- Must watch the FULL video to qualify
Announcing winners in 48hrs, good luck! ๐
@lippylipka Congratulations to all participants and developers!
A very interesting prediction market.
My only request: the winner shouldn't receive the same reward as the participant who finished 200th.
This wouldn't provide any motivation or incentive for active participants.
Thank you
Season 1 is complete ๐
Four weeks ago, Prophecy Social launched on Somnia. Since then, the community has created more than 15,000 markets, made predictions across thousands of events, built streaks, and pushed the platform far beyond what we expected for a first season.
Season 1 was designed for participation, market creation, and prediction activity, and the response from the community has been incredible to see.
As part of Season 1 rewards, a total of 100,000 $SOMI will be distributed to the Top 200 on the Prophecy Social leaderboard.
What comes next:
- Distribution details will be shared next week.
- Prophecy Social Season 2 will introduce a larger rewards pool alongside a stronger focus on Caliber Rating of created markets, Edge Score, and quality participation.
Thank you to everyone who participated in the first season. Every market created, prediction made, and piece of feedback shared has helped shape what Prophecy Social is becoming.
View the leaderboard: https://t.co/vUeWAxicVh
SoSoValue Flash: Iran Peace Deal Nears Signature, Fed Maintains Wait-and-See Stance
๐ฅ Core Catalyst: Truce Extensions & Tehran ShadowsA 60-day MOU framework between the U.S. and Iran has been reached, though President Trump has yet to grant final sign-off. While VP Vance indicated that a deal is "close but not yet done," diplomatic efforts are intensifying: Pakistanโs Deputy PM Ishaq Dar is in Washington today (5/29) to meet with Secretary of State Marco Rubio, signaling a high-stakes effort to solidify the peace process.
๐ Key Logic Shifts:
1๏ธโฃ Macro & Inflation: The April PCE printed at 3.8%, aligning with expectations and showing no signs of second-round inflation pass-through. The marketโs near-term Fed path remains unchanged, with policy effectively held in a "wait-and-see" state.
2๏ธโฃ Fed & Policy: With Kevin Warsh now at the helm of the Fed, the central bank maintains a hawkish bias. Persistent high energy costs remain the primary risk factor, keeping the possibility of a Q4 hike on the table should inflation stickiness re-emerge.
3๏ธโฃ AI Portfolio: AI remains the core driver of U.S. equities. Despite the persistent "AI top" debate, strong industry trends, solid earnings, and a lack of macro-shock data support the view that any current price chop is a pullback within a broader uptrend rather than a trend break.
๐ Trade Setup (SoDEX Assets to Watch):
Core: $USTECH-100 | $CL (Crude) | $XAUT | $BTC
MAG7: $NVDA | $AMZN | $GOOGL | $META | $MSFT | $TSLA | $AAPL
AI Hardware: $SNDK | $MU | $AMD | $INTC
This is it, Prophets!
Final day of Season 1: Genesis โ
Thank you for every second you've spent building markets, making predictions, and sharing the invaluable feedback that made this first step possible.
All the details about the end of this season will be shared soon ๐ฎ