Afrovestor

Tech | Finance | & The LAW. | Stock picker |The money has already been printed , I intend to be at the table when it is shared

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

@Dei68690504 The IPO will likely take much of the liquidity. I think the valuation is quite high so I am not buying. I intend though to buy more $CRDO and $MRVL

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

Stocks sold off the last two days. S&P lost 2.2% with the tech heavy Nasdaq composite wiping 4.3%

My holdings had the biggest single day plunge. Over 50k wiped out in two days. Shocked ? No. Here is what happened and a few of my thoughts. A 🧵

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

Absa Group $ABG ( JSE) paid its CEO 1.1B KES / 148M ZAR last year .

The payout included 98.5M (ZAR) being his unvested equity forfeited when he left Standard Bank

That is an $8.9M payout . I wonder how much value he delivered for the bank

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

If you can hold your stocks through this turbulence. And if Hyperscalers don’t cut capex spend , you will likely come out off well by 2028

We are still in the middle of the AI build up. We have 3-4 years before growth cools off

On Monday we buy the sell off

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

6/ Rates hike , we get a recession and Hyperscalers cut capex spend . Doomsday scenario sells oof accelerated

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

What did we do to deserve this man .

At this rate we are better off taking our chances with the biblical 9 plagues

Please let your people go

[Daily Nation @NationAfrica]

The government has revealed plans to use cash from the 1.5 per cent Affordable Housing Levy as collateral for a Sh100 billion loan in a process known as securitisation, signalling that the controversial deduction could become a near-permanent feature on workers’ payslips.

Read more: https://t.co/4dGWYd0iGM

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

@BrianYuleWako Not buying. At that ridiculous pricing it won’t 3X or 5X in years .

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

My top candidates for S&P 500 quarterly rebalance

$VRT
$MRVL
$CRDO
$ALAB

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

If you had bought $STX the same day I shred here. You would have bought at 160

If you had held to today it is $960

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

I spent a few hours last night after $MSFT $META earnings. For transparency I do not own either. Big mistake.

Investment in AI is not slowing down. Satya is committing $120B , $META has upcoming $70B in capex planned Something though caught my ears.

“Every GPU requires storage and compute. The ratio of storage to GPU demand is exponential”

That means some new position in $STX, $SNOW, $PSTG, $NTAP

If I was to choose only one am going with $STX

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

@griffarinaitwe Holy moly !complete bonkers. Not sure what the news driving this is

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

The average analyst TP for $MRVL is $212

It is at $328

Bro the train left the station already.

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

@francisgikuni No new buys. Buying $NVDA Jan 28 leaps.

Likely to buy $MRVL Jan 28 leaps if IV collapses to below 60

Both are meant to complement stock holdings and not replace underlying stocks.

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

Yesterday was the best day for my portfolio since I started buying stocks.

$MRVL my second largest holding after $CRDO rallied after Jensen comments .

$ALAB rode on that rally. They are solving the same problem

$CEVA was the surprise performer.

$CRDO stuttered

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

@J60120J Here :

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

The weekend is here and so is the homework .

What are the chances that $CEVA re-rates to the $ARM multiples . From 9X revenues to 38X revenue multiples

Today’s licensing deals will show up in revenues 1-2 years later. And CEVA signed 14 IP licensing agreements on Q1 alone

We first bought at $21. Added at $30 and now considering making it a core holding. Meaning making it a $40k and above holding

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

This was April 24th when I first mentioned $CEVA on my feed. It was trading at $24

It has since doubled to $50

Still a micro cap at $1.38B market cap

[Afrovestor @BullrunIO]

Who wins if this materializes. Usual suspects $AMD, $ARM , $INTC

But these have already run. The easy money is already made.

Here are my bets for the undiscovered one

$CEVA Every on-device AI inference application whether a smartphone assistant, AI PC, IoT sensor, autonomous vehicle etc is running a processor IP from either CEVA or a few other competitors.

$RMBS. Has already run 200% in 52 wks. Buy on pull back only