CPAhole

Progressive LDS member, tax accountant, dad, dog owner. He/him (if you mention pronouns to me after checking my profile, it means you lose the argument).

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@carsenlcooper Vote for them if given the opportunity

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@devoncarson @DKThomp @feelsdesperate Hmmm let's see. On the one hand, an expert in the field says this is a huge problem. On the other hand, Devon Carson says it isnt. I just dont know who to trust!

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@devoncarson @DKThomp @feelsdesperate Thank goodness for DOGE, arent we all glad weather forecasts are worse now?

https://t.co/eoyle2pzuG

[Matthew Cappucci @MatthewCappucci]

Have weather forecasts seemed less accurate lately? There's a major contributing factor: nearly half the morning weather balloons in the Lower 48 are "missing."

This is an ongoing crisis that is degrading critical severe weather forecasts that we all rely on. It's having real, tangible impacts on degrading forecast quality.

If you work in transportation, agriculture or commerce, this should matter to you.

Regardless of the causes, this negatively affects people of ALL political backgrounds. Weather affects everyone. And it's impacting ALL of us negatively.

We can't look at weather balloon data that doesn't exist. We can't pump nonexistent data into models. We can't rely as heavily on models that don't "know" what's happening above our heads.

This is especially concerning for severe weather forecasts. We can't go 18 hours without ascertaining how the atmosphere is layered, how much storm fuel has built up and if severe thunderstorms are going to erupt. The Storm Prediction Center has even acknowledged forecasting frustrations in at least one public bulletin.

As an atmospheric scientist myself, I can say firsthand – the forecasts I'm able to offer you are less accurate than they would otherwise be. I'm not able to predict severe weather with the confidence I normally would. That is extremely concerning.

The United States is "supposed" to launch balloons at 0Z and 12Z ideally – a.k.a. around 7 a.m. and 7 p.m. Eastern time. That's not happening. Many sites, due to staffing issues stemming from broader political and organizational issues, have pushed to 18Z, or early afternoon. That's not helpful for morning severe weather forecasts. In other words, you get less lead time. Less advanced notice. Quicker ramp-ups and ramp-downs to the forecast.

We're not able to get jet stream, temperature, moisture or wind profiles of the atmosphere each morning like we otherwise would.

Moreover, the World Meteorological Organization encourages 12Z soundings; that data is shared via the Global Observing System (GOS) under the World Weather Watch (WWW). That's not happening.

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@devoncarson @DKThomp @feelsdesperate So because doge specifically was floated as an idea 6 weeks (not months) before the election, that means the public writ large understood that trump was going after USAID, something you have not proved was mentioned before the election at all? Do I understand that correctly?

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@HarryB0sch @DKThomp @feelsdesperate

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@devoncarson @DKThomp @feelsdesperate You just shared a screenshot showing it was first mentioned 1 month before. "Months" is you being a liar actually.

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@devoncarson @DKThomp @feelsdesperate Within 1 month of the election, excuse me for not having a perfect memory. I tried to google it but Google is useless now anyway. It was not a major part of his platform and I guarantee most people didn't vote with this in mind considering it didnt come up before this time.

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@HarryB0sch @DKThomp @feelsdesperate If only trump and cronies had instituted a plan to transition these programs out and worked with affected countries and nonprofits to establish alternate funding sources so ppl wouldn't die. Thats what you'd do if you cared about people's lives.

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@HarryB0sch @DKThomp @feelsdesperate Cool you care more about what you imagine is unconstitutional than about the material realities of people in the real world. Principles over people. Got it. Thanks for signaling YOUR "virtues."

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@devoncarson @DKThomp @feelsdesperate It became part of the platform post-election. People did not vote for handing Elon Musk the keys to the treasury and all our private information.

Why do you people keep telling get fucked like its a bad thing? "Go get lucky champ" ok I will thanks??

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@devoncarson @DKThomp @feelsdesperate If your mother had wheels she would be a motorcycle.

We're talking about things that actually happened, not your pretend proposals that nobody ever suggested or proposed.

"The US taxpayer is done" you dont speak for me. Im fairly sure i pay more taxes than you.

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@devoncarson @DKThomp @feelsdesperate "Get fucked" as if thats somehow a bad thing. What a weird non-insult.

Doge was not part of his platform until after the election.

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@devoncarson @DKThomp @feelsdesperate Elon and doge and destroying programs that saved lives were decidedly not on the ballot, even if you have to retroactively pretend that everything trump does is something you actually want.

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@HarryB0sch @DKThomp @feelsdesperate You dont want to have the argument? Then why did you comment in the first place?

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@devoncarson @DKThomp @feelsdesperate We were talking about PEPFAR, a program that saved lives and was created by a conservative and was dismantled by musk. I know you people have this weird obsession with trans people, but try to stay on topic k?

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@devoncarson @DKThomp @feelsdesperate Radical leftist george bush established PEPFAR btw. You people just love to say the silliest things with so much unearned confidence.

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@HarryB0sch @DKThomp @feelsdesperate Notice how this is a different argument entirely? If im holding someone's hand trying to keep them from falling off a bridge and then I decide its unconstitutional to help them and let them fall, they still died.

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@StupidSxyFland @BrandSanderson One more get added every time someone whines about it

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@xwanyex So you mean "american" as some metaphysical quality that only applies when you decide it does. Ironically, youre the one doing magical thinking here bc youre arguing that a very concrete legal process shouldnt actually mean what it says if you dont want it to.

[CPAhole @ButtrmlkPncakes]

@gulerwaves @SybilSaturday You can really tell by the pants. Women in pants is always a dead giveaway that its woke!!