ANU CAMA

Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis
CRICOS provider 00120C

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

🎉 Excited to welcome new members to CAMA Network in 2026! 🌏

👏 New Research Associates:
Ze-Yu Zhong
Souryabrata Mohapatra
Josep Marti
Jongrim Ha
Zhe Ben Wang

👏 New Scholar Associate:
Sathya Mellina

🌐 Learn more about CAMA Network: https://t.co/zynJ5KtPmZ

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

The CAMA Shadow RBA Board continues to highlight inflation risks, strongly recommending a 25 basis point increase of the cash rate to 4.35%⬆️

👉 Read the full analysis and comments here:
https://t.co/ZgaUwkcbLp

@ANUCrawford

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

📽️ Webcast: Warwick McKibbin on building economic projections for better policy 📊🌏

[Peterson Institute @PIIE]

Listen to the entire PIIE Insider LIVE conversation wherever you get podcasts & subscribe to PIIE Insider the newsletter to get the paper on the economic effects of the Iran War right to your inbox when it's published: https://t.co/s4JCMHihTZ

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

🆕 Catch up on our latest CAMA activities at Crawford School of Public Policy — from events and new publications to awards, academic appointments, media highlights, working papers, and more...

👉 Explore the full update in our latest newsletter: https://t.co/HzyTiHJhDO

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

📊The CAMA Shadow RBA Board recommends lifting the cash rate to 4.10% in March 2026, citing rising inflation risks amid a strong labour market and an uncertain global environment.

Read more: 👇
https://t.co/Gr191YvQCl

#MonetaryPolicy #Inflation #InterestRates #EconomicOutlook

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

Tune in to the EGROW Webinar: Impact of US Tariffs on India & Asian Countries

📅 20 Feb 2026 | 📷 12pm IST |

📷More webinar information: https://t.co/3GjwV0Hv9x

@int_mon_econ

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

📈 Australia’s inflation challenge continues. CPI inflation was 3.8% in Dec 2025, well above the RBA’s 2–3% target, while the labour market remains relatively tight.

The CAMA RBA Shadow Board recommends the cash rate rise to 3.85% in Feb 2026.

Read more https://t.co/h4xmAlOC10

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

🚀📄 New CAMA Working Paper | 02/2026

The paper explores the quantitative implications and empirical relevance of behavioral expectations (BE) in DSGE models under equilibrium indeterminacy. 📊🧠

👉Read more: https://t.co/ECYsq3cu37

@ANUCrawford @KeioGlobal @UniversityKorea

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

CAMA WP 01/2026 📄

CAMA has released the first WP of 2026🎉

The paper examines how human capital 🎓 shapes long-run energy consumption ⚡ across OECD countries, with key implications for energy policy.

🔗 Read: https://t.co/an8pM1ODqF

@ANUCrawford @MonashBusiness @latrobe

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

In the recent interview with @RadioNational, Warwick McKibbin discusses the implications of a potential criminal prosecution of Fed Chair Jerome Powell—and what it could mean for central bank independence and financial stability.

🎧 Listen: https://t.co/lUsGEXtyfA

@ANUCrawford

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

📢 Happy 2026!
The CAMA January 2026 Newsletter (Issue 77) is out!

Stay up to date with our latest research, working papers, academic publications, upcoming events, and more.

🔗 Read it here: https://t.co/nsN4q8U6ia

@ANUCrawford

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

Happy holidays from all of us at CAMA 🎄

Wishing you a joyful holiday season and a New Year of positive change, collaboration and impact in 2026 ✨

@ANUCrawford

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

CAMA WP 72/2025 studies how US–China geopolitical shocks affect mineral markets, using monthly data (1995–2025) and a structural VAR–local projection framework. 🌍⛏️📊

Read more 🔗 https://t.co/4cRKHaYpOu

@ANUCrawford @MonashBusiness
@UTAS_

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

CAMA WP 71/2025 examines how to reignite investment momentum in EMDEs—amid slowing growth and rising macroeconomic and geopolitical risks 📉🌍⚠️

Read the paper🔗 https://t.co/TAbopmZv9B

@ANUCrawford @WorldBank

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

📄 CAMA WP 70/2025 (by @JVespignani et al) examines how non-technical risk—policy, regulatory, social & geopolitical—raises capital costs, delays greenfield supply, and amplifies price volatility for critical minerals ⚡🌍

👉 🔗 https://t.co/9AmkEQJdqu

@MonashBusiness @UTAS_

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

📄 CAMA WP 69/2025 offers novel causal evidence that macroeconomic narrative framing matters 📊

🗣️ How a policy is described — as a supply or demand shock — significantly shapes household beliefs.

Read more 🔗 https://t.co/UgOQ9I0dhj

@ANUCrawford @NBS_sk

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

📄 CAMA WP 68/2025 studies how temporal aggregation—the mismatch between the Data Generating Process (DGP) and the Data Collection Process (DCP)—affects the design of monetary policy in a New Keynesian framework with boundedly rational agents.

🔗 https://t.co/VxWylvDPLT

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

🎉We are delighted to welcome Prof Russell Smyth @MonashBusiness to CAMA as a Research Associate. His research focuses on climate change 🌍and energy ⚡

Learn more about his work 🔗 https://t.co/xeM1zacGxk

@ANUCrawford

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

📄 CAMA WP 67/2025 tackles the questions: What are the dynamic and welfare effects industrial policy? How does policymakers’ short-sightedness shape the choice of instruments? And what are the distributional consequences of protectionist measures?

👉🔗 https://t.co/GJFBbIuvL0

[ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis]

📄 CAMA WP 66/2025 examines how the social norm of intergenerational support — where parents expect financial help from adult children — shapes fertility choices and education investment in developing countries.

Read more 👉 https://t.co/MzZ7Hb4JTp

@ANUCrawford @CEPAR_research