#Fiem Industries Ltd
Monthly Chart.
Looking weak with bearish indications on chart.
👉 Bearish RSI divergence
👉 Three Black Crow pattern on top
👉 Break of the monthly 20 EMA support
👉 RSI closed below 50
Next support levels are given on chart.
Keep👀
#Evening Star Pattern
This is a three-candle, bearish reversal candlestick pattern that signals the top of an upward trend.
#Evening Star Pattern is oberved on monthly charts of following stocks:
🔸Federal Bank Ltd
🔸Aditya Birla Capital Ltd
🔸Gabriel India Ltd
Be cautious..🙏
Disc: A candlestick pattern does not guarantee a successful trade, so do your due diligence before taking any trade.
NIFTY CONSUMER DURABLES
PE derating from 98 to 57
2+ year of downtrend
India is not a growth+innovation economy, we are more of a consumption based economy and Inflation is the biggest enemy of consumption.
A wise man does in the beginning, what a fool does at the end, so you have to understand why intelligent investors are selling and exiting and what valuation they will re-enter.
Not a buy sell recommendation.
In Prop & at family level , we are currently down 5% from highest NAV ever, but not bearish in the slightest.
Looking forward to a strong year-end close.
The only caveats to this setup?
Crude needs to respect the $105 level, and the US 10-year needs to stay under 5.4%.
SEDEMAC MECHATRONICS LIMITED: CO. REPORTS HIGHEST QUARTERLY SALES OF CONTROL-INTENSIVE ECUS WITH 1,452,867 UNITS SOLD, UP 37.5% YOY; CUMULATIVE SALES OF ISG+EFI ECUS REACH 1 MILLION UNITS.
For Indian markets to turn around, four things need to happen:
1. The AI trade has to unwind
2. Crude has to cool off
3. US bond yields have to ease
4. The government has to ease up on taxes
Until then, patience.
#Nifty#CrudeOil#IndianMarkets
#NRAIL - N R Agarwal Industries Ltd
Monthly Chart.
Eight years long confirm multiyear Breakout.
A retest could offer a good opportunity to enter in this excellent setup stock.
Keep👀
In this market, the setup is simple.
Forget fundamentals + charts for now. What's working is macro + charts.
And the macro comes down to two things: US yields and oil.
Track those two, then read the chart.
#Oil#yield
The Road Ahead -
Odds right now: Bears 70%, Bulls 30%.
Bear Scenarios (70%)
🔻 Scenario 1 (25%): Oil refuses to cool. Nifty struggles to bounce and gets stuck in a long sideways phase. Buying every dip won't pay here.
🔻Scenario 2 (25%): Oil or US yields climb higher. Nifty could slip another 5–6% through Oct–Nov.
🔻Scenario 3 (20%): Nifty keeps falling 5–6% a month, three months in a row. Mid and small caps crack, SIP investors feel the heat, fresh SIP money dries up, and withdrawals begin.
Bull Scenarios (30%)
🟢Scenario 1 (20%): Oil eases, yields settle, foreign selling stops. Steady domestic buying slowly pulls the market up.
🟢Scenario 2 (10%): The global AI and chip rally unwinds. That money looks for a new home, India gets a big slice, and bulls take charge again.
Game Plan
Stay patient. Hold some cash. Don't rush into every fall.
Keep an Eye On
Oil. US yields. The AI trade.
When these turn, the market turns.
#Nifty #StockMarketNews #CrudeOil #BondYield #FIIs #DIIs
Every 5–6 years, investors get a chance to buy deep-value stocks. The last one was during COVID.
Right now, I see two such events on the horizon:
1. A rise in crude and bond yields
2. An AI trade cool-off, or an AI bubble burst, as valuations have run far ahead of fundamentals
Wait for these opportunities.
#ValueInvesting #StockMarket #CrudeOil #AIBubble #Investing
Proxy of BESS🔖🔖🔖
✅ Battery chemicals company
- Acutaas chemical
- Sudeep pharma
- HSCL
- Neogen chemical
-Tatva chintan
-GFL & Many more
✅ power equipment & EPC company
- Quality power equipment
-Hitachi energy
-kec international
-siemens engineering
-kalpatru project
- T& D Power
- Tata Power
-JSW energy
-SPML infra & Many more
✅ Battery company
- Amar Raja battery
-exide industry & many more
✅ Solar pannel manufacturing company
- Waaree energies - Biggest player
✅ Wire & Cable company
- Havells
- Polycab & Many more
✅ Transmission company
- Advait energy
-adani energy
-powegrid & Many more
Dis- only for study purpose