California Target Book

The essential toolbox for California Political Professionals. [email protected] for subscription information.

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

RELEASE: Team Target Book on California's Mid-Decade Redistricting Debate

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

🗳️ RACE: Report on Active Campaigns & Elections

Today’s California Target Book’s Spotlight:
The 2026 California Lt. Governor’s RACE

Read today’s RACE Report now:
https://t.co/uDUc9wH9Ss

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Read today's Hot Sheet for our full report on these special election results.

https://t.co/Sh3W0zgy44

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[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

Preliminary results from yesterday's special election in SD 36 and AD 32 are out, showing that Stan Ellis (R) won his race outright with 64% of the vote in AD 32, while SD 36 candidate, Tony Strickland (R) received 51.1% of the vote.

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With an estimated 16,000 votes remaining to be counted in SD 36, this race is too close to call. In today's Hot Sheet, we cover the first round of results, the current margin between candidates, and the outlook for an April 29 runoff in SD 36.

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[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

With just one week remaining before the special election primaries in SD 36 and AD 32, Research Director, Rob Pyers, gives a rundown on the candidates and potential reason these districts could see a runoff election on April 29.

Read today's Hot Sheet.
https://t.co/PNQse5Zjqm

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

Read today's Hot Sheet.

https://t.co/wEjWEFJtiR

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

Mike Murphy (R), has formed a committee to challenge incumbent, Esmeralda Soria (D) for the AD 27 seat in 2026.

This Central Valley seat is a red-trending majority-Latino VRA district that flipped from one that Biden carried to one that Trump carried in 2024.

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

State and federal candidates and committees filed their year-end reports on Friday, offering some additional insight into the state of play for the constitutional offices and even-numbered State Senate seats up in 2026.

Read today’s Hot Sheet.

https://t.co/14MDWS3mtV

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https://t.co/tQrYpLfH09

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

The Target Book has added a new page to our website to view 2008-2024 Topline results and compare district-by-district.

Subscribers can view statewide office or proposition results, and 'swing' tables on several offices.

Read today's Hot Sheet for more on these new features.

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

With the 2026 Campaign cycle kicking off, the California Target Book provides a rundown on over a dozen open seats, including the Superintendent of Public Instruction seat, as Incumbent Tony Thurmond is termed out in 2026.

Read today's Hot Sheet.

https://t.co/ruYfgvAyNG

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

We continue to hold everyone impacted by the fires in our thoughts as we hope for everyone's safety and health.

For a list of resources for those affected by the fires, please click the link below.

https://t.co/dOkp0jX0v7

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

Statement on the Southern California Wildfires

As we continue to monitor the devastating fires throughout the Los Angeles area, our hearts are with the people of Southern California.

Thank you to the first responders as they continue to work tirelessly against the raging fires.

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

NEWS: The California Target Book Announces Winners of the California Target Book 2024 General Election Results Race. Out of 124 entries from California political professionals, 2 Sacramento lobbyists tie for first place.

Read the full press release: https://t.co/VyfmQEe941

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

Democratic State Senator Josh Newman, formed a committee last week to run for State Senate again in 2026.

Former Democratic Assemblymember Rudy Salas filed FEC paperwork to run for a third time in 2026.

More candidate updates in today's Hot Sheet.

https://t.co/0TDfKuKQEP

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

Nearly all counties have published their certified results and statements of vote by district.

Subscribers can now view the results by district and county via the 'Results by County' link on the November 5th, 2024 General Election hub page.

https://t.co/0TDfKuKQEP

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

Yesterday's final updates brought the CD13 race to an end.

Adam Gray's (D) narrow win is also noteworthy due to the district flipping from one that Biden carried by 11% in 2020 to one that Trump carried by at least 4.8%.

Read today's Hot Sheet.

https://t.co/LohWUbqgAY

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

Read today’s Hot Sheet.

https://t.co/yVOluRQILG

[California Target Book @CATargetBook]

Research Director Rob Pyers covers closely watched races including the race between Laura Richardson (D) and Michelle Chambers (D) in SD 35, Leticia Castillo (R) and Clarissa Cervantes (D) in AD 58, and John Duarte (R) and Adam Gray (D) in CD 13 in today’s Hot Sheet.