๐ CFB STOCK REPORT: VIRGINIA
Virginia 34, NC State 8.
We bought NC State +4 โ and missed badly. Virginia dominated from start to finish.
Beau Pribula: 9/11, 155 pass yds, 2 TD + 110 rush yds
UVA: 413 total yds
NC State: 167 total yds
CJ Bailey had a rough day: 12/23, 84 yds, INT.
๐ Virginia STOCK UP
๐ NC State STOCK DOWN
#GoHoos #1Pack1Goal
๐ CFB STOCK REPORT: Hawaiโi @ Stanford
๐ข BUY: Hawaiโi +4
๐ข BUY: Under 48.5
Stanford may be improved under Tavita Pritchard, but laying 4 points feels like too much in his first game as a head coach.
Hawaiโi has the more proven QB in Micah Alejado, who threw for 3,106 yards and 24 TDs last season. Stanford counters with Davis Warren, who hasnโt played since 2024 and will make his debut without starting LT Niki Prongos.
Our model has Stanford winning a close one, but closer to -2.5 than -4.
Weโll take the points and expect a lower-scoring game.
#GoBows #GoStanford
๐ HALFTIME UPDATE
Pregame BUY: NC State +4 โ
Virginia 17, NC State 0
CJ Bailey looks rusty: 6/14, 35 YDS, INT.
Virginia is dominating:
โข 220-83 total yards
โข 150-48 rushing yards
โข Beau Pribula: 80 rush YDS
โข Turnovers: UVA 0, NC State 2
Wolfpack need a major second-half adjustment.
#GoHoos #1Pack1Goal
๐จ CFB STOCK REPORT | WEEK 0 PLAY ๐จ
๐บ NC STATE +4 vs VIRGINIA
Weโre buying the Wolfpack.
๐ Proven QB in CJ Bailey
๐ Virginia WR Rico Flores Jr. OUT
๐ Star LB Kam Robinson questionable
๐บ NC State has the QB/continuity edge
๐ฐ We make this line closer to UVA -1.5
Virginia may win this game โ but 4 points is too many.
๐ฏ BUY: NC STATE +4
๐ Prediction: NC State 27, Virginia 24
#CFB #NCState #CFBStockReport
๐ CFB STOCK REPORT โ HALFTIME
USC 28 | San Jose State 0
USC: 312 total yards
SJSU: 102 total yards
Jayden Maiava: 17/20, 201 YDS, 2 total TD
Our pregame play:
๐ข BUY Over 61.5
28 points down, 34 needed in the 2H to cash.
USC is doing its part โ now we need SJSU to contribute.
๐จ LINCOLN RILEY SEASON OPENER ALERT ๐จ
Points scored by Riley-coached teams in Game 1:
2017: 56
2018: 63
2019: 49
2020: 48
2021: 40
2022: 66
2023: 56
2024: 27
2025: 73
๐ Average: 53.1 PPG
๐ฅ 40+ in 8 of 9
๐ฅ 48+ in 7 of 9
The only exception? LSU in 2024.
And the last time USC opened against San Jose State?
56 points.
Tonight's total: 61.5 ๐
๐ CFB Stock Report: BUY THE OVER
#CFB #USC
๐ CFB STOCK REPORT RECAP
UNC 15, TCU 10
โ UNC +8.5 CASHED
โ TCU to win
โ Over 46.5
We correctly circled Jeremy Payne as TCUโs best matchup:
๐ 25 carries
๐ 142 yards
๐ 5.7 YPC
But credit UNCโs staff โ TCU scored 10 in the 1Q and ZERO the rest of the game, including 2 red-zone trips that ended empty.
We missed the winner and total, but got the ATS call right.
๐ BUY UNC +8.5 โ
๐ CFB STOCK REPORT | TCU vs. UNC
๐จ TCU WR Jordan Dwyer is OUT.
Thatโs a big loss for QB Jaden Craig in his first FBS start. Dwyer led TCUโs returning WRs with 730 yards & 7 TDs in 2025.
๐ UNCโs rebuilt OL vs. TCUโs front
โญ Jeremy Payne vs. UNCโs new LBs
๐ Billy Edwards + Bobby Petrino
๐ง๏ธ Rain possible in Dublin
TCU is the better team, but I like UNC plus the points after the Dwyer news.
๐ My prediction:
TCU 27, UNC 21
๐ TCU to win
๐ฐ UNC +8.5 or better: BUY
#CFB #TCUvsUNC #CFBStockReport
๐ CFB STOCK REPORT | SAC STATE @ EASTERN MICHIGAN
EMU has some clear advantages:
๐ Proven QB Noah Kim
๐ Major edge in returning production
๐ Coaching & roster continuity
๐ Home-field advantage
But don't overlook Sac State QB Carson Conklin.
Conklin was the Hornets' starter as a true freshman in 2024:
๐ฏ 2,876 passing yards
๐ฏ 28 TD passes
๐ฏ 64% completions
After spending 2025 at Fresno State, he's back at Sac State and gives a heavily rebuilt offense a proven QB.
Our number: EMU -8/-9
Market: EMU -9ish
No edge = no bet.
โธ๏ธ PASS
Sometimes the best investment is the one you don't make.
#CFB #CFBStockReport
๐ WEEK 0 STOCK TO BUY
Jacksonville State +7 at NDSU
NDSU opened -10. Now? -7. ๐
The Gamecocks bring back dual-threat QB Caden Creel (1,076 rush yds) and 7 defensive starters, while NDSU hands the offense to a first-time starting QB.
Winning in Fargo is tough.
Covering 7? Different story.
๐ BUY: Jacksonville State +7
#CFB #CFBStockReport
๐จ CFB STOCK REPORT | WEEK 0 PLAY ๐จ
๐บ NC STATE +4 vs VIRGINIA
Weโre buying the Wolfpack.
๐ Proven QB in CJ Bailey
๐ Virginia WR Rico Flores Jr. OUT
๐ Star LB Kam Robinson questionable
๐บ NC State has the QB/continuity edge
๐ฐ We make this line closer to UVA -1.5
Virginia may win this game โ but 4 points is too many.
๐ฏ BUY: NC STATE +4
๐ Prediction: NC State 27, Virginia 24
#CFB #NCState #CFBStockReport
๐จ LINCOLN RILEY SEASON OPENER ALERT ๐จ
Points scored by Riley-coached teams in Game 1:
2017: 56
2018: 63
2019: 49
2020: 48
2021: 40
2022: 66
2023: 56
2024: 27
2025: 73
๐ Average: 53.1 PPG
๐ฅ 40+ in 8 of 9
๐ฅ 48+ in 7 of 9
The only exception? LSU in 2024.
And the last time USC opened against San Jose State?
56 points.
Tonight's total: 61.5 ๐
๐ CFB Stock Report: BUY THE OVER
#CFB #USC
๐ CFB STOCK REPORT | TCU vs. UNC
๐จ TCU WR Jordan Dwyer is OUT.
Thatโs a big loss for QB Jaden Craig in his first FBS start. Dwyer led TCUโs returning WRs with 730 yards & 7 TDs in 2025.
๐ UNCโs rebuilt OL vs. TCUโs front
โญ Jeremy Payne vs. UNCโs new LBs
๐ Billy Edwards + Bobby Petrino
๐ง๏ธ Rain possible in Dublin
TCU is the better team, but I like UNC plus the points after the Dwyer news.
๐ My prediction:
TCU 27, UNC 21
๐ TCU to win
๐ฐ UNC +8.5 or better: BUY
#CFB #TCUvsUNC #CFBStockReport
๐จ COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS BACK ๐จ
Week 0 kicks off Saturday with 8 FBS games and plenty to watch before the full market opens in Week 1. ๐๐
๐ฎ๐ช UNC vs TCU โ 12 ET | ESPN
๐บ NC State @ Virginia โ 3:30 ET | ESPN
๐ฅ San Jose State @ #14 USC โ 3 ET | NBC
๐ฆฌ Jacksonville State @ North Dakota State โ 5:30 ET | CBSSN
๐ด Hawaii @ Stanford โ 7 ET | ACCN
๐ข New Mexico State @ Florida State โ 7 ET | CW
๐ฏ Memphis @ UNLV โ 10 ET | FOX
Sacramento State @ Eastern Michigan
๐ Games I'm watching closest:
๐ TCUโUNC
A rematch of last year's 48โ14 TCU beatdown, this time in Dublin. Can Bill Belichick's rebuilt Tar Heels close the gap?
๐ NC STATEโVIRGINIA
Our first ACC data point of 2026. A game that could tell us a lot about where both programs belong in the conference pecking order.
๐ MEMPHISโUNLV
My favorite late-night matchup. Two programs with bigger ambitions than simply winning Week 0 โ this one could matter in the Group of 6 CFP race.
๐ USC
The Trojans begin a season with legitimate CFP expectations. Jayden Maiava enters the year as one of our favorite Heisman dark horses.
The offseason is over.
Time to find out which teams we're buying, holding and selling in 2026. ๐๐
#CFB #CollegeFootball #CFBStockReport
@CrimsonHeart92 It's shocking to see those numbers from last year. I expect to see a big improvement in those numbers this year. With Keelon's mobility, new offensive line coaching and an improved RB room, the running game should look much better in 2026.
Brown's stock continues to rise as Alabama's fall camp progresses. Alabama is looking for playmaker's to improve their rushing attack, which ranked 123rd out of 134 in the country last season.
Alabama freshman RB Trae'shawn Brown continues to trend up after another solid scrimmage showing.
"You just feel more and more comfortable with him out there. ... He's going out there and making plays and continuing to progress."
๐ https://t.co/mod8AnptgL
๐ My Favorite Heisman Dark Horses
Jayden Maiava | USC +2500
Did you know Lincoln Riley and Curt Cignetti are the only active head coaches who have coached a Heisman winner?
Riley has produced 3 Heisman-winning QBs in 9 seasons as a head coach:
๐ Baker Mayfield โ 2017
๐ Kyler Murray โ 2018
๐ Caleb Williams โ 2022
He also coached 2019 runner-up Jalen Hurts.
Now he has another intriguing candidate in Jayden Maiava.
Maiava led the nation with a 91.2 QBR in 2025 while completing 65.8% of his passes for 3,711 yards and 24 TDs. He added another 157 yards and 6 TDs on the ground.
USC faces a tough schedule in 2026, but that also gives Maiava plenty of opportunities to create the signature moments Heisman voters remember.
At +2500, I'm buying the upside. ๐
Keelon Russell | Alabama +2500
The Heisman House has plenty of Crimson dรฉcor.
Alabama has produced 4 Heisman winners since 2009:
๐ Mark Ingram
๐ Derrick Henry
๐ DeVonta Smith
๐ Bryce Young
Could Keelon Russell be next?
Russell enters 2026 competing for Alabama's starting QB job after arriving as one of the nation's elite recruits in the 2025 class.
He has the mobility to extend plays and create with his legs to go along with elite arm talent.
We only got a small sample in 2025, but it was impressive:
๐ฏ 11-of-15 passing
๐ฏ 143 yards
๐ฏ 2 TD
๐ฏ 0 INT
There's obviously risk at +2500, but if Russell wins the job and Alabama is back in the CFP hunt, that number could get a lot shorter in a hurry.
๐ I'm buying the upside.
๐ 2026 HEISMAN TROPHY ODDS
The current favorites heading into the season:
CJ Carr, Notre Dame โ +750
Arch Manning, Texas โ +750
Trinidad Chambliss, Ole Miss โ +900
Dante Moore, Oregon โ +1000
Julian Sayin, Ohio State โ +1100
Darian Mensah, Miami โ +1100
Josh Hoover, Indiana โ +1200
Jeremiah Smith, Ohio State โ +1200
Gunner Stockton, Georgia โ +1600
Sam Leavitt, LSU โ +2000
John Mateer, Oklahoma โ +2000
Jayden Maiava, USC โ +2500
Marcel Reed, Texas A&M โ +2500
Keelon Russell, Alabama โ +2500
๐ The last preseason Heisman favorite to actually win the trophy was Marcus Mariota in 2014.
History says there could be plenty of value further down the board. ๐
Who are you backing to win the Heisman?
Stay tuned for my favorite Heisman dark horses.
#CFB #Heisman #CollegeFootball
๐ Welcome to CFB Stock Report.
College football is a market.
Some programs are rising. ๐
Some are overvalued. ๐
And some are about to break out before everyone else notices. ๐
๐ BUY โข HOLD โข SELL
๐ Win totals & projections
๐ Breakout teams and players
๐ฐ Undervalued programs
๐ Weekly CFB Stock Rankings
The goal is simple:
Find value before the market does.
Opening Bell coming soon. ๐
#CFB #CollegeFootball